2024 NBA Finals Game 3 Tips & Predictions

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2024 NBA Finals Game 3 Tips & Predictions

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The NBA Finals continue with Game 3 on Thursday between the Dallas Mavericks and Boston Celtics, with the Celtics leading 2-0.

We have NBA tips and predictions for the third game of the series, including game winner and the best NBA props.

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NBA Finals Game 3 Tips

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks @ American Airlines Center

The Celtics have dominated the series so far, winning both games at TD Garden.

However, winning on the road during the NBA Finals is a much harder task, and they are the $2.08 underdogs to take a 3-0 lead.

Defence has been the determining factor, with the Mavericks being limited to 89 and 98 points, which isn’t good enough at this time of the year.

They are one of the best offensive teams in the NBA, so not scoring over 98 points is a bad time to produce poor offence, and it falls on Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving.

We worried about Doncic’s fatigue before the NBA Finals, and it has come to fruition. We still have those concerns ahead of Game 3, and there is some trepidation with NBA betting markets.

Despite holding the NBA’s best offence to only 107 and 105 points, the Mavericks need to show up and put the ball through the hoop. Scoring over 105 points is needed to win on Thursday, and we’re not sure if they will.

Returning home, where they are 25-16, isn’t a huge advantage. We pictured the Celtics winning 4-0 or 4-1, and that means they need to win at least one game in Dallas.

Our Game 3 Celtics vs Mavericks pick is the Celtics at $2.08. It’s a value price for the best team in the series, and if they were playing at home, punters would get around $1.49.

Take the value available and expect the likes of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown to get down to business. They are 2-0 up and Tatum hasn’t done much in the way of scoring, so if he fires up, the Celtics could steamroll the NBA Game 3 favourites.

Bet: Boston Celtics @ $2.08

Celtics by 6

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Celtics vs Mavericks Game 3 Prop Picks

Kristaps Porzingis made a big impression in Game 1, scoring 20 points before scoring 12 in Game 2.

He is a good value pick at $2.30 to score over 15 points, and he’ll be a key element to the Celtics’ success against the smaller Mavericks guards.

It’s all about confidence for Porzingis, who is having just his third game back from injury, but given the way he has played so far, we have confidence.

A tactical change from the Mavericks could be on its way, which could see Doncic do less rebounding and more getting down the court and setting up the offence.

That should give Dereck Lively more rebounding opportunities, and we’re backing him to have 6+ rebounds in Game 3.

Lively can be a beast on the boards given the opportunity, and he recorded seven boards in Game 2. It’s a value line of $1.76, and well worth including in NBA multis.

There is also a betting market for the first player to record a steal. Our pick is Brown, who is a $7.00 chance to pick their pocket.

Brown is a good defender, and although Doncic is the current favourite at $6.50, the best value resides with the Celtics guard.

We’re also backing Brown to score the first bucket with a dunk. It’s a tough bet to cash, but it pays $51.00, and the risk is worth the reward.

Bet: Jaylen Brown first bucket (dunk) @ $51.00

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.