The Caulfield Cup is the second biggest staying race in Australia, behind only the Melbourne Cup, and it’s one of the most important.
Securing a spot in the Melbourne Cup at Flemington is on the line for many of these runners and a full field will take to the track this Saturday at Caulfield for the $5 million feature.
Can the Australians hold off the mighty charge of the Europeans? Or will it be business as usual for the raiders coming over for our riches? All questions will be answered on Saturday afternoon and we have our best bet, best each way and best roughie for the big race.
2018 Caulfield Cup final field, barrier draw and odds
Our Best Bets for the 2018 Caulfield Cup
Kings Will Dream @ $5 – BET NOW
Best Each Way Bet:
The Cliffsofmoher @ $7 – BET NOW
Best Solution @ $15 – BET NOW
2018 Caulfield Cup form guide and tips
Best Solution (Best Roughie – $15) – BET NOW
Take the $15 on offer for this gutsy European because those odds will likely be slashed come Saturday. Looking for more Group 1 success this season, top international trainer Saeed Bin Suroor, who won the Ladbrokes Stakes with Benbalt, trains this talented four-year-old.
The son of Kodiac has rattled off three consecutive wins, including two Group 1 races in Germany and we’ve already seen that form stack up.
$15 is a great price.
The Cliffsofmoher (Best Each Way – $7) – BET NOW
Another European which ran nicely for fourth in the Ladbrokes Stakes and that should be a good form guide for this.
The Aidan O’Brien-trained four-year-old is only a three-time winner but he has form behind the likes of Roaring Lion and Crystal Ocean. Those runs will see him going very close to winning the Caulfield Cup and having had a run in Australia is a bonus.
Chestnut Coat ($19) – BET NOW
They breed them tough in Japan and although well-beaten at Tokyo last time out, form out of Japan in the Caulfield Cup typically stacks up nicely.
Needs a good surface but we wouldn’t be ruling him out regardless.
Jon Snow ($35) – BET NOW
Good run for third behind Grunt in the Makybe Diva Stakes but he didn’t show the same effort when running seventh last time out.
Form has dipped and his record of four wins from 20 starts is starting to weigh on him.
Sound Check ($27) – BET NOW
Michael Moroney lines up this imported runner which finished second at Group 1 level in Germany to prepare for this.
The son of Lando ran just in behind Best Solution and given that we think Best Solution can win this race, we have to give Sound Check a chance.
Respect the German staying form and he only needs luck from a wide barrier.
Ace High ($11) – BET NOW
One of the better chances for the locals and he just keeps grinding away. The David Payne-trained runner was a two-length winner in the Hill Stakes at Randwick and makes the big step up here.
He’s bred to handle these distances and our only query is whether he’s good enough to compete against internationally-performed horses.
$11 is a touch too short.
The Taj Mahal ($23) – BET NOW
Three-time winner and it’s drifting in the betting. Good win at Moonee Valley last start but against inferior opposition and his current odds are too short for our liking.
Duretto ($21) – BET NOW
Has drifted from $17 to $21 but its form shouldn’t be discounted and he has plenty of miles under his belt.
Andrew Balding lines up the six-time winner, which hasn’t come through the normal avenues for the European-trained horses but he will see out the distance and getting the inside draw helps.
Not the worst at the odds.
Red Verdon ($21) – BET NOW
Ed Dunlop-trained runners automatically deserve respect and carrying 54kg is going to be luxury for the five-year-old, which has form behind the likes of Stradivarius and Crystal Ocean.
He hasn’t carried less than 57.5kg at his last 11 starts and dropping to 54kg makes him a serious winning hope and the $21 is a great price but he might be more of a Melbourne Cup type.
Vengeur Masque ($91) – BET NOW
Possesses upset material but he’s not running well enough to finish in the first three in the Caulfield Cup.
Ventura Storm ($37) – BET NOW
Has only disappointed punters since arriving in Australia for Lindsay Park and it’s tough to see him improving enough to win this.
$37is a touch short from bookmakers and he shouldn’t entice many punters at that price.
Mighty Boss ($91) – BET NOW
Caused a huge upset when winning the Australian Guineas last season but he has shown absolutely nothing since and it should stay that way until he races in something easier.
Homesman ($11) – BET NOW
Nice win in the Group 1 Underwood Stakes but we said that race wouldn’t be a good form guide for this spring and we were proven correct last time out.
He finished seventh in the Ladbrokes Stakes and he should find the pressure up front too much to handle in the big field.
Kings Will Dream (Best Bet – $5) – BET NOW
Opened up as the $5 favourite in early Caulfield Cup betting markets and we thought he would be longer come race day, but punters are coming for the former European and rightfully so.
His campaign has been good without winning and running third behind Humidor, second behind Grunt and third behind Winx is good form, considering all those races came at shorter distances.
He gets the 2400m now, which is ideal and with Craig Williams in the saddle at 53kg, his turn-of-foot should be on show.
Sole Impact ($67) – BET NOW
Japanese runner with average form coming into this. The other Japanese runner looks to have the wood over this six-year-old but he’s grey and that might attract some interest.
Gallic Chieftain ($46) – BET NOW
Backed in from $61 to $46 but we don’t think he has the class to win this type of race. His run for fourth behind Yucatan was solid and he could offer some place value, but not for the win.
Night’s Watch ($17) – BET NOW
Gets some things in his favour here, including a light weight and what should be a strong tempo up front.
The Darren Weir-trained runner will drop to the back from barrier 18 and although Caulfield isn’t the best swooping track, if they run hard up front, he has the ability to storm over the top of them.
Youngstar ($6) – BET NOW
Big run for second behind Winx in the Turnbull Stakes but this is a completely different race and she hasn’t shown enough to suggest that she can get the 2400m.
$6 for a four-year-old mare which has won only at Hawkesbury, Newcastle and Doomben is far too short for our liking and we think she’s the worst value in the race.
Patrick Erin ($35) – BET NOW
Wins the Metropolitan and is on the ballot for the Caulfield Cup. That’s a touch harsh but his odds have firmed in from $81 to $34 and that’s a good sign.
Chance with some rain around.
Jaameh ($27) – BET NOW
Battled on well behind Avilius last start and if it gets a run, it could give some of these something to think about.