We have expert betting predictions for the fourth Tri Nations test between Australia and New Zealand on Saturday night.
New Zealand has the Bledisloe Cup won, but the Tri Nations is still up for grabs. Can Australia bounce back from a humiliating loss? Or will the All Blacks exert their dominance once again?
We have our best Australia vs. New Zealand betting predictions, which includes a full game preview and match prediction.
Rugby Championship Week 2 Tips
Australia vs. New Zealand Preview
The All Blacks never gave Australia a chance in the third test of the Bledisloe Cup. They led from the outset and made the Wallabies look second-rate.
All the confidence Australia had from their opening game draw against New Zealand has been wiped out. There were talks that Australia had bridged the gap between their trans-Tasman rivals, but that isn’t the case.
However, the Tri Nations is still up for grabs and Australia has the ability to bounce back from a horrible defeat. Players such as Filipo Dauguni and Marika Koroibete need to step up, but if they do, the Wallabies can be dangerous.
New Zealand fields a different outfit this week, but just because the likes of Richie Mo’unga aren’t playing, it doesn’t make them any less dangerous.
The All Blacks welcome back Sevu Reece and they put Beauden Barrett back to the first-five position. It could take some time to gel, but Barrett is a quality player who is wasted at fullback.
Most experts are expecting the All Blacks to win their third consecutive test, having scored wins at Eden Park and last week at ANZ Stadium. We believe the All Blacks will be too strong for the Wallabies, who are missing leadership.
Their back line, in particular, is nothing like it used to be and many of their players are down on confidence and talent.
As much as Australian fans don’t want to see it, this outfit might need another 10 years to rebuild and it all starts with the foundations of Rugby Australia.
Australia vs. New Zealand Betting Tips
We have established that the All Blacks should be winning this game, but where is the value with bookmakers?
New Zealand are the $1.11 favourites, with Australia paying $6.70 to pull off an almighty upset. There isn’t much value in either option, so the points spread is where most punters will look to make a buck.
Bookmakers have the current line at 15.5, which has been comfortably covered by the All Blacks in their past two matches. Will Australia improve enough to keep this game close? That is the question confronting punters.
Australia has every chance to turn their most recent performance around, but it won’t happen in a week. They need time to grow as a unit, but the All Blacks don’t take their foot off the gas.
For that reason, we are sticking with the All Blacks to cover the spread. They will likely get off to a fast start and Australia could be at least 10 points down at the half.
If that’s the case, it will force Australia into making mistakes. It won’t be a recipe for success and we are expecting the 15.5 line to move to around 17.5 come game time.
For less value but more security, punters could take All Blacks 13+ at $1.57. You get lower odds, but with a few more points to work with, it could be the wise betting option.
We also like Sevu Reece to score a try @ $1.67. The Fijian winger knows how to cross the line and with conditions ideal for fast-running rugby, Reece could have a field day.
The odds are good for a winger to score, let alone an All Blacks winger eager to show why he deserves his spot in the 2020 team.
Tip: All Blacks –15.5 ($1.90) – Bet @ Sportsbet
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.