UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates Predictions

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UFC Fight Night 247 takes place on Sunday (AEDT) at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, United States and we’ve got our UFC predictions for all the fights below and you can place your bets with the best betting sites Australia has to offer!

UFC Fight Night 247 Predictions

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Neil Magny vs. Carlos Prates Prediction

Neil Magny’s recent pattern of wins followed by losses continued last time out when he suffered a TKO defeat, and so now he’ll try to once again get back in the win column, while Carlos Prates is looking to extend his UFC winning streak so far to four fights.

The 37-year-old Magny is one of the elder statesmen of the 170lb division and he continues to be a respected gatekeeper in the division. In recent years bonafide stars like Shavkat Rakhmonov, Ian Garry and most recently Michael Morales have all passed the Magny test convincingly, but others like Mike Malott and Daniel Rodriguez have faltered. Magny can be tricky to deal with for some as he’s a long-limbed fighter with a solid jack-of-all-trades skill-set, and he combines that with sheer hard work and determination, which can take it’s toll on his opponent’s over time. He’s at his best when he’s employing a grinding approach with clinch work and offensive wrestling though, but his lack of stopping power on the feet and weakness to submissions on the mat can be problematic. He’s also got a lot of miles on the clock at this stage after a very active career and is starting to decline in terms of his speed and durability.

The 31-year-old Prates isn’t quite as lanky as Magny, but he has a good wingspan and as such is only giving up a couple of inches in reach and height here, while he is more athletic too. He uses his reach well as he’s proven to be a sniper on the feet who brings a potent balance of power and precision to his work that’s led to all three of his UFC wins to date ending in KO victories. And that’s a theme that extends right the way through his career, with 15 finishes via strikes from 20 wins overall. Prates also has solid takedown defense to help keep the fight where he wants it.

Magny will be looking to stifle Prates offense here with clinch and ground work, but I think this is the kind of fight where he’s going to be punished by his opponent’s superior speed, punching power and overall athleticism, leading to a 2nd round TKO victory for Prates.

Prediction: Carlos Prates to win by TKO in Rd2.

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Gerald Meerschaert vs. Reiner de Ridder Prediction

Gerald Meerschaert has picked up two submission wins so far in 2024 and now welcomes former two-division ONE FC champion Reiner de Ridder to the UFC.

Credit goes to the 36-year-old Meerschaert for his work ethic as he’s back in the Octagon barely a couple of months after his last fight, and has now amassed 54 bouts in total over the course of his long career. Meerschaert relies on that vast amount of experience on the feet as he’s certainly not a fast, athletic or powerful striker and has a less than stellar chin too. However, he’s shrewd enough to try to keep his distance with kicks while waiting to time clinch or takedown opportunities when his opponent’s close the distance. And once he’s on the mat he’s much more in his element with crafty grappling ability and a battle-proven submission threat that accounts for 29 of his 37 career wins. He has good cardio too and as such often finds his finishes in the 2nd or 3rd rounds.

De Ridder arrives in the UFC fairly late in his career at 34, but he has a solid 17-2 record and enjoyed a lengthy run in the ONE FC promotion, winning both their middleweight (205lb) and light-heavyweight (225lbs) titles in back-to-back fights in 2020 and 2021. However, after a couple of middleweight defenses he then convincingly lost both belts in his final two ONE FC fights, though he has since picked up a TKO win on the regional circuit. De Ridder is cutting down from 205lbs and will be the bigger of the two here with an extra 3″ in height and 2″ in reach, but has similarities to Meerschaert in that he’s also not really a notable striker and instead is more dangerous on the mat with skilled, methodical grappling that’s led to 11 of his 17 wins coming via submission.

I expect this to be a ground battle and it’ll be intriguing to see who comes out on top. Meerschaert has the experience advantage and has been competing at a higher level for a long time, but he has also been submitted 8 times in his career. That being said, only one of those came in the past decade. Still, de Ridder has less miles on the clock and may well have the edge in terms of technique on the mat, and I’ll say that leads him to a third round submission finish.

Prediction: Reiner de Ridder to win by submission in Rd3.

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Ricky Turcios vs. Bernardo Sopai Prediction

Ricky Turcios is 2-2 in the UFC so far and now fights Bernardo Sopai, who was KO’d in his Octagon debut back in March.

The 31-year-old Turcios has a quirky and often wild style, adopting a high-volume approach with unorthodox technique and pressure that makes him unpredictable, but without the power to be much of a finishing threat. Meanwhile, Turcios is a capable offensive wrestler and can be quite tricky on the mat with his chaotic scrambling and submission attempts, but his takedown defense is poor and he’s coming off his first submission loss.

Known as ‘The Lion King’, the 24-year-old Sopai is still at an age where he’s maturing as a fighter and so will have to show his strength of character to rebound after suffering the first KO loss of his 11-3 career in his UFC debut. Sopai will take heart from the fact that he’d actually been performing quite well in that fight until he began to tire and eventually ate a flying knee late in the final round. He’ll give up 2″ in height and a notable 5″ in reach here, but he’s a solid striker with better power than his opponent in his punches and kicks, and can land on the counter. He also has the makings of a competent wrestling game that he’s willing to use sensibly to gain the upper-hand. He’ll need to be more mindful of his cardio this time around though.

I like Sopai to get the win here. Turcios awkward timing and overall approach might be challenging to deal with on the feet, but Sopai has enough power to trouble him if he can find the mark, and I think takedowns and wrestling control might well play a part here to help win rounds and emerge with a decision victory.

Prediction: Bernardo Sopai to win by decision.

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Luana Pinheiro vs. Gillian Robertson Prediction

After a three-fight winning streak to start her UFC career, Luana Pinheiro is now coming off back-to-back losses as she now gets ready to fight Gillian Robertson, who has gone 4-1 in her last five Octagon appearances.

The 30-year-old Pinheiro comes from a judo background and will look to utilize that in her fights. She’s quite aggressive on the feet and will look to close the distance with hard-hitting strikes, though she’s too willing to also eat strikes along the way. Once at close quarters she will look to clinch to set-up her judo throws, while on the mat she’s a capable grappler, though she’s yet to claim a submission win in the UFC despite having had several on the regional circuit. There’s a lot of physicality to Pinheiro’s approach to fighting and that does tend to take a toll on her cardio over time.

The 29-year-old Robertson holds the distinction of having the most submission wins in UFC history (7), and there’s no doubt that grappling is her strongest suit as she’s assured on top, has good back takes and is adept at sinking in rear-naked choke finishes. Robertson is only 14th on the strawweight rankings and holds a 14-8 record overall though, and the biggest reason for that would be that her striking has never been able to catch up to her ability and comfort level on the mat, making life difficult if she couldn’t get the takedowns she needs.

Pinheiro is more rugged and impactful on the feet even if she does lack finesse, but I think that in time this fight will end up on the mat and that’s where Robertson should prove to be the superior technician, leading her to a 2nd round submission win.

Prediction: Gillian Roberts to win by submission in Rd2.

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Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs. Denis Gomes Prediction

Karolina Kowalkiewicz’s four-fight winning streak came to an end with a decision loss back in May and now she’ll fight Denis Gomes, who has gone 3-2 in the promotion so far.

Kowalkiewicz deserves credit for her late-career uptick in form as from 2018-2021 she had to suffer through a slump that saw her lose five fights in a row, while also battling with an autoimmune disease and serious eye injury during that period. The four-fight winning run that followed on from that was a feel-good story, but she’s now coming off a loss and also just turned 39-years-old last month. She’s a striker who is also comfortable in the clinch and relies heavily on her high-volume offense, durability and steely determination to get the better of her opponent’s as she offers very little in the way of a finishing threat. In fact only 1 of her 16 career victories has come via strikes, while two of her three stoppage wins via submission came right at the start of her career.

At 24-year-old Gomes is 15-years younger than her opponent on Saturday night. Like Kowalkiewicz she’s generally an active striker, but she’s a bit more aggressive and carries more strength and power, albeit without much in the way of clean technique. She also has good cardio and can also wrestle offensively too, though she struggles more defensively.

I think Kowalkiewicz’s toughness will see her reach the final bell here, but I do think it’ll be Gomes who lands the harder shots and maintains her pace better along the way, leading her to a decision win.

Prediction: Denis Gomes to win by decision.

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UFC Fight Night 247 Prelims

(Predicted winners in bold)

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs. Zach Scoggins
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Duško Todorović
Matthew Semelsberger vs. Charles Radtke
Cody Stamann vs. Da’Mon Blackshear
Melissa Mullins vs. Klaudia Syguła
Gaston Bolaños vs. Cortavious Romious
Tresean Gore vs. Antonio Trócoli