The Futurity Stakes is one of three Group 1 races on the card at Caulfield this Saturday and it’s a cracking field.
Cox Plate placegetter Humidor returns to the track after three months off, but taking on the likes of Tosen Stardom, Brave Smash and Mighty Boss is going to make winning difficult.
The field of 11 features many different form lines and we have found our best bet, best each way runner and best roughie for the Group 1 Futurity Stakes this Saturday.
Be sure to shop around for the best odds this weekend and we recommend checking out new bookmaker Neds. .
2018 Futurity Stakes final field, barrier draw and odds
Our best bets for the Futurity Stakes 2018
Brave Smash @ $3.50 – BET NOW
Best Each Way Bet:
Mighty Boss @ $5.50 – BET NOW
Shillelagh @ $12 – BET NOW
Futurity Stakes Form Guide & Tips
Tosen Stardom ($6) – BET NOW
There were high expectations placed on Tosen Stardom last time out at Caulfield and he didn’t deliver.
The Darren Weir-trained seven-year-old looked good last year when winning at Group 1 level, but punters would have liked to have seen more last start on this track.
He has never been the most consistent type but he has the ability to bounce back and he has faced better weight-for-age fields than this.
Humidor ($7) – BET NOW
Humidor was given a tough task of backing up from running second in the Cox Plate to running in the Melbourne Cup and that decision backfired, but don’t take anything away from Humidor.
The former New Zealand-trained gelding produced a brilliant run in the Cox Plate when running second behind Winx and although he hasn’t won at this distance or at Caulfield, punters need to respect his ability at all levels.
Brave Smash (Best Bet – $3.50) – BET NOW
Brave Smash should have won last time out at Caulfield when running third behind Hartnell, but a poor ride from John Allen held the five-year-old back.
The third of three Darren Weir-trained runners, Brave Smash is a former Japanese sprinter which finished third in The Everest and that form has stacked up well since.
He has drawn away from the rails this time around which is a positive and Craig Williams is a good jockey to have in the saddle.
Punters have already started to back him confidently and he could start even shorter.
Lord of the Sky ($13) – BET NOW
Lord of the Sky ran out of his skin to run fifth at Caulfield last start.
The wet track specialist finished within a length of Hartnell and he has since won a trial at Cranbourne to prepare for this.
He’s a seven-time winner with class on his day and although we don’t think he’s going well enough to win this, he could be the surprise package.
Sovereign Nation ($26) – BET NOW
The five-year-old has won twice from four fresh-up starts which reads well for this, but he hasn’t been facing the quality of this field.
The Lindsay Park-trained runner doesn’t have the best winning record of four wins from 23 starts and although he has run well over this distance in the past, not having winning form at Caulfield is a big detractor.
Mr Sneaky ($11) – BET NOW
Mr Sneaky finished eighth behind Hartnell last start, but it was a crowded finish and he was only 1.2 lengths away from the lead.
The Anthony Freedman-trained sprinter is best suited over the shorter distances as he owns some good early pace and he has never beaten a field of this quality, but he has potential and the ability to cause an upset.
His opening odds of $9.50 was far too short and bookmakers have since let him drift significantly in the betting.
Wyndspelle ($41) – BET NOW
The former Kiwi hasn’t been able to win in nine Australian starts and that has been disappointing for connections, but he has been close up in some strong fields.
He finished second in consecutive starts at Caulfield and Flemington, which was good enough form to compete at this level.
That form hasn’t quite continued through this campaign, but if there’s speed on up front he could slingshot them late in the piece.
Snitzson ($26) – BET NOW
Snitzson has the inside draw which will be an advantage for an on-pace type, but he looks outclassed against this field.
The Lindsay Park-trained four-year-old wasn’t sighted behind Tosen Stardom last year and he was beaten comfortably in a recent trial at Wodonga.
That doesn’t bode well for this and a win would surprise.
Shillelagh (Best Roughie – $12) – BET NOW
Shillelagh is another former Kiwi runner, now racing for Chris Waller, which has upset claims at double-figure odds.
The six-year-old mare finished 10th of 13 runners at Caulfield last start which wasn’t the best example of her talents, but her win at Flemington during the Melbourne Cup carnival was classy.
She has won seven times from 20 starts which is a good clip and she’s a good value chance in this.
Mighty Boss (Best Each Way – $5.50) – BET NOW
Mighty Boss was an upset winner in the Guineas last October when returning odds of $101.
The Mick Price-trained three-year-old finished seventh behind Hartnell last start which was an encouraging performance and he gets a weight advantage on the top chances.
The betting suggests that the son of Not a Single Doubt has a winning chance and after getting an unlucky run in the C.F. Orr Stakes last start, he should be ready to make amends at a nice each way price.
Showtime ($11) – BET NOW
Showtime also gets a weight advantage over most of the field, but his form is tough to line up against this field.
He finished second at Rosehill behind Trapeze Artist which is good form, but we would want better odds than $11 for this three-year-old colt.