UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade Predictions
Amanda Lemos vs. Jessica Andrade
Lemos is currently riding a five-fight winning streak in the UFC as she now approaches her biggest fight to date against former strawweight champion Andrade, who is dropping back down to the division after a 2-1 stint at flyweight.
Lemos has been an impressive force on the feet, with good, accurate shot selection, high output and genuine power, as evidenced by having finishes 7 of her 11 career victories via strikes. She’ll also have the added benefit in this fight of a 3″ height and reach advantage.
This will be Lemos’ first five round fight though and Andrade is a tough opponent to go up against in that environment as she too is a threat on the feet with constant pressure, high volume striking and good power, but significantly she also has proven numerous times that she has excellent cardio and can push that high pace for the full 25 minutes.
Andrade is also very strong and that aids her in the wrestling department, bullying opponents to the mat, where she continues to work at a relentless pace and that could be problematic for Lemos.
So this is a very stiff test for Lemos and I think despite her obvious talent it might prove to be a step too far at this stage as Andrade matches her intensity early and is then able to continue keeping her foot on the gas into the fourth and fifth rounds on the feet while also utilizing her wrestling at times to emerge with a decision victory.
Prediction: Jessica Andrade to win by decision – Bet @ Neds
Clay Guida vs. Claudio Puelles
Guida may now be 40, but he showed there’s still life in the old dog when he registered a second round submission win over Leonardo Santos last time out and now he goes up against the in-form 26-year-old Puelles, who has won all four of his UFC fights to date.
Often when a fighter reaches their 40’s you can start to see a decline in their cardio, but that’s certainly not the case with Guida who is still brimming with energy from start to finish, and that could be a key factor in this fight if it plays out on the feet in particular as while he’s not the most economical, accurate or effective striker, he does stay busy offensively.
Meanwhile, despite his youth, Puelles is actually a fairly low output striker and instead does his best work on the mat, where his grappling ability really shines with multiple submission wins to his name.
That’s something Guida will certainly have to be wary of as he has been tapped out on 10 occasions over the course of his long career. That being said though, Guida is a good wrestler and has solid takedown defense so there is a real chance he could foil Puelles plans to take him down.
This is a tricky fight to call. It’s tempting to pick Puelles as the young fighter riding a wave of momentum, but stylistically this could be a headache for him as Guida will be more active on the feet and can use his wrestling defensively to keep it there or try to stifle him on the mat, so I’m cautiously going to take the veteran to get the decision nod here.
Prediction: Clay Guida to win by decision – Bet @ Neds
Alexander Romanov vs. Chase Sherman
After three losses in a row, Sherman was released from the UFC last week, but remarkably he’s now making an immediate comeback after agreeing to step in on less than a week’s notice against the undefeated Romanov, who boasts a 15-0 record, including four wins in the UFC so far.
This is a golden opportunity out-of-the-blue for Sherman to prove he still belongs in the UFC, but truth be told it’s a terrible match-up for him as though he’s a respectable enough striker with a high output and proven finishing credentials, he really struggles when it comes to the ground game, and that happens to be Romanov’s strongest suit.
Romanov won’t trouble him on the feet, but he shouldn’t need to as ‘King Kong’s’ wrestling advantage will enable him to get the fight to the floor early and often, and from their his mauling ground-and-pound and submission game will offer up plenty of opportunities to find a finish, leading to a second round tapout victory.
Prediction: Alexander Romanov to win by submission in Rd2 – Bet @ Neds
Lando Vannata vs. Charles Jourdain
Vannata’s UFC run has been a real mixed bag, registering a 4-5-2 record so far, but he is coming off a split decision win in his featherweight debut and now goes up against Jourdain, who is 3-3-1 during his time in the Octagon and earned a unanimous decision win last time out.
These are two action-orientated strikers which should make for an exciting stand-up battle. Vannata has good boxing and works well on the counter, while also being weilling to throw in spinning based attacks and has a somewhat hard-to-read rhythm, while Jourdain also fights at a high tempo and has solid striking technique.
Of the two, Jourdain has more finishing power and also good cardio too, which could well pay off for him in the late rounds. Meanwhile, Vannata has shown a willingness to use wrestling in recent times and that could be an interesting wrinkle to his game here as Jourdain would prefer to keep the fight upright, but doesn’t have the most solid takedown defense.
So this has the making of a competitive fight in which both may well relish a back-and-forth battle on the feet and I feel Jourdain can land the more meaningful blows and will maintain a good output offensively for the full three rounds to emerge with a decision win.
Prediction: Charles Jourdain to win by decision – Bet @ Neds
Maycee Barber vs. Montana De La Rosa
After two losses in a row, Barber managed to get a split decision win against Miranda Maverick under her belt last time out and now goes up against De La Rosa, who notched up her first ever TKO win against Ariane Lipski after having had a loss and a draw prior to that.
Barber hasn’t quite lived up to her ‘The Future’ nickname in the UFC so far, but it’s worth remembering she’s still only 23-years-old, so she’s not even close to her peak yet. For now she remains a physically strong fighter with good boxing who let’s her hands go frequently and carries real power by flyweight standards.
On the other hand, while De La Rosa did get that TKO win last time out via ground-and-pound, on the feet she’s never really been much of a threat. instead, her stand-up game is really just a means-to-an-end as she looks to get the fight to the mat, where she can attempt to control the action and hunt for submissions.
Barber has fairly solid takedown defense but will have to be wary of over-committing on her strikes which could leave her more vulnerable to being brought down to the canvas. On the feet it’s very much her fight to win though and I’ll take her to do so via decision.
Prediction: Maycee Barber to win by decision – Bet @ Neds
Sumudaerji vs. Manel Kape
Sumudaerji has won three fights in a row since losing in his UFC debut and now goes up against Kape, who suffered back-to-back losses upon first joining the promotion, but has since rebounded strongly with two wins via KO and TKO respectively.
Sumudaerji is no stranger to having a height and reach advantage at flyweight, and that’s the case here too with 3″ in height and 4″ in reach over Kape. That’s significant as it does fit into his striking style with long, straight punches being an effective weapon, mixed in with kicks to maintain the distance and good movement. He had an impressive finishing rate on the regional Chinese circuit and does hold a KO win in the UFC too.
Kape is also a dynamic striker with fast, heavy hands and good creativity to his attacks, but he will need to close the distance to be at his most effective.
Kape also has the better ground game here with his wrestling in particular which could be a significant factor and it’s worth noting that Sumudaerji has been tapped out four times in the past.
This is an interesting match-up and it’ll be interesting to see how the striking exchanges play out as Sumudaerji could limit Kape’s potent offense with his range work. Nevertheless, Kape is explosive enough to have his moments and I think mixing in his wrestling at times will enable him to ensure rounds go in his favor en-route to a decision win.
Prediction: Manel Kape to win by decision – Bet @ Neds
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade Prelims
(Predicted winners in bold)
Qileng Aori vs. Cameron Else
Jordan Wright vs. Marc-Andre Barriault
Tyson Pedro vs. Ike Villanueva
Dean Barry vs. Mike Jackson
Marcin Prachnio vs. Philipe Lins
Dwight Grant vs. Sergey Khandozhko
Ross Cole is one of the most prolific mixed martial arts writers in the world, having written more than 17,000 MMA news stories for MMA Insight, which he founded in 2009 as a way to channel his passion for the sport of mixed martial arts, and reaching millions of die-hard MMA fans in the process. You can read more of Ross’s work at MMAInsight.com.