We have expert betting tips for the cards this Friday at Pakenham and Gosford.
There is plenty of value available with bookmakers at the Friday meetings and we have our best bets across the two cards.
Race 1. (13:00) Dahlsens Maiden Plate (2200m)
#5 – Redsong @ $2.40 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Stepping up in distance looks ideal for Redsong, who was making ground at Sale last start. The four-year-old is bred to handle the 2200m and the early betting support is a good sign.
He is a son of Dundeel that opened at $2.45 and has already been confidently backed, so we’re expecting a much-improved run.
Take the odds before they drop on race day.
Race 2. (13:30) Sportsbet Take a Sec Maiden (1000m)
#6 – Deep Blast @ $2.10 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Deep Blast is getting close to a maiden win after two placings from two starts, so the ability is there and he’s ready to win.
Trained by Team Hayes, the son of Deep Field ran third on debut at Ballarat before running close behind Universal Lady at Ballarat, which has since won again.
$2.10 isn’t a surprising quote and he still represents value.
Race 6. (15:30) Austrim Civil BM64 (1600m)
#1 – El Guerrouj @ $2.45 – Bet @ Sportsbet
El Guerrouj is only a three-time winner, but he was far too good for them at Sale last time out.
The five-year-old son of Savabeel scored by two lengths in a front-running display, which is likely to be the same tactics adopted on Friday.
Punters must take a shorter price, but he could kick on with it.
Race 7. (16:00) APM Group Synthetic BM78 (1200m)
#3 – Overkill @ $5 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Overkill was scratched from a harder race on Wednesday and he looks well-placed against this level of opposition.
The Maher/Eustace-trained five-year-old is a three-time winner from nine starts, and although he’s not in career-best form, the ability is there.
He has good barrier speed and should use it to his advantage.
Race 8. (16:30) Sportsbet Set a Limit C1 Handicap (1400m)
#2 – Holster @ $2.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Holster owns only one win from 11 starts, but he’s much better than that. The five-year-old has faced some tough fields throughout his career, including at Moonee Valley two back.
His most recent run was a second placing at Pakenham, and we expect his form to improve with more runs under his belt.
$2.90 is a fair price in an even contest.
Race 1. (12:45) Sneddon Bros BM64 (1200m)
#1 – Pleading @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Pleading runs at short odds, but the Angela Davies-trained four-year-old couldn’t be in better form.
The daughter of Star Witness is searching for her fourth consecutive win after scoring by 1.3 lengths at Tamworth.
Getting the inside draw is ideal and having James McDonald in the saddle helps.
Race 3. (13:55) Tooheys Maiden Handicap (1000m)
#1 – Centro Storico @ $3.20 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Centro Storico faced tough fields during his first campaign, including running behind the likes of Jamaea, Arcaded and Four Moves Ahead.
That form is excellent for maiden level racing, but we thought he would be $1.80 with bookmakers. It’s a little strange he’s not shorter in the market, but we’re happy to take the value.
Take the $3.20 before punters catch on.
Race 4. (14:35) Industree Group Maiden (1600m)
#10 – Raging Bull @ $3.20 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Raging Bull is hoping to improve on his two third placings to start his career. The David Payne-trained three-year-old was only 2.8 lengths behind Royalzel last start, who lines up on Saturday.
It’s good form for this level of racing and it’s only a matter of time before he breaks maiden status. It’s likely to come on Friday and punters get odds worth taking.
Race 7. (16:25) Narara Plumbing C1 Handicap (1100m)
#3 – Head On Up @ $4.40 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Head On Up is knocking on the door of a win after notching consecutive second placings at Wyong and Goulburn.
The Freedman-trained daughter of Headwater has been in the money in six of her eight career starts, so she’s consistent and worth following.
Barrier two is ideal and she has already attracted attention with bookmakers.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.