We have expert betting tips for the cards this Thursday at Mornington and Hawkesbury.
There is plenty of value available with bookmakers at the Thursday meetings and we have our best bets across the two cards.
Thursday horse racing tips
Race 2. (13:30) Lesley Breaden Maiden (1500m)
#12 – Tiz My Bay @ $3.50 – Bet @ Sportsbet
The three-year-old filly is close to breaking maiden status after running just behind the winners at her last three starts.
She finished second at Pakenham three back behind La Rocque, which is an excellent form guide for this level of racing.
She is better for the fresh up run behind Invincible Caviar, so punters should expect a big effort.
Race 3. (14:00) Angela Jenkins Maiden (1200m)
#2 – Frontman @ $2.05 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Frontman was a good thing beaten at Sandown last start, but punters can get their money back on Thursday.
The three-year-old gelding looked to have the race won before losing it on the line, but to finish so close was a credit to his fighting abilities.
He’s a smart type and the $2.05 won’t last long, so take the odds available now.
Race 5. (15:00) Vale Brendan Woodman BM70 (2050m)
#2 – Rapid Achiever @ $3 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Rapid Achiever is shooting for three consecutive wins and to remain unbeaten. The Maher/Eustace-trained mare won narrowly against a good field at Sandown last start, so that form stacks up well.
It’s no easier here, but she looks like a type that could progress through the grades without too much worry.
The $3 is likely to firm on race day.
Race 6. (15:30) Paul Stokes BM78 (3080m)
#1 – Heir to the Throne @ $3.50 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Carrying 60kg over this distance isn’t easy, but Heir to the Throne is our bet of the day at the price.
He should have defeated Tooradin at Caulfield last start after getting no room in the straight. Had he found a gap, he would have gone straight past.
That form is incredible for this level of racing, so get stuck into the price.
Race 2. (14:10) Tab Provincial Maiden Handicap (1300m)
#1 – Three Wise Men @ $3.30 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Edward Cummings lines up the three-year-old gelding who has faced tough opposition to date.
The son of Divine Prophet ran third behind Overmann at Rosehill two starts back and that form bodes well for maiden racing.
His most recent run came at group level, so it’s only a matter of time before he breaks through.
Race 3. (14:50) Sky Racing Maiden (1100m)
#6 – Kallos @ $1.70 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Kallos ended his first campaign with a second placing at Flemington behind Tycoon Humma, so we’re not surprised at the short odds available.
The James Cummings-trained colt finished fourth behind Telluride and General Beau at his first two starts, which is incredible form for this race.
The $1.70 is likely to firm to around $1.40.
Race 4. (15:25) Independant Liquor Group Maiden (1100m)
#6 – Kir Royale @ $4 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Chris Waller lines up the debutante who has had five trials to prepare. The three-year-old filly by I Am Invincible has the miles in her legs, and she could make a winning debut.
She gets every chance off an inside barrier, and the booking of James McDonald is a good sign. Bookmakers also opened her as favourite, which is another good sign.
It could pay to watch for market moves on race day.
Race 7. (17:15) Living Turf BM64 (1800m)
#11 – Microna @ $26 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Value is with Microna, who has yet to win this preparation. However, he was only a length behind the winner last start and this race isn’t much harder.
The five-year-old would appreciate the track improving to a good surface, but he has handled soft tracks in the past.
Punters get value odds and they’re worth taking.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.