2023 Melbourne Cup Tips for Trifecta & First Four

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We have expert betting tips for the Melbourne Cup at Flemington on Tuesday, which is the race that stops a nation.

We have a runner-by-runner betting guide available for the Melbourne Cup, where the internationals look to beat the Australians over 3200m.

It’s going to be another classic edition of the great race, and we have our best Melbourne Cup tips.


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Our best bets for Melbourne Cup 2023

Best Bet:

#5 Vauban @ $3.30

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Best Each Way Bet:

#3 Without a Fight @ $7

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Best Roughie:

#7 Absurde @ $21

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Melbourne Cup Tips for Trifecta

Punters should have six runners on their ticket for the Melbourne Cup trifecta. We recommend taking a boxed percentage trifecta. Spend what you want, and the payouts can be massive.

  • Vauban
  • Without a Fight
  • Absurde
  • Gold Trip
  • Soulcombe
  • Vow and Declare
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Melbourne Cup Tips for First-Four

We have included eight runners for our Melbourne Cup first-four. Boxing all eight selections for a percentage can still result in a huge payout, and you spend what you want.

  • Vauban
  • Without a Fight
  • Absurde
  • Gold Trip
  • Soulcombe
  • Vow and Declare
  • Breakup
  • Future History
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Melbourne Cup Form Guide & Tips

1. Gold Trip ($4.80)

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It’s not easy to win consecutive Melbourne Cups, but there is good confidence with Gold Trip.

He has looked good throughout his campaign, and although he has been busy and carries 58.5kg, he can’t be left out.

2. Alenquer ($71)

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His form this preparation hasn’t been good enough, and we don’t think he has upset claims at the odds.

3. Without a Fight (Best Each Way – $7)

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Stellar form leading into the Melbourne Cup. He battled best to win the Caulfield Cup, and we expect him to be fighting out the finish.

He has been rock-solid in betting markets, which isn’t surprising given his form. He’s a leading chance and the barrier doesn’t matter over this distance.

4. Breakup ($19)

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Beware the Japanese runners, as we found out in the Golden Eagle. Eighth in the Caulfield Cup, and it could improve on that effort.

There is some market confidence, so he can’t be completely ruled out.

5. Vauban (Best Bet – $3.30)

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European form reads well for the Melbourne Cup and Vauban is one of the more promising Europeans in recent history.

The Willie Mullins-trained runner owns seven wins from 14 starts, and he has some high-class wins on his record.

Favourites don’t have a good record, but he could be better than most.

6. Soulcombe ($10)

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Soulcombe has good local form and we expect him to be fighting out the finish.

A brilliant fresh up winner and he has been threatening to win since. Having Joao Moreira in the saddle is a bonus.

7. Absurde (Best Roughie – $21)

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Absurde is Mullins’ second choice stayer, but that doesn’t mean he can’t beat the stablemate.

He comes off a massive Ebor win with 60.5kg on his back, which is a mammoth effort. The Ebor hasn’t been the best guide, but dropping to 53kg must be taken into consideration.

8. Right You Are ($67)

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He looked much better last season, so we’re happy to leave him out. He looks to have lost a length or two.

9. Vow and Declare ($34)

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The former Melbourne Cup winner is back to his best after consecutive placings.

He is going well enough to win, and he knows what it takes. Considering Gold Trip carries 58.5kg and he gets 53kg as a former Melbourne Cup winner, we can’t leave him out.

10. Cleveland ($27)

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Cleveland scored an overdue Australian win last time out, but we don’t think he’s good enough to win the Melbourne Cup.

Drawing barrier 23 doesn’t add to his appeal, so he doesn’t enter our calculations.

11. Ashrun ($41)

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Much better when running second in the Geelong Cup, but that form isn’t as good as it used to be.

His run in 2020 was good, but a lot of water has gone under the bridge since then.

12. Daqiansweet Junior ($101)

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A surprise entry in the field given his form. The former New Zealand runner is unlikely to threaten at the big odds.

13. Okita Soushi ($126)

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Joseph O’Brien lines up the Irish-bred runner, who ran 12th in the Caulfield Cup. Didn’t finish well enough in that race after getting a good trip.

Unlikely to improve enough to win.

14. Sheraz ($126)

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Not hitting out well enough this season to warrant attention. Wide draw, and although he has the Waller polish, it might not be enough.

15. Lastotchka ($26)

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Capped off consistent form with a win at Longchamp, which came over 3100m.

Her best form has come on wet tracks, and although some rain is expected on race day, the track will be too dry.

16. Magical London ($126)

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Not racing well enough this season to give any chance, hence the massive odds.

17. Military Mission ($41)

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He has won two of his last three starts, and he will make his own luck near the speed. There has been some money for him, but we don’t think he’s good enough.

The Waterhouse/Bott factor could see his odds shorten.

18. Serpentine ($67)

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Consistent enough this preparation, but he lacks the class to really kick on with it.

Getting 51kg on his back is a bonus, but he should be looking for something easier.

19. Virtuous Circle ($126)

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Not hitting out to the best of his ability this season. Only a two-race winner, so he’s lucky to get in the field.

20. More Felons ($35)

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Another Waller runner who ran fifth at Geelong in his Australian debut. No match for Vauban and Absurde in the UK, so don’t take the $35.

21. Future History ($26)

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We don’t mind Future History, who has been running well. Third behind Cleveland last start, but he didn’t have all favours.

He settles well and 50kg is a steal. With Hollie Doyle riding, it would also make for a good story.

22. Interpretation ($126)

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The Bendigo Cup winner did well to make the field, but he has yet to fire from six starts at Flemington.

He is better suited to the country cups.

23. Kalapour ($61)

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He comes off a win but he’s not the most dynamic stayer going around. We can’t include him.

24. True Marvel ($151)

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Wants it wet, and the odds are accurate.

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Melbourne Cup History

Melbourne Cup betting markets

Melbourne Cup betting strategies

When does the Melbourne Cup barrier draw take place?

International horses in the Melbourne Cup

Melbourne Cup field

Fashions on the field

Who are the best Melbourne Cup jockeys?

Who are the best Melbourne Cup trainers?

Notable Melbourne Cup records

For betting on our expert horse racing tips - including our Melbourne Cup tips, we recommend checking out our top Australian bookmakers, betting sites Australia, horse racing betting sites and betting apps.

Categories: Flemington Race Tips, Horse Racing Tips, Tuesday Horse Racing Tips

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.