Tim Tszyu defends his WBO Global light-middleweight title in Newcastle on Wednesday night and we have picks and predictions for the fight.
It’s Australia vs Ireland in the main event and there has already been controversy in the lead-up. Hogan threatened to pull out of the headline fight, but the fight is on and we’re excited.
Tszyu is the next big thing in Australian boxing and he looks ready to take on the world. But firstly, he must dispatch of Dennis Hogan.
We look at which fighter will come out ahead and where punters can find the best value with bookmakers.
We also provide our selections for the undercard fights.
Tszyu vs. Hogan Predictions
Tim Tszyu vs Dennis Hogan Fight Preview
Tim Tszyu puts his undefeated 17-0 record on the line in Newcastle and bookmakers are expecting a comfortable victory.
He won the title when beating Dwight Ritchie in 2019 before defending it against former WBO welterweight champion Jeff Horn last year.
Tszyu made quick work of Bowyn Morgan last December, scoring a first round knockout of the clearly inferior opponent. However, Hogan brings experience and he has fought all over the world, unlike Tszyu, who has never left Australia.
Hogan is 28-3-1 from 32 professional fights, but two of those losses have come recently. He lost by majority decision to Jaime Munguia for the WBO super welterweight title before losing to Jermall Charlo in New York in 2019.
He was severely outclassed by Charlo, but that was for the WBC World middle-weight title, so we’re not surprised.
His last two opponents had a combined record of 61-0 and he takes on another undefeated fighter on Wednesday night. This time, we’re expecting a more even fight as the Queensland-based fighter has the ability to beat the local hero.
Hogan is 10 years older than Tszyu, but he has fought much better fighters. He lost those fights, but there is no substitute for experience in the boxing ring.
Tszyu vs Hogan Betting Pick & Prediction
Sportsbet has Tim Tszyu as the overwhelming $1.11 favourite. We wouldn’t have him that short, but we’re not surprised at the odds.
Tszyu reflects a $1.20 chance on Wednesday but with Hogan threatening to pull out of the fight, where is his head at? It’s not a good sign for punters wanting to back Hogan at $6. It sounds like he wants out of this fight, which will only give Tim Tszyu more confidence.
There is no real value taking the $1.10, but this fight shouldn’t go the distance. Both fighters are aggressive, so boxing fans should be in for a treat.
Tszyu to win via KO/TKO pays $1.91, which is incredible value. He has the ability to land the telling blow on Hogan, who has a record of leaving his chin exposed.
The 10-round fight gives the favourite plenty of time to measure up his opponent. We expect Tsyzu to be cautious in the opening two rounds before picking his spot. He should overpower Hogan, who hasn’t fought in over a year.
Pick: Tim Tszyu KO/TKO @ $1.91 – Bet @ Sportsbet
There are four undercard fights available for punters to bet on. We have fight-winning predictions for all fights, which kicks off with Sakio Bika vs Sam Soliman.
Sakio Bika vs Sam Soliman
Sam Soliman is no stranger to big fights, but he’s 47 years old. The former IBF Middleweight title holder is as classy as they come, but he should be outmatched by Sakio Biko, who is no spring chicken himself.
The 41-year-old is in better form and the odds reflect this.
Pick: Sakio Bika to win @ $1.33 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Paul Fleming vs Tyson Lantry
Betting is currently suspended for the Fleming vs Lantry fight, but we expect Paul Fleming to be much too good.
Fleming is 26-0-1 and easily the hardest fight in the tough career for Tyson Lantry, who is talented at best.
Stick with Fleming, who should score a comfortable victory.
Pick: Paul Fleming to win
Cesar Mateo Tapia vs Renold Quinlan
Cesar Mateo Tapia is the $1.05 favourite in head-to-head markets and we’re not backing against the Australia.
The Mexican-born fighter is 12-0 and coming up against Renold Quinlan, who has seven losses on his 19-fight record.
It should be an easy win for the favourite at super skinny odds.
Pick: Cesar Mateo Tapia to win @ $1.05 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Wade Ryan vs Koen Mazoudier
Wade Ryan is a 31-year-old that comes off a win over Troy O’Meley, who was undefeated at the time. It won him the IBO International Super welterweight title and he should defend it.
Koen Mazourdier is 8-1 and comes off two knockout victories. He hasn’t faced the level of opposition that Ryan has faced, so we’re picking him to struggle.
There is some trepidation in the market, but Ryan is paying value odds of $1.46.
Pick: Wade Ryan to win @ $1.46 – Bet @ Sportsbet
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.