Western Bulldogs vs. Collingwood Predictions

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We have Western Bulldogs vs. Collingwood predictions for the AFL Wild Card Finals on Friday, August 28 at 7:40pm at the MCG.

Collingwood is the $1.82 favourite to beat the Bulldogs, but there isn’t much splitting the 8th and 9th teams on the AFL ladder.

Best Bet

Western Bulldogs @ $2.02

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The Magpies get home ground advantage at the MCG, but we have the Bulldogs playing better footy on Friday night.

The Bulldogs scored a quality win over Melbourne last week, and if they’re anywhere near that level, they should put pay to the Magpies, who suffered a one-sided loss to the Lions in Round 24.

Collingwood were no match for the reigning premiers when losing 159-96, and they haven’t beaten a quality team since handling the Crows in Round 20. We’re concerned about their form entering the Wild Card Finals, and that’s why we’ve landed on the Bulldogs.

The Bulldogs defeated Collingwood 97-93 in May at Marvel Stadium, which is a good form guide, and they tend to play their best footy when it counts.

We’re snapping up the $2.02 odds for the Bulldogs to make the next round, and those odds could firm during the week.

Same Game Multi

Western Bulldog H2H, Aaron Naughton 2+ Goals, Marcus Bontempelli 2+ Goals, Total Points Under 170.5 @ $13.00

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Punters get value odds for Aaron Naughton and Marcus Bontempelli, so we’re including the Bulldogs players in our AFL SGM picks.

Naughton has two 2+ goal games from his last three matches, including last week against Melbourne. He has played well recently, and the $1.73 odds for 2+ goals is better than expected.

Speaking of value, punters get $2.80 for Bontempelli to kick 2+ goals. He has three 2+ goal games in his last five matches, including last week, and he plays his best footy in the finals. We expect him to have another big game.

We have the Bulldogs winning 84-76, so we’re taking under 170.5.

Best Value Bet

Marcus Bontempelli 3+ Goals @ $7.50

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Our AFL predictions expect a big game from Bontempelli, and he could be the difference between the Bulldogs winning and losing.

He kicked three goals only a handful of games ago, and after scoring two against Melbourne, his confidence levels should be high.

Look for the 30-year-old to elevate the Bulldogs and lead by example with 3+ goals at a healthy $7.50.

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Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl Curnow was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.