The Surround Stakes is always a great race and the Group 1 runs this Saturday at Randwick.
Most of the betting action has come at the top of the book, and it’s going to take a good filly to win.
We do the form to find our best bet, best each way, and best roughie tips.
Surround Stakes Preview & Betting Tips
Our best bets for Surround Stakes
Probabeel @ $4.80 Bet Now
Best Each Way Bet:
Lyre @ $6 Bet Now
How Wowmantic @ $14 Bet Now
Surround Stakes Form Guide & Tips
1. Flit ($3.60) Bet Now
Flit returned to her brilliant best at Randwick last start and there has been a stack of money come her way. The Cummings-trained filly won by 1.8 lengths and she relished the rain-affected conditions.
Going back-to-back at this level isn’t easy and we would have entertained odds of around $6. But the $3.60 is a fraction too short to back.
2. Lyre (Best Each Way – $6) Bet Now
The Freedman stable is firing and Lyre was hitting the line with purpose behind Flit last start. She probably has more upside going forward and last year’s Blue Diamond winner is ready to get back to winning form.
She gets a good run from the draw and punters are getting good value.
3. Kiamichi ($31) Bet Now
The 2019 Golden Slipper winner hasn’t quite come back the same horse and we’re not sure she’s going well enough to win.
Her form at Randwick isn’t good, which consists of six starts for only two placings. The odds suggest that she’s going to struggle and we’re expecting as much.
4. Funstar ($3.60) Bet Now
She’s a quality winner of four of her five starts, and we’re expecting a top effort. Trained by Chris Waller, she scored a 3.3-length win last start when beating Probabeel, but she had every chance in the run.
Drawing barrier 14 is going to make it tough for Funstar on this occasion and she suffered her only defeat fresh up. Good chance but not our top pick.
5. Probabeel (Best Bet – $4.80) Bet Now
It could be a big day for the Kiwi runners and Probabeel looks every chance of winning. She is coming off two stellar victories in New Zealand, which includes a win in the Karaka Million 3YO. She draws a good barrier and that could be enough to turn the tables on Funstar.
Having the race fitness is another positive and with Opie Bosson in the saddle, we’ll happily take the $4.80 available.
6. Missile Mantra ($26) Bet Now
She’s capable on her and we wouldn’t be leaving her right out of calculations. The Snowden-trained filly pushed some good horses close last preparation and if she’s at her best, it could be good enough.
Add to multiples at the generous odds.
7. How Wowmantic (Best Roughie – $14)
The three-year-old is unbeaten after four starts and that’s reason to put her in the mix. Her wins have come against much easier opposition but she has good scope and could add some value.
She just needs a touch of luck from barrier 13.
8. Xilong ($20) Bet Now
Xilong is a four-time winner from six starts and that shouldn’t be ignored. She owns good barrier speed and that should be used from an outside barrier.
If she’s able to get a soft lead in front, which is possible, she could kick away. Chance at the generous odds.
9. Akari ($51) Bet Now
Didn’t show much when seventh fresh up but she was good enough to win three consecutive races last time in work. That form is a touch below this but it wouldn’t be the biggest upset of all time.
10. Betcha Flying ($51) Bet Now
Fresh up after winning one race and placing in three last preparation. Her most recent placing came behind Akari and we’re not sure that’s the best form guide.
Her work at the trials to prepare for this race has been only fair, and we’d prefer to see her have a few runs before backing her.
11. Heart of the Oak ($51) Bet Now
Shooting for her fourth consecutive win and although her most recent win came in benchmark 70 class, she has upside.
The daughter of Sebring could be a nice type for the future but winning the Surround Stakes would be an upset. Look for her to be running on late.
12. Emeralds ($16) Bet Now
Emeralds has promised to deliver in the past and has come up short. She could be a type that enjoys running over distance, and this could be used as a guide for that.
Watch the market as she’s shorter than we expected.
13. Saas Free ($51) Bet Now
Yet to do much wrong but this is a sizable rise in class. It would take some improvement to beat this level of opposition.
14. Aspect Ratio ($101) Bet Now
Appears to have little chance of winning. Wait till it gets out over further distance.