We have expert betting tips for the Karaka Million 2YO this Saturday at Ellerslie in New Zealand which features a quality field of 15 juveniles.
It’s New Zealand’s biggest juvenile race and punters should expect to see some of them arrive in Australia later this season.
We have a runner-by-runner betting guide available for the Karaka Million 2YO, which runs at 4:29 pm.
Our best bets for Karaka Millions 2yo 2022
Wolverine @ $3.90 Bet @ Sportsbet
Best Each Way Bet:
Fellini @ $6 Bet @ Sportsbet
Time Ruler @ $26 Bet @ Sportsbet
Karaka Millions 2yo Trifecta Tips
Punters should have five runners on their ticket for the Karaka Million 2YO trifecta.
- Time Ruler
- Pacific Dragon
Karaka Millions 2yo First-Four Tips
We have included six runners for our Karaka Million 2YO first-four.
- Time Ruler
- Pacific Dragon
- Sacred Satano
Karaka Millions 2yo Form Guide & Tips
1. Fellini (Best Each Way – $6) Bet @ Sportsbet
Te Akau has a strong hand in the Karaka Million and Fellini shouldn’t be overlooked. He comes off consecutive wins at Pukekohe and Ellerslie and he defeated a handy field last start.
The son of Belardo pays each-way odds with bookmakers and we expect his odds to firm on race day.
2. Mascarinto ($21) Bet @ Sportsbet
He won on debut at Matamata but has been held in check since. The talent is there but he might want some moisture in the surface and he won’t get it.
Watch for any late betting moves.
3. Sacred Satono ($15) Bet @ Sportsbet
There has been some specking for the maiden runner after finishing within a length of Wolverine last time out at Pukekohe.
Getting the inside draw is ideal and that could explain the betting move.
4. Time Ruler (Best Roughie – $26) Bet @ Sportsbet
It could pay to overlook Time Ruler’s first three starts. He didn’t have much luck in running but he looked good when scoring easily last start.
The son of Time Test scored emphatically by 5.5 lengths over Gwen Stephani, so punters should lap up the $26.
We expect those odds to firm considerably.
5. Lord Cosmos ($19) Bet @ Sportsbet
The son of Pierro is another Te Akau runner that scored at short odds last time out. He knuckled down nicely late, but he’ll need some luck from the wide barrier.
He should sit out the back and try work into the race, but given the speed, he could struggle to pick them up late.
6. Dynastic ($3.40) Bet @ Sportsbet
The favourite has had only one start, which was an unlucky second behind Grace ‘N’ Grey. He has been heavily backed on that performance where he sat three wide the trip.
It was unlucky, but with only one run under his belt, we have found better value elsewhere.
7. Alabama Gold ($21) Bet @ Sportsbet
The son of Turn Me Loose has finished second at his last two starts, including placings behind Fellini and Lord Cosmos.
There was nothing wrong with those performances, but drawing barrier 15 could extinguish his chances.
8. Gibraltar Rising ($35) Bet @ Sportsbet
We’re not keen on the Team Rogerson-trained colt. He has yet to win from four attempts and he has looked a touch one-paced.
It would require a big improvement to take out the Karaka Million.
9. Wolverine (Best Bet – $3.90) Bet @ Sportsbet
It took an enquiry to keep her unbeaten record in tact last start, but Wolverine is a classy filly.
The daughter of Tivaci, who is owned by Australian Bloodstock, is three-from-three and she looks like a nice type in the making.
Barrier 13 has somewhat dented her chances, but the winner needs luck regardless. She is good enough to carry our support and the odds are generous.
10. Pacific Dragon ($10) Bet @ Sportsbet
The Tony Pike-trained filly has yet to finish worse than second in four career starts, so that consistency stacks up nicely.
She beat Wolverine across the line last start but interfered with the favourite. It was still a good effort and she can’t be left out of trifecta and first four selections.
12. Gwen Stephani ($61) Bet @ Sportsbet
She finished 5.5 lengths behind Time Ruler last start and we can’t see her turning that performance around.
Talented in her own right, but she would appreciate an easier race.
13. Diss is Dramatic ($15) Bet @ Sportsbet
She scored an upset on debut and that was her only start. The breeding suggests she wants further, so look for her to be a factor in the 3YO next year.
14. Timeless ($41) Bet @ Sportsbet
Improving effort for third last start but she isn’t running well enough.
15. Time Flies ($12) Bet @ Sportsbet
A costly runner for punters so far. He has been defeated at odds of $1.20 and $1.30, but he’s not guaranteed a spot.
He would need a scratching to get in the field and even if he gets in, he’s not running well enough.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.