Get ready for what could be the best race in Australia for some time. The best three-year-old thoroughbreds do battle at Flemington for the 2020 Australian Guineas, which sees a return of Alligator Blood vs. Catalyst.
Will the two champions battle it out again? Or will a new contender upset the potential match race? We look at the best value bets of the race.
Australian Guineas Preview & Betting Tips
Our best bets for Australian Guineas
Catalyst @ $2.80 Bet Now
Best Each Way Bet:
Chenier @ $6 Bet Now
Dalasan @ $16 Bet Now
Australian Guineas Form Guide & Tips
1. Alligator Blood ($3.10) Bet Now
It was hard not to put Alligator Blood on top, given that he has won nine of his 10 starts. His record includes a narrow win over Catalyst in the C.S. Hayes Stakes last start, which was a great guide for this race. We think Alligator Blood and Catalyst have every chance of running the quinella again, but we gave the edge to the Kiwi runner.
However, there’s nothing wrong with backing this talented son of All Too Hard. He’s all class and he fought bravely last start. $3.10 is a fair price from bookmakers and the Magic Millions winner looks every chance of keeping his near perfect record intact.
2. Dalasan (Best Roughie – $16) Bet Now
We didn’t think Dalasan would cope with the pressure last start and we were right. However, conditions should suit the colt better this time around and he represents value.
It’s not going to be easy for Dalasan to beat the two favourites but there is value in the place price and he could attract attention come race day.
Drawing barrier three should see him settle close and provide punters with a good sight in the straight.
3. Alabama Express ($6.50) Bet Now
Strong money has come for the Mike Moroney-trained runner, which defeated the older horses to win the Group 1 C.F. Orr Stakes at Caulfield. It was a good effort at that level and he carried only 1kg less than what he gets here.
It was a statement win from the son of Redoute’s Choice and if there weren’t two superstars in this race, he would be the favourite. Is he good enough to beat Alligator Blood and Catalyst? We’re unsure, but he hasn’t done anything wrong to date.
4. Catalyst (Best Bet – $2.80) Bet Now
Catalyst was beaten last start but the Kiwi star wasn’t suited by racing up on the speed. He prefers to settle back and come with a huge burst of speed. The track conditions also didn’t help his cause and he’ll be looking for improved conditions on Saturday.
He’s a winner of six from eight starts and his wins in New Zealand have been nothing short of amazing. No Kiwi runner has ever won the Australian Guineas, but he’s good enough to buck the trend.
The $2.80 is a solid price from bookmakers.
5. Soul Patch ($26) Bet Now
Ken Keys has a good record when setting his horses for a main target. Soul Patch made good ground for fourth last start and he’s a much better chance on a good track.
Conditions will suit the son of Shamus Award and although he might need to find a length to win, he’s capable of improving.
He’ll get a good run off the inside draw, so keep him safe.
6. Superstorm ($16) Bet Now
We can’t make a serious case for Superstorm. The Perth-trained runner scored by two lengths last start but the opposition doesn’t come close to what he faces here.
Perth form has garnered more respect over the past few seasons, so we haven’t completely overlooked his chances. However, he would need to be a real superstar to beat this hot field.
We’ll put him to the side until we’ve seen more.
7. Chenier (Best Each Way – $6) Bet Now
It was an impressive run for Chenier in the C.S. Hayes Stakes, given that he was fresh up after a 10-month break. The colt created a huge impression winning on debut by 5.5 lengths before being beaten at Sandown.
He looks to have matured nicely this season and he was making good ground behind Alligator Blood after getting stuck on the inside. He should strip fitter now and the $1.80 for a top three finish is good money.
8. Commodus ($151) Bet Now
He shouldn’t be racing in this race. Yet to win a race and his best finish was a second placing on debut at Geelong.