We have expert betting tips for the cards this Thursday at Pakenham and Port Macquarie.
There is always plenty of value with bookmakers on Thursday and we have our best value bets this week.
Thursday horse racing tips
Race 1. (17:25) McMahon’s Maiden Plate (2500m)
#6 – Mr Joobs @ $2.20 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Phillip Stokes lines up the three-year-old gelding that finished second at Cranbourne last time out.
The son of Hampton Court finished only 1.3 lengths behind Exalted Crown and we’re expecting that form to hold up nicely.
$2.20 is a fair price and worth taking in the opening race.
Race 3. (18:30) APM Group Maiden (1400m)
#2 – Hasseltoff @ $2.10 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Hasseltoff has made a consistent start to his career with four placings from five starts. His only poor run came at Caulfield, so dropping to this grade helps.
The son of Toorak Toff started his new campaign with a third placing at Sale, and the track conditions weren’t ideal.
He will be better on an improved surface, so put him on top.
Race 4. (19:00) Austrim Civil Maiden (1600m)
#8 – The Spaniard @ $2.80 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Peter Moody now trains The Spaniard, which finished fifth on debut at Sandown last April.
The well-bred colt by Fastnet Rock was only two lengths behind the likes of Itzhot and Flying Award. That form has stacked up at group level, so there is plenty to like.
Drawing barrier three is ideal and we are happy with the $2.80 available.
Race 7. (20:30) Kentucky Equine Research BM70 (1200m)
#9 – Sassy Salitage @ $3.10 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Despite being out of form, class is with Sassy Salitage. The Greg Eurell-trained four-year-old is dropping significantly back in class and that should make the difference.
Her best recent run came at Caulfield two back where she finished fifth behind Ancestry. That form has been stellar since and the $3.10 won’t last long.
Race 8. (21:00) Meluca Group BM64 (1400m)
#9 – Stay Gold @ $3.20 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Danny O’Brien lines up the last-start winner which could go on with the job now. She scored by a nose over Emerald Crown, which followed a poor showing at Caulfield.
Dropping to midweek quality is a big bonus and after opening at $3.50, there has been a steady flow of money throughout the week.
Race 1. (13:15) Schweppes Handicap (1200m)
#7 – Leave Me Some @ $2.70 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Leave Me Some is coming off an impressive won on this track and it was her second win at Port Macquarie.
The five-year-old let down impressively to score by a half-length and she has finished in the money in eight of her 11 starts.
We can’t overlook that record and she goes on top.
Race 2. (13:50) Burger Urge Maiden Handicap (1000m)
#4 – Muscadelle @ $3 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Muscadelle didn’t do much wrong during her first campaign, which was capped off with a second placing at Tamworth.
The three-year-old filly has since had a trial at Gosford, where she was victorious. That bodes well for this race and punters are getting value odds.
Drawing barrier four is ideal and punters should be confident.
Race 4. (15:05) Game Over Café Maiden (1500m)
#6 – Alastor @ $3.80 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Trainer Kris Lees has a good record at Port Macquarie and Alastor is knocking on the door after consecutive placings.
The three-year-old by Spill The Beans wasn’t far behind a smart type last start and he should have appreciated the fitness.
Stick with him as a maiden win is coming shortly.
Race 6. (16:15) South West Rocks Pro Shop Maiden (1200m)
#13 – Free Dawn @ $2.35 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Free Dawn ran third on debut at Gosford and she carried plenty of betting support on that occasion.
The daughter of Snitzel ran at odds of $3.30 and she has been well-supported to win again. It was a good debut effort in tough track conditions, so the slight easing of the track helps.
She should be tough to beat from barrier five.