We have expert betting tips for the cards this Thursday at Cranbourne and Kembla Grange.
There is plenty of value available with bookmakers at the Thursday meetings and we pick out the best selections.
Thursday horse racing tips
Race 1. (13:00) Designer Coolrooms Maiden (1200m)
#2 – Bruja @ $3.40 – Bet @ Sportsbet
The Freedman-trained two-year-old makes his debut after a trial win at Hawkesbury and that form looks good enough for this contest.
He is a son of Dream Ahead that won by three lengths and Sydney form typically stacks up nicely in Victoria, so punters should be confident.
Jamie Kah rides and that is a positive.
Race 3. (14:00) Hertz Cranbourne Maiden (1600m)
#2 – Bobsled @ $11 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Value is with Bobsled, which owns five placings from 10 starts and it won’t take him long to break maidens.
The Richard Laming-trained son of Snitzel comes off a fourth at Swan Hill and he doesn’t need to do much work off the inside draw.
$11 is a terrific price and he should be tough to stop.
Race 4. (14:30) New Zealand Bloodstock Maiden (2025m)
#12 – Zidler @ $2.50 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Zidler comes off back-to-back placings at Bendigo and Geelong, so he’s getting close to posting a breakthrough win.
The Chris Waller-trained three-year-old was only a length behind the winner last start and rising in class is only going to help his chances.
Damien Oliver rides and we expect the current odds to shorten.
Race 6. (15:30) Mercedes-Benz Mornington BM64 (1600m)
#2 – Saint of Katowice @ $2.25 – Bet @ Sportsbet
The Maher/Eustace-trained four-year-old scored back-to-back wins to start his campaign and that form bodes well.
He didn’t fire against a tough field at Rosehill, but he got back to solid form when second at Ballarat on the synthetic surface.
2kg comes off his back and it’s good to see positive betting moves throughout the week.
Race 8. (16:30) Designer Coolrooms BM64 (1000m)
#10 – Mosscon @ $4.20 – Bet @ Sportsbet
The daughter of Mossman owns three wins and 10 placings from 17 starts, so she rarely produces a bad performance.
She has yet to race on this track, but she loves the distance and her recent win at Warrnambool was solid and she could kick on with it.
Her opening odds of $5 have trimmed to $4.20, which is a sizable move.
Race 2. (12:35) Jack Thompson C1 Handicap (1600m)
#2 – Significant Rule @ $3.70 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Significant Rule is a Waterhouse/Bott-trained gelding that comes off a win at Newcastle and that form stacks up nicely.
The son of Medaglia D’oro won by 1.5 lengths and he pulled away nicely, so this grade won’t hold him for very long.
Barrier five is ideal and he has upside.
Race 4. (13:45) Stephen Hood Maiden (1000m)
#7 – Love to Dream @ $4.20 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Love to Dream is on debut for trainer Annabel Neasham and she looked good winning a recent trial.
The two-year-old was an emphatic trial winner at Wyong by 4.3 lengths and we’re not surprised by the big betting push.
She opened at $6.50 and her odds have firmed into $4.20. Those odds could continue to firm, so it could pay to lock in the current price.
Race 5. (14:25) Michael Hood BM64 (1400m)
#5 – Command King @ $3.60 – Bet @ Sportsbet
The John Thompson-trained four-year-old has yet to finish worse than third from five starts, so he’s well worth backing.
He comes off a second placing at Hawkesbury behind Lord Zoulander and that was on the back of two disappointing trials, so he lifted on race day.
Barrier three is ideal and his opening odds of $5.50 have firmed into $3.60. That’s a solid move and it deserves respect.
Race 7. (15:40) Mick Hood C1 Handicap (1200m)
#1 – Explosive Truth @ $2.80 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Explosive Truth didn’t fire at Wyong last start, but not much went right on that occasion and he should be tough to beat here.
The four-year-old son of Spirit of Boom comes off a solid trial placing at Randwick and only the wide draw is a concern.
His odds are holding steady and he’s our top pick.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.