
We have Sydney vs. Richmond predictions for AFL Round 12 on Saturday, May 30 at 1:15pm at the SCG.
Kicking off Super Saturday is Sydney vs. Richmond, where the Swans are favoured by a whopping 61.5 points.
Best Bet
It’s never easy to bet on a team facing a –61.5 start, but Sydney should put on a demolition job of Richmond, despite Sydney coming off a loss and Richmond coming off a win.
The Tigers scored a 74-56 win over Essendon last week, but it was a low-quality game. Sydney lost 107-80 to Geelong, but they will appreciate the much easier level of opposition on Saturday afternoon, and it should result in a big win.
Sydney won their most recent meeting 80-36, which was lower scoring than expected. However, the 2026 version of the Swans is better, and they have more scoring threats. Their scorers should be excited for the scoring chances they’ll get.
If Melbourne can beat Richmond by 54 points in Round 7, Sydney can cover the –61.5 spread, so include them in AFL picks.
Same Game Multi
Charlie Curnow has only four goals from his last three games, but he should dominate the forward 50 against Richmond. We would be surprised if Curnow didn’t have 5-6 goals on Saturday, so the $1.47 odds for 3+ goals should be money for jam.
We also expect Isaac Heeney to get into the action with 2+ goals. He has only one multi-goal game from his last five matches, but he should relish the opportunity of playing against Richmond. $1.74 is a good price with AFL odds, so he can boost AFL SGM odds.
Our final score prediction has Sydney winning 128-62, so include over 178.5 in multi bet picks.
Best Value Bet
Richmond might be massive underdogs, but we have them kicking around 6-7 goals, and three of them could come from Tom Lynch.
He’s their best attacking threat, and after kicking seven goals in his last three games, we wouldn’t be surprised if he kicked 3+ goals against Sydney.
The $5.90 odds are juicy, and he could be the standout player in the beaten team.
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