15 of the best fillies will line up in the Group 1 Thousand Guineas at Caulfield on Saturday and there’s some smart types engaged.
Smart Melody is the current favourite but the field is wide open for value and we have done the form to find our best bet, best each way and best roughie for the Saturday feature.
2018 Thousand Guineas final field, barrier draw and odds
Our best bets for the Thousand Guineas 2018
Smart Melody @ $2.60 – BET NOW
Best Each Way:
Thrillster @ $6 – BET NOW
Fiesta @ $10 – BET NOW
Thousand Guineas 2018 Form Guide & Tips
El Dorado Dreaming ($7) – BET NOW
The Kris Lees-trained filly was close to being the best each way bet after hitting the line with purpose behind stablemate Smart Melody last start.
She’s a big race winner already and although that was her only win to date and she paid $81, another win isn’t far away and she seems to be progressing nicely for this run.
$7 is a good price and the $2.50 to place should shorten.
Fiesta (Best Roughie – $11) – BET NOW
Double-figure odds for a Sydney-based filly is great money and her form this campaign has been ultra-consistent.
She finished second behind the likes of Pure Elation, Miss Fabulass and Oohood, with the latter lining up in the Caulfield Guineas on the same day.
Fiesta will get every chance from the draw and she’s a genuine winning hope.
Seabrook ($23) – BET NOW
Didn’t fire a shot last time out and it’s tough to see her turning that form around here. Would need to see a drastic improvement and $23 is too short.
Thrillster (Best Each Way – $6) – BET NOW
Has yet to finish outside of the placings from six starts and her placing behind Smart Melody in the Guineas Prelude was full of merit.
She finished one length behind the current favourite and she had to do some work after sitting four-wide throughout most of the trip.
That should strengthen her up here and she’s a value pick.
Smart Melody (Best Bet – $2.60) – BET NOW
It’s always easy to get excited about an unbeaten runner but Smart Melody appears to be a filly worth getting excited about.
The daughter of Smart Missile is unbeaten from five starts, including the Prelude where she was left in front a long way from the post and still managed to kick well to score by a length.
Drawing barrier two will see her settle close to the pace again and it’s going to take a nice filly to run her down. Top chance and the $2.60 is a good price.
Fundamentalist ($35) – BET NOW
Looked good at the beginning of this preparation but she hasn’t looked good when stepping up in grade. Harder here and she’ll struggle again.
Amphitrite ($9.50) – BET NOW
Comes into the Thousand Guineas with a different form line than most, but her winning record deserves respect.
She has rattled off three straight wins this time in and she scored easily by 1.8 lengths at Flemington last time out. She has yet to race at Caulfield, which is a concern but we wouldn’t be surprised to see her fighting out the finish.
Krone ($15) – BET NOW
1.8 lengths behind Amphitrite last start and that could be a good form guide, but she is only a winner of one from eight starts and we’d need to see more.
Drawing barrier 14 isn’t going to help and we would prefer to see her in something easier.
Aristocratic Miss ($61) – BET NOW
Not a bad effort in the Flight Stakes when finishing only 1.7 lengths behind Oohood. The Tony McEvoy-trained filly has won only one race, which came in maiden grade and that’s the concern.
The Thousand Guineas can throw in a surprise result and Aristocratic Miss would fit the bill.
Qafila ($31) – BET NOW
Was highly-touted when winning on debut at Caulfield but she hasn’t impressed since. She finished fourth behind Sunlight in a moderate field at Caulfield and that was her only solid run this season.
It’s hard to see her finding four lengths to overturn the Prelude result.
Anjana ($26) – BET NOW
Disappointing in all three runs back from a spell, Anjana would have to show a better turn-of-foot to take this out
Darren Weir lines up the filly by Sepoy, which won her first three starts and hasn’t come close since. She looks like a solid play at $26 but she needs to lift.
Tahitian Dancer ($41) – BET NOW
Hasn’t been too far away in recent starts but this looks too tough. Should be paying $61.
Peaceful ($23) – BET NOW
Two lengths behind Wild Planet last start, which isn’t going to be the best form guide for this.
The Kiwi filly looked good in New Zealand but the Kiwis don’t have a great record in this race and it’s tough to see Peaceful bucking the trend.
Music Bay ($26) – BET NOW
Lost some admirers when running sixth in the Prelude and punters should wait until she finds something easier.
Mirette ($27) – BET NOW
4.5-length winner at Benalla last start but this is another kettle of fish. Likely to struggle and place chances seem best.