We have expert betting tips for the 2021 Black Caviar Lightning Stakes this Saturday at Flemington, which features some of Australia’s best sprinters.
The likes of Bivouac, Nature Strip and September Run battle it out for the Group 1 title this Saturday. It’s always a fascinating race and a great form guide for the autumn.
We do the form of every runner of the field and find our best Black Caviar Lightning Stakes tips.
Best bets for Black Caviar Lightning Stakes 2021
Nature Strip @ $4.20 Bet @ Sportsbet
Best Each Way Bet:
September Run @ $5 Bet @ Sportsbet
Swats That @ $16 Bet @ Sportsbet
Black Caviar Lightning Stakes Trifecta Tips
Punters should have four runners on their ticket for the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes trifecta.
- Nature Strip
- September Run
- Swats That
Black Caviar Lightning Stakes First-Four Tips
We have included six runners in our first-four selections for the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes. We like the favourites, but there is good value throughout the field.
- Nature Strip
- September Run
- Swats That
Black Caviar Lightning Stakes Form Guide & Tips
1. Nature Strip (Best Bet – $4.20) Bet @ Sportsbet
Backing Nature Strip fresh up doesn’t always result in a win for punters, but he’s coming off a stellar trial win. He scored a trial win over Bivouac at Rosehill and that should top him off nicely for this race.
The 14-time winner loves racing at Flemington, with six starts for four wins. Six of his 14 wins have come over this distance, and it’s his best distance by far.
$4.20 for a champion sprinter is good shopping.
2. Bivouac ($2.70) Bet @ Sportsbet
Bivouac was 3.3 lengths better than Nature Strip when they last met, but the four-year-old typically needs time to find his feet.
He owns only one fresh up win from five attempts, and he is better over 1200m. The son of Exceed and Excel has yet to win over 1000m, so the $2.70 is a touch short of value.
There is no doubting his ability, but punters get better value with Nature Strip.
3. Elite Street ($14) Bet @ Sportsbet
Elite Street is a professional winner of five from eight starts, but none of those wins have come at the elite level.
The Perth-based sprinter scored a big win at Ascot last start when beating Celebrity Queen at big odds, but he didn’t run a quick time.
His odds are drifting and we’re not surprised.
4. Halvorsen ($67) Bet @ Sportsbet
Punters get big odds for Halvorsen, which is talented, but not good enough to win this race.
He comes off a fifth behind Fabergino at Flemington, and although he’s a three-time winner at Flemington, he’ll likely be run off his feet.
Drawing the rails isn’t ideal down the straight either, so leave him out of calculations.
5. Pippie ($9.50) Bet @ Sportsbet
Pippie is unbeaten from four fresh up starts, so that record has to be factored into calculations. She is tough to beat first-up, and no horse has yet to do it.
However, Flemington isn’t her track and she’s facing a slick field. We prefer backing Pippie around a corner, as she goes forward and slips them on the turn. Down the straight, you can’t create a gap by using the turn.
She is a nice type and a first-four player.
6. Fabergino ($9) Bet @ Sportsbet
Fabergino comes off consecutive wins at Flemington and the confidence is up. She is an 11-time winner from just 17 starts, but she hasn’t been facing Group 1-level opposition.
The daughter of Maschino owns three wins at Flemington and nine wins at this distance, so she loves the conditions. However, she rises in class and she might be found out.
A chance to run in the first four, so keep her safe.
7. September Run (Best Each Way – $5) Bet @ Sportsbet
A rising star that owns five wins from eight starts and she gets in nicely at the weights. The three-year-old filly carries 53.5kg, which brings her into contention.
Unbeaten in three starts at Flemington, she comes off an age-group win where she got the better of Swats That over 1200m. Dropping to 1000m isn’t ideal, but she has massive upside.
Craig Williams rides and punters should have her on the ticket.
8. Swats That (Best Roughie – $16) Bet @ Sportsbet
Swats That finished second behind September Run last start and she is another runner that gets in light.
Her jumpout was solid heading into this race and she won her only start over 1000m, which is a good form guide.
Punters get value odds and she could figure in the finish.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.