We have expert betting tips for the card this Saturday at Morphettville that features nine quality betting races.
Stakes racing takes centre stage in South Australia and we have our best value bets throughout the day.
Morphettville horse racing tips
Race 1. (12:26) Terry Howe Printing Maiden (1000m)
#6 – Fall on a Star @ $2.05 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Fall on a Star doesn’t have the best form coming into this race but she meets much easier form here.
The three-year-old filly used to be in the Kris Lees stable, so she has been taking on harder opposition in Sydney.
It could pay to follow the betting moves.
Race 2. (13:01) Tab BM78 (1000m)
#1 – Too Good Too Hard @ $4.20 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Too Good Too Hard is classy at best and she has four wins and six placings from 15 career starts.
The Phillip Stokes-trained five-year-old ended her last campaign with four consecutive placings and she could return a winner here.
3kg comes off her back and she should start close to favouritism.
Race 3. (13:36) Adelaide Racing Carnival BM78 (1300m)
#1 – Maritana @ $3.70 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Maritana is getting close with every run and it comes off a third placing at Caulfield behind Blinder, which is good form for this level.
The five-year-old gelding is a five-time winner from 14 starts and although yet to run at Morphettville, it’s a track that should suit.
She gets 3kg off her back and we’re expecting a big run.
Race 4. (14:11) Cameron Davidson Painters BM68 (1400m)
#11 – Born to Play @ $4.20 – Bet @ Sportsbet
The McEvoy-trained four-year-old has been around the mark throughout her career and she could cap off consistent form with a win.
She finished second at Morphettville two back before repeating the dose at Oakbank behind Going Gaga last start. There were 4.8 lengths between her and the winner, but this looks easier.
54kg is ideal and punters get value each-way odds.
Race 5. (14:56) M & B Stewart’s 63rd BM60 (1250m)
#5 – Johnny Chutzpah @ $2.70 – Bet @ Sportsbet
The three-year-old gelding comes off a win at Benalla and he could be a type that rises through the grades in style.
He is bred to be better than average and he gets some things in his favour. He gets the inside draw and a 2kg claimer in the saddle, so expect another top run.
The $2.70 should continue to firm throughout the week.
Race 6. (15:26) H C Nitschke Stakes (1400m)
#6 – Annavisto @ $2.15 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Annavisto has won four of her seven career starts, including back-to-back victories at Bendigo and Caulfield.
She is a tough type that makes her own luck in front and she carried 60kg to victory last start, so dropping to 55.5kg is ideal.
She meets some tough types in this feature race, but we’re in her camp.
Race 7. (16:06) Holdfast City of Adelaide Handicap (1400m)
#2 – Groundswell @ $2.50 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Groundswell is all class and the four-year-old showed that when winning at Bendigo from in front last start.
The Freedman-trained gelding is now a four-time winner from 15 starts and he doesn’t often face easy fields. His 2.8-length win was against a tough field and that measures nicely for this contest.
Expect the $2.50 to hold steady throughout the week.
Race 8. (16:45) Breeders’ Stakes (1200m)
#2 – Karacasu @ $5 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Karacasu finished second on debut before winning against tough company at Morphettville last time out.
He hit the line with good power and that form should measure up in the Breeders’ Stakes. He has since had a quiet trial and punters get value odds.
$5 for the favourite is good shopping and he could mature into a smart type.
Race 9. (17:25) Chairman’s Stakes (2040m)
#1 – Royal Mile @ $3.50 – Bet @ Sportsbet
The three-year-old has yet to finish outside the top two from seven career starts and that’s tough to overlook.
He comes off a terrific win at Morphettville when beating a field of 15 and that came against some smart types, including Let’s Karaka Deal.
We like his form at this level and he has the South Australian Derby in his sights.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.