We have betting picks and predictions for Game 4 of the NBA Finals between the Phoenix Suns and Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday.
Milwaukee had its back against the wall on Monday, but responded with an emphatic 20-point victory at home.
It’s looking like the home team has the advantage in the finals, so Phoenix could rebound and take a commanding 3-1 lead. The Bucks will need to hold home court to tie the series before it heads back to Phoenix.
We look at the best bets for the NBA Finals Game 4 at Fiserv Forum on Thursday.
NBA Finals Game 4 Betting Tips
Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Game 4 Prediction
It was only a matter of time before the Milwaukee Bucks made their presence known in the NBA Finals The 120-100 Game 3 victory was much-needed for this team, which has lacking confidence after losing the first two games.
Giannis Antetokounmpo was on fire with 41 points, and although his supporting cast wasn’t outstanding, they made timely shots. Khris Middleton had 18 points and Jrue Holiday had 21, which was enough to get the job done.
The biggest plus for the Bucks was their defence, which limited Phoenix to only 100 points. Defending the pick-and-roll had been problematic in the first two games, but no Suns scorer had more than 19 points in Game 3.
Limiting the likes of Chris Paul and Devin Booker to under 20 points is a solid effort. Booker had only 10 points in his worst playoff game to date, which consisted of going 3-14 and 1-7 from the three-point line.
Milwaukee’s tremendous home defence picked up and although he doesn’t add much on offence, P.J. Tucker was hounding the ball handler on every play.
Repeating that in Game 4 won’t be easy, but we’re not surprised at the money coming for the Bucks to even the series. Bookmakers have them at $1.51 to win, which is close to the same price they paid for Monday’s win.
The current line is –4.5 and the Bucks are capable of covering the spread. They have an excellent record at home and the confidence levels of the Suns might have taken a dive. Getting off to a good start is key for the Bucks, who were able to soak up the early pressure before letting down with a big second quarter.
The Greek Freak is humming and the Suns don’t have the size to stop him in the paint. He was off in Game 1, but he was still recovering from an injury. His play since has been superb and we think that will continue in Game 4.
We happy to take the –4.5 line and the Bucks should impose their size for the second consecutive game.
Bet: Milwaukee Bucks –4.5 @ $1.91 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Game 4 Prop Bets
We think Brook Lopez steps up and has a big game. He hasn’t been much of a factor since Antetokounmpo returned from injury, but his time is now.
The big man can shoot well from the three-point line and he scored 11 points on Monday, so he’s getting close to having a breakout game.
Punters get $3.75 for Lopez to score 15+ points, which is a terrific line. Lopez only played 21 minutes for 11 points, so if he gets more game time, he should be able to score more.
We think Phoenix will put up a lot of shots, so Giannis should be able to grab plenty of rebounds. He is paying $2 to score 14+ rebounds, which is one more than he scored in Game 3.
It is a risk, but he’s a quality player and the primary rebounder for the Bucks, so he should be right around the mark.
Our final exotic bet is Devin Booker to have less than 27.5 points. He’s coming off a poor game and we don’t think he’ll bounce back straight away.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.