It’s Geelong Cup day in Victoria with a quality field trying to force their way into the Melbourne Cup.
The nine-race card also features the Geelong Classic (Derby Trial) and the Rosemont Stud Stakes. All three major fields have attracted some talented thoroughbreds and it’s always a great day on the punt come Geelong Cup day.
Warwick Farm has only a seven-race card, but the competitive fields have forced bookmakers to dish out good each way value odds throughout the day.
Geelong Cup Day free tips & form
Race 2. (13:00) Jack Rabbit Vineyard Handicap (2400m)
Darren Weir is coming off a mammoth Caulfield Cup day and he’ll be looking for some early success at Geelong with Ubin Thunderstruck.
The five-year-old was no match for Tiger Tim last start, but he didn’t get every chance to show his best and the performance was credible given the circumstances.
Stretching out to 2400m is ideal and he defeated the highly-touted Crocodile Rock over this distance earlier in the season.
He comes right into contention with some rain and the forecast is predicting it.
Race 4. (14:10) The Melbourne Cup Carnival R78 (1500m)
We’re surprised at the long odds on offer for Macrobius and he represents good each way value.
The Jamie Edwards-trained gelding is coming off a solid effort for fifth behind the Chris Waller-trained Alward last start at Flemington.
This is a drop in quality and although the drop in distance is a worry, he likes to lead and he could put a couple of lengths on them coming into the straight.
It’s a wide open field and he represents value.
Race 5. (14:45) Shojum Concrete Plate (1200m)
Urban Ruler opened at $5, but due to the expected rain his odds have dropped to $4.60.
The Greg Eurell-trained four-year-old has won two of his three starts on a slow surface and his only start on a dead track.
He’s fresh up here which reads well and the race should map out perfectly for him. The son of Street Boss has drawn barrier three with Damien Oliver in the saddle and he’ll likely let the leaders go around him and sit just off the pace.
He’s got a lovely turn-of-foot and he just needs clear running room in the big field.
Race 6. (15:20) Geelong Classic (2200m)
Weather With You travelled to Australia with only the Victorian Derby in mind, but it needs to start showing something because time is running out.
This could be last chance saloon for the Baker/Forsman-trained Kiwi runner which has yet to win a race, but he did show some fight last start.
The son of Teofilo battled on well behidn Main Stage and his form prior included a second placing in the NZ Champagne Stakes behind Qiji Phoenix.
That’s handy form and getting the sting out of the track is going to be ideal for a New Zealand-trained stayer.
Race 7. (16:00) Geelong Cup (2400m)
Darren Weir has a good charge in this race which includes race favourite Gallic Chieftain, but Kellstorm has been heavily-backed in the market and with good reason.
The imported entire loves the wet and conditions are expected to suit come Wednesday. He has had eight starts on either slow or heavy tracks for five wins and three placings.
That’s some record in the wet and his performance behind Amelie’s Star last start was a good form guide coming into the Geelong Cup.
We’re expecting his current odds to continue to firm throughout the week.
Race 8. (16:40) Rosemont Stud Stakes (1200m)
We would have suggested to take Quilista to win at $4.20, but this is a hot field and there’s more insurance going with place options.
The Weir-trained four-year-old is another quality import from Perth and she has some good form lines heading into this.
She finished third behind subsequent Caulfield winner Snitty Kitty last start and she defeated Theanswerismyfriend three starts ago.
She is yet to finish out of the money in five starts at this distance, but in a maximum field, we’re confident she can run top three.
Warwick Farm free tips and form
Race 2. (14:35) Casino Prince Maiden Plate (1300m)
Faith in Hand is trained by Chris Waller and she looks ready to break maiden grades.
The three-year-old filly has placed in three of her five starts and she drops back from running seventh in the Reg Allen Quality last start.
She finished only 1.8 lengths behind Torvill on that occasion, which is a good midweek form guide and she won’t have to use much energy from the inside barrier.
Expect jockey Blake Shinn to sit just in behind the leaders and push out into the clear around the home turn.
Race 4. (15:50) Tab Handicap (1000m)
Marble will run at short odds here, but that’s fair given his form.
The James Cummings-trained colt defeated the talented Songlike on debut at Hawkesbury before being sent for a spell.
The son of Exceed And Excel ran a quick time for the 1000m (57.11) and that’s going to hold him in good stead for this.
Drawing barrier eight could make it tricky, but this isn’t the most talented field he’ll ever face and he’s getting a significant weight advantage over most of his opposition.
Race 5. (16:30) McGrath Estate Agents Handicap (1600m)
The four-year-old is paying good each way odds following a win at Hawkesbury.
The John Thompson-trained four-year-old mare put up three lengths on her rivals last start and that bodes well moving forward.
Her form prior to winning included a placing at Kembla Grange and she was considered good enough to run in the Inglis Guineas at Scone earlier this year.
She’s getting back to the form which saw her run second behind My True Love at Randwick and that’s dangerous form at this level.
Race 7. (17:50) McGrath Estate Agents Vic Handicap (1200m)
We expected Zonk to be odds on after her win on this track last start.
The Les Bridge-trained mare won by 1.5 lengths in a dominant on-pace victory. Leading from barrier 11 will make it harder to cross, but she owns some serious gate speed.
The daughter of I Am Invincible has yet to finish outside of the placings at Warwick Farm and she handles a wide range of track conditions.
She has run some good races behind the talented White Moss this year and that form is going to hold up well at midweek level.
She’s drifting in the betting, but we’re not concerned.