
We have Sydney vs. Melbourne predictions for AFL Round 8 on Sunday, May 3 at 3:15pm at the SCG.
One of the biggest games of the week is the Swans vs. Demons, where AFL odds have the home side as –31.5-point favourites.
Best Bet
Sydney is a good team to back as the favourite, having won its last 13 games and we have them covering the –31.5 spread against Melbourne.
The Demons have four wins from their last five games, so they’re playing well, but the loss came against Essendon. That’s a big concern when facing a team like Sydney that can pile on the points quickly, as they did against the Bulldogs last week.
Sydney won 126-60, and if they can beat the Bulldogs by 66 points, they can hand Melbourne a loss by at least 32 points. Sydney won’t be happy with the 131-78 loss they suffered last year, but they made changes to remedy those losses.
We recommend including Sydney –31.5 in AFL picks this week.
Same Game Multi
Charlie Curnow had the breakout performance Sydney fans were hoping for last week. He kicked seven goals in a rout of the Bulldogs, and we fancy his chances of kicking 3+ goals this week. Punters get $1.69, which is worth including in AFL SGM picks.
Isaac Heeney ended his goal-scoring run last week, but that followed 10 goals in his previous four games. $1.78 to kick 2+ goals is a fair price, which bumps up multi odds.
We expect a high-scoring affair as they scored 209 points in their previous meeting. Sydney has scored 100+ points in its last four games, which bodes well for over backers.
Best Value Bet
Anything over $2 is a good price for Sydney 40+ points, and the current odds could firm throughout the week.
Sydney has won three of its last four games by 40+ points, and the only time they missed was a 32-point win over Gold Coast, which was a quality performance.
The odds might be on the shorter side for a value bet, but we expect Melbourne to be well-handled, so we’re taking the odds for an easy Swans victory.
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