The first Victorian Group 1 of autumn is the Australian Guineas and it runs for $1 million this Saturday at Flemington.
Australia’s best middle-distance three-year-olds do battle over 1600m and an even field has been presented for punters.
Cliff’s Edge currently holds favouritism but hot on his heels are the likes of Aloisia and Grunt.
There’s plenty of value in the maximum field and we have free tips and form for our best bet, best each way and best roughie chance.
All odds are with Sportsbet – our No. 1 rated bookmaker. New signups can claim a $501* bonus bet with Sportsbet by clicking HERE.
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2018 Australian Guineas final field, barrier draw and odds
Our best bets for the Australian Guineas 2018
Cliff’s Edge @ $4.20 – BET NOW
($4.80 Boosted with Sportsbet)
Best Each Way Bet:
Aloisia @ $7 – BET NOW
($8.50 Boosted at Sportsbet)
Mighty Boss @ $13 – BET NOW
($15 Boosted at Sportsbet)
Oakleigh Plate Form Guide & Tips
Mighty Boss (Best Roughie- $13) – BET NOW
Mighty Boss didn’t fire behind Brave Smash at Group 1 level last start but dropping back to his own age group is a big plus.
The 2017 Guineas winner at Caulfield has class on his side and with most of the fancied chances drawing deep, he will get a dream run from barrier two and put himself right in the thick of the action.
Cliff’s Edge (Best Bet – $4.20) – BET NOW
Drawing barrier 16 isn’t going to help out best bet but the Darren Weir colt is all class and has the ability to overcome it.
Having finished second behind Grunt last time out at Flemington, many punters might change tact to Grunt, but this colt has raced against some of the best in Australia and come out with winning form.
He has good barrier speed which will help and he only needs luck to test most of these.
Embellish ($20) – BET NOW
The Kiwi runner did well enough to run 2.9 lengths behind Grunt at Flemington last start, but his form in Australia hasn’t quite matched his New Zealand form.
The winner of almost $430,000 needs to lift to win but he’s a chance to place at nice odds.
Levendi ($18) – BET NOW
Levendi almost went in as our best roughie after running fairly at Caulfield last.
The Peter Gelagotis-trained son of Pierro won the Carbine Club Stakes last preparation and he was always going to need to resuming run.
Expect quick improvement and the $10 is a good price from bookmakers.
Muraaqeb ($21) – BET NOW
Ran third in a good form race at Flemington last start and we wouldn’t be ruling out his chances.
Lindsay Park lines up the Snitzel colt which will have to do work from a wide draw, but he’s in good form this campaign he’s worth including in first four selections.
Villermont ($19) – BET NOW
Having opened in the betting at $11, Villermont is on the drift.
The Aaron Purcell-trained colt didn’t fire a shot behind Holy Snow at Caulfield last start and that hasn’t given punters the confidence they needed to pull the trigger.
His breeding suggests that he’s a chance here but the drift is alarming.
Main Stage ($17) – BET NOW
Main Stage resumed well for fourth behind Grunt and there was plenty to like about that performance going forward.
The Busuttin/Young stable is firing at the moment and although some others in this race present better as betting opportunities, it wouldn’t pay to overlook this runner.
Addictive Nature ($11) – BET NOW
Bjorn Baker lines up this quality three-year-old which showed good form in this age group last season before running behind Endless Drama last start.
He’s better suited to this grade, but we would have liked to see winning form this campaign and $11 is far too short for value.
Holy Snow ($21) – BET NOW
The Mick Price-trained runner defeated a good portion of this field at Caulfield last start and that effort should be considered.
He finished third behind Showtime at Moonee Valley last campaign and that form has stacked up well.
Running second up could be an issue, but he’s another runner at nice odds and is worth a punt.
Salsamor ($34) – BET NOW
Another runner for the Busuttin/Young team, Salsamor is coming off a placing at Sandown against inferior opposition to what he’ll face here.
Hard to get inspired and punters tend to agree.
Grunt ($5.50) – BET NOW
Grunt has rattled off three consecutive wins this campaign, including a stunning win over similar opposition at Flemington last start.
The Price-trained son of O’Reilly is bred to enjoy the Australian Guineas and although there are some negatives factors such as the barrier draw and his inexperience, he has shown a will to win so far.
Close to being the best bet, Grunt should go close.
Black Sail ($34) – BET NOW
The Savabeel colt hasn’t been too far away from some nice types this season, but he looks well-held at Group 1 level.
He could be a stayer in the making but that might be next season.
Peaceful State ($13) – BET NOW
Only fair behind Grunt last start, Peaceful State will need to improve to win, but he does possess a turn-of-foot which is needed to win these races.
Drawn to get a nice drag into the race, the son of Animal Kingdom has upset claims.
Mr So And So ($23) – BET NOW
Having already had two runs in February, Mr So And So has the fitness under his belt and that makes him a winning chance.
He finished second in the Group 2 Autumn Stakes behind Holy Snow and that form looks good for this.
Consider at nice odds.
Aloisia (Best Each Way – $7) – BET NOW
Last year’s top Victorian middle-distance filly, Aloisia should be given another chance after running fifth at Flemington last start.
The Purcell-trained daughter of Azamour put two wins together at Caulfield and Moonee Valley last year before finishing sixth behind Pinot over 2040m
The mile suits here and she gets a nice weight advantage on the boys.
Bring Me Roses ($21) – BET NOW
Hasn’t done much wrong in her seven-race career, winning one and placing in four.
The Tony McEvoy-trained filly gets the inside draw and although she might prefer more distance, she shouldn’t be discounted.
Paret ($51) – BET NOW
Paret has disappointed since winning on debut and they came in easier races than this.
Mahalangur ($91) – BET NOW
No chance on exposed form.
Once again, all odds are with Sportsbet – our No. 1 rated bookmaker. New signups can claim a $501* bonus bet with Sportsbet by clicking HERE.