UFC Fight Night 255 takes place on Sunday (AEDT) at the 02 Arena in London, England and we’ve got our UFC predictions for all the fights below and you can place your bets with the best betting sites Australia has to offer!
UFC Fight Night 255 Predictions
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Leon Edwards vs. Sean Brady Prediction
Leon Edwards lost the welterweight title to Belal Muhammad back in July of last year and now returns to fight Sean Brady, who has won his last two fights and is 7-1 overall in the UFC.
The 33-year-old Edwards was unbeaten in 13 UFC fights prior to his unanimous decision title defeat to Muhammad. Edwards perhaps underestimated the current champ that night, having previously appeared to get the better of him early on their first fight three years ago before an accidental eye-poke in the 2nd round led to a no-contest. Edwards is a skilled technical striker with good movement and a patient approach, preferring to wait for the right moment to land with accurate straight punches and cleanly executed kicks. That can result in quite a low-volume approach, but he’s still proven to have a knack for outpointing his opponents over three or five rounds. That can also be seen by the fact that during his rise up the UFC ranks he actually used a surprising amount of wrestling for a UK fighter, and proved to be good enough at that to grind out wins, while he also has good takedown defense too when he needs it.
The 32-year-old Brady eagerly agreed to step in as a replacement for Jack Della Maddalena here on just a months notice, having previously called out the former champ back in December of last year. He’s a well conditioned fighter, so he should be ready to go five hard rounds here. Brady has solid striking ability, and though he’s not as fast or slick as Edwards he’ll apply constant pressure and not give him time and room to settle. He’s physically strong and shows good control in the clinch and on the mat with his solid wrestling, and in particular his very assured grappling. He’s not been the biggest finisher throughout his career, but it’s worth noting that three of his five submission wins have come in his last six UFC fights.
Edwards is the slicker technician on the feet and hits harder too, but if he’s too hesitant to engage then Brady’s pressure and volume could be an issue. The ground battle should also be intriguing as Brady will look to test Edwards wrestling and has good grappling too. Edwards has successfully emerged victorious against very good wrestlers and grapplers in the past though, so while this will be a challenging fight I’ll still take him to win a closely contested decision.
Prediction: Leon Edwards to win by decision.
Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulberg Prediction
Former 205lb champion Jan Blachowicz has picked up a win, a split-decision loss and a split-draw since losing the title in 2021. Now he’ll fight a rising force at light-heavyweight in Carlos Ulberg, who is riding a seven-fight winning streak.
Blachowicz turned 42 last month, and that could make it more challenging for him to return at the peak of his form having not fought for almost 18-months since his split-decision loss to Alex Pereira in 2023. The ex-champ has plenty of experience to draw on though and will seek to make the most of his well-rounded skill-set. On the feet Blachowicz stays composed with good boxing technique, working well behind the jab and also possessing solid kicks and smart distance management. His self-proclaimed ‘legendary Polish power’ may be overstated given that he only has 9 T(KO) finishes from 29 career wins, but he does hit hard enough to command respect. Meanwhile, Blachowicz has very solid wrestling chops and is comfortable grappling too, though most of his submission finishes came back in the Polish promotion KSW many years ago.
The 34-year-old Ulberg hasn’t fought the toughest line-up of opposition so far, with a unanimous decision victory over Volkan Oezdemir last time out being his biggest to date. Nevertheless, you can only beat what’s put in front of you and for the most part he’s done that in style, with four of his seven UFC victories coming via strikes in the 1st round, and another by submission late in the 3rd round. Ulberg is an athletic kickboxer who attacks in volume with a nice blend of speed, power and precision. Ulberg’s ground game looked to be a weak point when he first arrived in the UFC in 2021, but he has made efforts to improve since then, though he’s certainly not faced someone of Blachowicz’s calibre on the mat to really put that to the test.
Blachowicz’s age and inactivity is certainly a glaring issue in this fight, and that will make Ulberg’s fast-starting, action-orientated style and clear speed advantage a real challenge for the former titleholder. Blachowicz’s wrestling could be the key to counter that, but I think Ulberg will be wary of that and keep his distance with quicker footwork. Overall I expect a close fight here, but I’ll take Ulberg to win the striking battle and trouble Blachowicz at times on his way to a decision victory.
Prediction: Carlos Ulberg to win by decision.
Gunnar Nelson vs. Kevin Holland Prediction
Gunnar Nelson has only fought twice in the past five years, but he did win on both occasions. Now he returns for the first time since 2023 to take on Kevin Holland, who is dropping back to welterweight after two first round defeats at 185lbs.
The 36-year-old Nelson shines most on the mat as he’s always been a very talented grappler who is slick and controlled on the mat and has repeatedly proven to be a dangerous finisher there, with all but one of his 10 wins in the UFC coming by submission. Nelson’s striking is less reliable though, adopting a karate-based style that sees him operate on the outside, using fast footwork to dart in and out with low-volume, but accurate strikes. Nelson can also wrestle, but it doesn’t feel like the separate parts of his game blend together particularly well.
It’s not a particularly good sign that changing weight classes to shake off a run of defeats is becoming a recurring theme for the 32-year-old Holland. He first did so back in 2022 after going winless in three fights at 185lbs, but while things started promisingly enough at 170lbs with two wins, he then went on to lose four of his next six bouts. Holland then stepped back up to middleweight last year, picked up a win, then suffered two swift losses, and now is back down at welterweight. In either weight class Holland has a big frame, standing 6ft 3″ with a long 81″ reach, and that’ll give him 4″ in height and very significant 9″ in reach over Nelson. Holland uses those long limbs effectively with his active, dynamic striking, firing off straight punches with power and versatile kicks at range, while elbow and knees are mixed in as he gets into closer quarters. Holland has had issues with his defensive wrestling over the years and struggles to get back to his feet when grounded. He has tried to work on this, but it still feels like a weak point, though offensively he does have something to offer in both regards.
If Holland can keep this on the feet then he has the tools to do well, but that’s a big if. Nelson’s not the best wrestler, but even though his inactivity is a concern his grappling is still of a high enough level that he might only need one opportunity on the mat to end the fight, and I’ll say he does size on a submission finish during the 2nd round.
Prediction: Gunnar Nelson to win by Submission in Rd2.
Molly McCann vs. Alexia Thainara Prediction
Molly McCann has lost three of her last four fights as she now prepares to face off against the debuting Alexia Thainara, who arrives from the Contender Series with an 11-1 record and accepted this fight on just a weeks notice.
The 34-year-old McCann is primarily a boxer who looks to make up for her lack of athleticism with toughness and dogged determination. She’s quite physically strong, particularly now that she’s down at flyweight, but though her willingness to mix in some spinning backfists and elbows led to back-to-back wins via strikes a few years ago, she’s generally not a big finisher and is more likely to wear down her opponents over time with pressure and activity. McCann can work from the clinch too and has been known to go for takedowns from time-to-time, but she has had problems being outwrestled and out-grappled by more convincing operators on the mat, and her last two defeats both came via submission.
Having only a week to get ready for her UFC debut and toughest test to date is hardly ideal for the 27-year-old Thainara. She has the ability to cause problems for McCann though as she’s a good wrestler and has proven to be a threat with her jiu-jitsu, having already earned six submission wins from her 11 career victories, albeit while fighting on the Brazilian regional circuit. Thainara is reasonably comfortable on the feet too, and while she’s the same height as McCann, she will have an additional 5″ in reach to work with.
McCann will have the advantage of a full training camp and will be fuelled by having the UK support behind her, but I think the Brazilian can get this fight to the mat and finding a submission finish at some stage in the first couple of rounds.
Prediction: Alexia Thanaira to win by submission in Rd2.
Jordan Vucenic vs. Chris Duncan Prediction
Jordan Vucenic lost in his UFC debut last year and now returns seeking his first win against Chris Duncan, who has gone 3-1 in the promotion so far.
The 29-year-old Vucenic has good athleticism and is an assured striker, but has proven to be at his most dangerous on the mat. Prior to joining the UFC he was with the Cage Warriors promotion and his last five wins their were all via submission, and it’s also worth noting that during his time there he also beat another fighter on this weekend’s card, Morgan Charriere, albeit only by split-decision. So while he’s relatively new in the UFC, Vucenic has good experience under his belt, and has yet to be finished inside the distance in his 13-3 career.
The 31-year-old Duncan has a gritty, battle-ready style and likes to trade punches at close quarters with solid power. He is not the quickest and is often there to be hit in return though, but he’s tough and willing to fight through adversity when that happens. He can look to wrestle too and though he was submitted quickly in his 2nd UFC fight, he showed he does have something to offer on the mat offensively by earning a 1st round submission finish last time out.
Vucenic feels like the more skilled, refined and athletic fighter here, who can get the better of Duncan on the feet, but is likely to have greater success on the mat, and will demonstrate that with a first round submission finish.
Prediction: Jordan Vucenic to win by Submission in Rd1.
Nathaniel Wood vs. Morgan Charriere Prediction
Nathaniel Wood has won four of his last five UFC fights and now opens up this weekend’s main card against Morgan Charriere, who has gone 2-1 since joining in 2023.
The 31-year-old Wood has crisp boxing ability, good volume and is good on the counter, but he can be hit and hurt at times. He’s happy to keep the fight standing and has solid takedown defense, but he actually won his first three UFC fights in a row via submission and has been dabbling in high-profile grappling match-ups in recent times, earning his BJJ black belt along the way.
Like Wood, the 28-year-old Charriere has a well-rounded skill-set, but while he’s a capable grappler and also has a black belt in judo he typically looks to keep the fight standing. ‘The Last Pirate’ has a patient kickboxing style and can suffer from a lack of volume at times, but when he does engage he is quick, accurate and throws punches and kicks to all levels with good power. As such both of his UFC wins came by KO, while his overall record has 12 finishes via strikes from 20 victories. His hesitance to engage at times can cost him if the fight goes the distance though, with 9 of his 10 defeats coming on the scorecards.
This has the makings of a competitive fight, pitting Wood’s more active offense against Charriere’s harder-hitting, but less frequent attacks. With that in mind Wood has a good chance if he can last the distance, and with the UK crowd roaring him on I’ll say he just edges it on the scorecards.
Prediction: Nathaniel Wood to win by decision.
Check UFC Offers!UFC Fight Night 255 Prelims
(Predicted winners in bold)
Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla
Lone’er Kavanagh vs. Felipe dos Santos
Marcin Tybura vs. Mick Parkin
Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Andrey Pulyaev
Shauna Bannon vs. Puja Tomar
Caolán Loughran vs. Nathan Fletcher
Guram Kutateladze vs. Kauê Fernandes
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