Queensland Derby Tips: Trifecta & First Four

We have expert horse racing tips for the Queensland Derby at Eagle Farm on Saturday, which is one of the marquee races of the Brisbane Winter Carnival.

It takes place at Race 7 at 3:13pm, and we have a runner-by-runner betting guide available for the big race.

The race features the likes of Monopolistic, Providence, and Accidental Bid, and the best Australian betting sites have value odds available!

Best Bet

#4 Providence @ $5.50

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Best Each Way

#1 Kilman @ $12.00

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Best Roughie

#3 Different Gravy @ $18.00

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Queensland Derby Tips for Trifecta

Punters should have six runners on their ticket for the Queensland Derby trifecta. We recommend taking a boxed percentage trifecta. Spend what you want, and the payouts can be massive.

Providence
Kilman
Different Gravy
Monopolistic
Solid Gold
Accidental Bid

Queensland Derby First-Four Tips

We have included seven runners for our Queensland Derby first-four. Boxing all seven selections for a percentage can still result in a huge payout, and you spend what you want.

Providence
Kilman
Different Gravy
Monopolistic
Solid Gold
Accidental Bid
Buthelezi

Queensland Derby Runner-By-Runner Guide

1. Kilman (Best Each Way) @ $12.00

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Too good for them in the wet last start, and that’s a good form guide for this race. Good enough to run another big race for Chris Waller.

2. One Step Closer @ $21.00

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Not running well enough this preparation to warrant taking the $21 odds. We rated him at around $34.

3. Different Gravy (Best Roughie) @ $18.00

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His form in the spring was much better, but trainer Henry Dwyer is confident that he can get back to his best form over 2400m.

We’re happy to include him as our best roughie based on his form last November.

4. Providence (Best Bet) @ $5.50

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The Waller/McDonald combination doesn’t often miss at Group 1 level, and he looks set to enjoy 2400m after placing at 2000m at Doomben.

He’s a smart stayer on the rise, and we expect his odds to firm throughout the week.

5. Options @ $34.00

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He has been dour in three runs this prep, which is disappointing. More is needed if he wants a chance to run close.

6. Beauty Swift @ $26.00

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His run for second last start was excellent, but that might have been his peak effort this season.

There are better chances in the Queensland Derby, so we’re leaving him out of our picks at the odds.

7. Monopolistic @ $4.60

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Well-backed to win following a victory at Gosford. We don’t think that’s the best form guide for this race, but we’re not going to leave him out.

As the market suggests, he should be around the mark, so include him in trifecta and first-four bets.

8. Southern Prince @ $27.00

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Had a good run in transit last start when running fourth, but it should be more difficult here. A first four chance with luck in running.

9. Amazake @ $21.00

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Sixth in the SA Derby without getting much luck, and it has been well-backed after opening at $27. Not an easy race, but he could add some value at odds.

10. O’Sheamus @ $27.00

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Only a one-time winner, and he would need to find a few lengths to be competitive at this level.

11. Defendant @ $67.00

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A Waller-trained runner that was good enough to score back-to-back wins earlier this prep. However, rising to this level should be too much for him.

12. Accidental Bid @ $7.50

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A highly touted import who won his first two starts in Australia easily before running sixth last time out.

The track might have been too heavy for him, so we’re happy to give him another chance and include him in all bets.

13. Buthelezi @ $17.00

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The son of Smart Missile is worth including in picks, and he could sneak under the radar. His run for third at Flemington was good, and the rise in distance is ideal.

Take the $17 odds before late money comes for him.

14. Falcon Lair @ $71.00

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Big odds, and following his most recent effort, we’re not surprised.

15. Michelangelo @ $35.00

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Hard to line him up, but he comes off consecutive wins. This is a fair rise in class, which could see his winning form end.

16. Chillies @ $61.00

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He might be too one-paced to win the Queensland Derby, and he pulled up with a coughing problem last time out.

Happy to leave out of our picks at the odds.

17. Inspired Legend @ $101.00

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Triple-figure odds, and he would need to find 5-6 lengths to be competitive.

18. Solid Gold @ $6.50

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The Kiwis are always a good chance in age-group racing, and her run for fifth last time out was excellent.

She’s not being left out of Queensland Derby picks, and the filly could get the job done for the James/Wellwood stable.

19. Certify @ $61.00

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Facing a steep rise in class and he’s unlikely to handle it.

20. Castello Grande @ $101.00

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His form isn’t good enough to cope with Group 1 racing, hence the big odds.

21. Contingency @ $126.00

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Not firing, and it’s a stab in the dark from connections.

22. Valiant Sun @ $81.00

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He’s another runner that would likely be beaten before the turn if he gets a run.

23. Eynesbury @ $101.00

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Big odds, and his form isn’t good enough to compete here.

Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.