UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot takes place this weekend at the UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas, Nevada – and we’ve got our UFC predictions for all the fights below.
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot Predictions
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Rafael Fiziev vs. Mateusz Gamrot
Top-10 lightweights clash in the main event, with the No.6 ranked Rafael Fiziev’s six-fight winning streak coming to an end last time out due to a majority decision defeat against Justin Gaethje, while the 7th placed Mateusz Gamrot picked up his fifth win in his last six fights by beating Jalin Turner via split-decision.
A former muay thai fighter, Fiziev’s striking is a very impressive sight to behold. He’s extremely technical and dynamic, possessing the dexterity in his limbs to send up a head kick as easily as others throw a jab. He’ll attack in combination to all levels and has genuine knockout power. What makes him all the more impressive is that he combines his striking prowess with surprisingly astute takedown defense to ensure the action stays upright.
Meanwhile, Gamrot is a very well-rounded, durable and doggedly-determined fighter. On the feet he’ll apply pressure and has proven to be a solid striker who can compete on the outside, but likes to swarm opponent with strikes at closer quarters, which opens up opportunities to transition smoothly to takedown attempts. He chains those attempts well and in addition to good wrestling he scrambles well on the mat too and can threaten with submissions as well as ground-and-pound.
It’s worth noting that Gamrot has never been stopped inside the distance, but he does have a habit of being dropped at times. To his credit he tends to just get straight back up and keep going as if nothing happened, but that will catch the eye of the judges. As good as Gamrot it, Fiziev is a level above skill-wise in the striking department and carries the power advantage too, so I expect him to have the biggest moments in this fight, and together with his robust takedown defense that’ll be enough to earn him a hard-fought decision victory.
Prediction: Rafael Fiziev to win by decision.
Bryce Mitchell vs. Dan Ige
Bryce Mitchell’s unbeaten 15-0 record came to an end last time out when he was submitted by rising force Ilia Topuria. Now he takes on Dan Ige who came into this year with four losses in his last five fights, but has turned things around with two wins in a row in 2023 so far.
The 28-year-old Mitchell had a tough night against Topuria, but nevertheless he remains a serious player in the featherweight ranks. He’s worked to improve upon his striking game and can be awkwardly effective at times there, but it’s still the mat where he really thrives, and he’ll work hard to get the fight there to open up grappling opportunities, from which he’s delivered nine submission finishes to date, including a rare twister finish.
The 32-year-old Ige is a tough, well-rounded veteran who has never been stopped inside the distance despite having fought a lot of good fighters over the years. He likes to get inside on his opponents and works well to the body and head with his solid boxing ability, while he’s also a capable wrestler and grappler too.
If the fight stays standing then it favors Ige, but I think Mitchell will find some success with his grappling advantage to get control time on top and work for submissions, before settling for a win on the scorecards.
Prediction: Bryce Mitchell to win by decision.
Marina Rodriguez vs. Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Marina Rodriguez is coming off back-to-back losses for the first time in her career as she now faces Michelle Waterson-Gomez, who is in a tough spot after losing five of her last six fights.
These two actually fought two years ago in a short-notice main event, with Rodriguez emerging the unanimous decision winner on that occasion. It was a fairly competitive fight and Waterson had her moments late on in the five-rounder, but overall it was Rodriguez’s more impactful striking that ruled the roost.
And nothing has happened since to suggest that the outcome would be any different this time around. The 36-year-old Rodriguez remains one of the hardest hitters in the division with her muay thai striking and is physically bigger than Waterson-Gomez, with a 3″ height and reach advantage. She works well on the outside, but is also effective in the clinch too. Her defensive wrestling isn’t the best however, but her submission defense on the mat is solid.
Waterson-Gomez’s karate background is easy to spot as she’s light on her feet and has great dexterity in her legs to unleash kicks, including her swift side kicks to all levels, which found some success against Rodriguez. She’s also capable in the clinch and will attempt throws and trips from there, and that, together with respectable submission ability could be her best chance of getting a win here.
I think the fact it’s only a three-rounder this time favors Rodriguez and with her more powerful kicks and punches I see her winning the striking battle again over three rounds to get back to winning ways.
Prediction: Marina Rodriguez to win by decision.
Bryan Battle vs. A.J. Fletcher
Bryan Battle is a former TUF winner who has compiled a 4-1 record in the UFC so far and now takes on A.J. Fletcher who suffered back-to-back losses in his first two UFC outings, but then rebounded with a submission win in February.
The 26-year-old Fletcher is a muscular welterweight and utilizes that to deliver big power in both his strikes and his takedown attempts. That style can be effective at times, but it means his work isn’t always the cleanest and most technical, which it also tends to wear on his cardio later in his fight. Also, despite his ripped physique he actually has an undersized reach for a welterweight and will be giving up a whopping 10″ to Battle in that regard as well as 3″ in height. To his credit, on the mat Fletcher doesn’t just rely on his wrestling as he also has a capable submission game that’s responsible for five of his nine career stoppage wins.
Battle is quite well-rounded and has good volume in the striking department. He paces himself well and is very durable, which sets him up to do well later on in his fights. That being said, he’s actually had a couple of quick KO wins in the last year or so, but I’m not convinced that’s something we should continue to expect from him going forward. Meanwhile he’s also a decent wrestler and submission threat, though we’ve not seen him tested at a particularly high level yet.
Fletcher might have some success early in this fight if he applies pressure to back Battle up and power into takedown attempts, but I think the longer the fight goes the more it’s going to favor Battle with his strikes from range and better cardio management and so I’ll take him to win on the scorecards.
Prediction: Bryan Battle to win by decision.
Ricardo Ramos vs. Charles Jourdain
Ricardo Ramos has alternated between wins and losses in his last few fights and is coming off a quick KO win. Now he’s getting ready to face Charles Jourdain, who lost two of his three fights in 2022, but claimed a comfortable win over Kron Gracie earlier this year.
Ramos has good muay thai ability and has effectively managed to mix in spinning strikes into his work at times. He doesn’t have the highest output though and his strongest suit is instead his grappling ability on top or off his back, with submission accounting for 7 of his 11 career finishes.
Jourdain has an all-action style that’s fun to watch. He pushes a high pace and has the cardio to back that up, throwing punches in bunches while mixing in some kicks and the occasional flying knee too. He can be there to be hit in return, but he has a good chin and has never been finished via strikes. He prefers to keep the action standing but is not a fish out of water on the mat and can work back to his feet or go for opportunistic submission attempts.
Ramos is perhaps the more likely to deliver a finish out of nowhere here, but I think Jourdain is the more reliable of the two the longer the fight goes with his pace, output and cardio on the feet. The fact that Ramos missed weight by a whopping 8lbs for a fight that was subsequently cancelled back in March is also a bit unsettling, so I’ll take Jourdain to win by decision here.
Prediction: Charles Jourdain to win by decision.
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UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot Prelims
(Predicted winners in bold)
Tim Means vs. Andre Fialho
Mizuki Inoue vs. Hannah Goldy
Mohammed Usman vs. Jake Collier
Cody Brundage vs. Jacob Malkoun
Dan Argueta vs. Miles Johns
Montserrat Ruiz vs. Tamires Vidal
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