NBL Championship Finals – Game 1 Tips & Predictions

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NBL Championship Finals – Game 1 Tips & Predictions

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The NBL Finals tip off on Sunday when Melbourne United face off against the Tasmania JackJumpers at John Cain Arena and we have NBL tips for every game.

The sportsbook has United favored to draw first blood in the best-of-five series, and it promises to be an enthralling affair.

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NBL Finals Game 1 Tips

Sunday 17th March

4.00pm Melbourne United vs Tasmania JackJumpers @ John Cain Arena

United enter the NBL Finals with a 100-94 win over the Illawarra Hawks, so they deserve to be the favourites.

However, there is some trepidation with betting markets around their $1.55 odds, which suggests the JackJumpers are there to play.

Tasmania enters the playoffs with a massive win over the Perth Wildcats, which sent a statement to Melbourne. The JackJumpers won Game 3 100-84, and that came in Perth.

We haven’t seen a more dominant performance against Perth in the history of the NBL playoffs, and for a team in their third year of competition, it was hard not to be impressed.

Scoring 100 points on the road isn’t easy to do, especially in an all-or-nothing contest. They were also terrific on defence, limiting the Wildcats to scores of 89, 94, and 84 points during the three-game series.

Our only worry with the JackJumpers in Game 1 is their lack of NBL Finals experience. United has players who have been in many finals’ games, and that could have a big impact on the game this Sunday.

Given that they were the best team throughout the entire regular season, and they put away an improving Hawks team, we’re going with United to win.

They should take a 1-0 lead with the help of playing at John Cain Arena, so we’re happy to take the $1.55.

Bet: Melbourne United @ $1.55

United by 5

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NBL Finals Game 1 Props

There are some tidy prop bets available for Game 1 of the NBL Finals, including total points and points spread.

Bookmakers have the current points total line at 177.5, and we’re taking the under. We think it could be a low-scoring affair in Melbourne, where defence takes centre stage.

It could also be a nervy opening game, so although it won’t make for good viewing, the under is the way to go for punters.

We’re also taking United –3.5. It’s a fair line for the favourites, and we expect them to win by around five points. Getting $1.90 is better than the $1.55 in head-to-head markets, and although it comes with more risk, United could pull away in the final quarter.

First half markets are popular, especially for punters wanting a quick payout. Backing Melbourne to lead after the first half pays $1.63, so there is slightly better value than outright markets.

The best thing about betting this market is that if it’s a tie at halftime, you get your stake refunded. There is no tie, so punters can bet without that possibility.

Bet: Under 177.5 @ $1.90

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.