We have expert betting tips for the 2021 BMW Championship this week, which is the second and penultimate tournament of the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
Only 70 players remain in the running for the FedEx Cup, and the winner of the BMW Championship could move into the top spot in the rankings.
We look at the best BMW Championship value picks, including tournament winner, first round leader and top Australian.
BMW Championship Predictions
2021 BMW Championship Winner – Jordan Spieth
It has been a mixed bag for Jordan Spieth this season, but we believe the American can get back to his best form at the BMW Championship.
He showed potential at The Northern Trust last week, but some wayward shots cost him a chance of winning. Spieth is still a work in progress after going completely off the boil, but he can rise to the occasion.
Punters get value odds for Spieth, who is currently on the seventh line of betting at $21. Winning this tournament is slightly easier statistically because of the smaller field, so we’re happy with the odds available.
We expect Spieth to sit near the top of the leaderboard after the opening round and make his run on the weekend.
Bet: Jordan Spieth @ $21 – Bet @ Sportsbet
2021 BMW Championship Next Best – Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy is a four-time major winner that demands respect. He might not be playing his best golf, but he’s only a few putts away from winning another big tournament.
The Northern Irishman is one of the best ball strikers on the PGA Tour, and he has climbed to the top in strokes gained driving. However, his short game has been a concern for a long time.
If McIlroy has a good week with the putter, he’s almost unstoppable. It’s a big ask, but we’re keeping with the faith with McIlroy, who won the 2019 FedEx Cup.
Having experience winning the FedEx Cup is ideal at this stage of the playoffs, so we wouldn’t be surprised to see McIlroy take out the BMW Championship on Monday morning.
We didn’t expect bookmakers to have McIlroy at $26. We price him around $21, so punters can lock in the early value.
Bet: Rory McIlroy @ $26 – Bet @ Sportsbet
2021 BMW Championship Best Value – Kevin Kisner
Bookmakers might have missed a trick here with Kevin Kisner. He won the Wyndham Championship two weeks ago and the $101 odds are generous.
The American is one of the calmest players on the PGA Tour, and he has represented Team USA in team competitions, so he’s classy and capable of winning again.
He will need to bounce back after a disappointing effort at The Northern Trust, but the 37-year-old has done that throughout his career.
Golfers winning at triple-figure odds is rare, but Kisner should give punters a good sight at the Caves Valley Golf Course this week.
Bet: Kevin Kisner @ $101 – Bet @ Sportsbet
2021 BMW Championship First Round Leader – Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson has been a forgotten name on Tour this season, but he could make some noise at the BMW Championship.
The former world number one missed the cut at The Northern Trust, but we don’t expect his driving to be as inaccurate two weeks running.
Johnson has been struggling with his equipment, but he recorded a top 10 finish at the St. Jude Invitational, which is a good form guide.
He could start the BMW Championship off on the right note and set the clubhouse lead. Johnson is paying $23 to lead after the first round, which is a generous price.
Bet: Dustin Johnson @ $23 – Bet @ Sportsbet
BMW Championship Top Australian Player – Cameron Davis
We got the chocolates with Cameron Smith last week, who almost won the event outright. Despite Smith getting punters $3.30, we’re changing tack this week.
Value is with Cameron Davis, who played solidly last week. Davis won the Rocket Mortgage Classic earlier this year, so he knows what it takes to win golf tournaments.
Smith has firmed into $1.73, so there is much better value with Davis at $4.50.
Bet: Cameron Davis @ $4.50 – Bet @ Sportsbet
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.