NBA Tips for Sunday, February 15th 2026

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It’s All-Star Weekend in the NBA, and on Sunday 15th of February we have the two big contests – the Three-Point Contest and Dunk Contest.

The Three-Point Contest is a star-studded field including Damian Lillard who is still recovering from a ruptured achilles, while the Dunk Contest doesn’t have the same profile but there will be plenty of athleticism on display including from the son of a Dunk Contest legend.

All-Star Weekend: 3-Point & Dunk Contest Predictions

NBA Three-Point Contest Winner

Jamal Murray @ $7

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Don’t overthink the fact Jamal Murray hasn’t been here before – history says that’s actually an edge. Eight of the last 15 winners entered the contest as first-timers, including Tyler Herro just last year. The debutants own this event.

The numbers back him up. Murray’s sitting at 43.2% from three on 7.5 attempts a night – that combination of accuracy and volume lines up perfectly with the profile of past winners. He’s 28, which slots him right into the prime-age sweet spot when you look at the last 15 years of results.

And then there’s the intangible – this is a guy who’s delivered in playoff pressure cookers for Denver time and time again. The bright lights of All-Star Saturday aren’t going to faze him. At this price, Murray looks like a sharp play to take out the contest.

NBA Dunk Contest Winner

Jase Richardson @ $4.33

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The storyline writes itself. Jase Richardson’s dad Jason won back-to-back Dunk Contests in 2002 and 2003 as a Golden State Warrior – only the second player after Michael Jordan to go consecutive. If Jase wins, they’d become the first father-son pair to ever claim the crown.

History backs the guards here too. Five of the last seven winners have been guards – the undersized high-flyers get a natural visual boost from judges because every dunk looks more impressive at 6’1″ than 6’10”.

Richardson has that explosive vertical pop, and he’s grown up in a household where one of the greatest contest dunkers of all time has been workshopping dunks with him his whole life. Expect a Warriors throwback tribute at some point – the judges panel of Dwight Howard, Nate Robinson, and Dominique Wilkins will eat that up.

The rest of the field is light. Hayes is athletic but lacks creativity, Bryant has the vertical but is still raw as a rookie, and Johnson was on a two-way deal six weeks ago. Nobody carries the backstory or the built-in crowd factor that Richardson does.

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Sports Writer

Dale Crotty

With more than a decade of experience, few know the NBA like Dale Crotty, who has spent years backing winners for punters across a number of publications and podcasts.

He also specialises in tennis and AFL. More of Dale's tips can be found at Betseeker.com.au.