The Group 1 Australian Cup runs at Flemington this Saturday and there are some serious staying thoroughbreds in the hunt to win.
We do the form of every runner and provide our best bet, each way, and roughie selections for the 2000m feature.
Australian Cup Preview & Betting Tips
Our best bets for Australian Cup
Avilius @ $4 Bet Now
Best Each Way Bet:
Kings Will Dream @ $7 Bet Now
Harlem @ $14 Bet Now
Australian Cup Form Guide & Tips
1. Vow and Declare ($12) Bet Now
It’s tough for a Melbourne Cup winner to win over 2000m fresh up. Vow and Declare is a classy type and he can run well over this distance, but he needs the miles in his legs before we tip him.
It will be interesting to see how he performs and there will be plenty of sentimental money coming his way with bookmakers.
2. Avilius (Best Bet – $4) Bet Now
The James Cummings-trained gelding looked good late last week behind Te Akau Shark, and he’s on the quick backup. He settled near the rear of the field but finished only two lengths behind the winner.
He’s a past winner at Flemington and he loves any sting out of the track, so the current heavy track is going to play right into his hands.
We’re happy to take the $4 offered by bookmakers.
3. Suzuka Devious ($151) Bet Now
The Japanese-trained runner hasn’t been in good form for a long time now, so it’s hard to see him as a winning chance. Bookmakers agree as they’re offering triple-figure odds, so it could be wise to leave him out of selections.
4. Harlem (Best Roughie – $14) Bet Now
Harlem is shooting for his third consecutive Australian Cup title. His past two wins have come at massive odds, but bookmakers won’t let history repeat itself again.
He’s set for this race and despite being an eight-year-old that hasn’t won since, it doesn’t seem to matter. He should be right around the mark again and the odds are good enough to take.
5. Kings Will Dream (Best Each Way – $7) Bet Now
Chris Waller lines up the former import that has returned from a serious injury in fine order. He has been knocking on the door in two runs back from a spell, which included a second placing last start.
He faces harder opposition here but he’s more than capable of measuring up. Each-way punters are getting good value.
6. Regal Power ($6.50) Bet Now
Form out of Perth has been good this season but he might not enjoy the wet track conditions. He has yet to have had a run in heavy conditions, but he has a win and a placing on soft going.
His run for fourth behind Miss Siska last start was solid and if you see a strong betting move, he could be worth putting in selections.
7. Fifty Stars ($7) Bet Now
Fifty Stars was a good winner last time out and his chances can never be overlooked. The Lindsay Park-trained runner is a nine-time winner and although he doesn’t win often, he has found confidence now.
Bookmakers are respecting his ability and if he finds cover from barrier 13, he could extend his impressive record of three wins from six starts at Flemington.
8. Mirage Dancer ($9.50) Bet Now
He ran 14th in the Melbourne Cup before running last fresh up this campaign. However, he improved significantly to run third behind Miss Siska last start and that should be a good form race.
He’s on his way to more staying targets later in the autumn, but he represents each-way claims in a tough field.
9. Southern France ($15) Bet Now
Southern France made an impression when winning the Sandown Cup last year and he could return in fine order.
The former European ran 19th in the Melbourne Cup but not everything went his way. He was able to show his best ability following that and she defeated Miss Siska, who beat many of these last start.
Include him in first-four selections.
10. Hush Writer ($31) Bet Now
He owns good tactical speed but he might be outclassed at this level. His effort for seventh at Randwick last start was only fair and we’d be surprised if he won this race.
11. Venice Beach ($151) Bet Now
The son of Galileo hasn’t done much since arriving in Australia but we are surprised by the massive odds available.
We thought he would be around $50 with bookmakers, so he could be worth a dollar each-way at the $151 quote.
12. Cape of Good Hope ($51) Bet Now
He didn’t fire a shot at Caulfield last start and he never improves with the run under his belt. He has had three second-up starts for no wins or placings.
He’s a winner of over $1 million but we don’t think he’ll be adding to that tally on Saturday.
13. Constantinople ($41) Bet Now
The four-year-old ran 13th in the Melbourne Cup and resumed with a last-place finish at Caulfield. We needed to see more from the son of Galileo and he might improve when he rises up in distance.
14. Miss Siska ($14) Bet Now
Miss Siska beat many of these runners last start but conditions are different for this race. She has yet to win at Flemington from seven attempts and although it will be tough to win, she could run in the money.
Keep her safe at odds.