We have expert betting predictions for Round 11 of the NBL season, which tips off on Thursday with the Breakers vs United.
Punters get seven NBL games to bet on this week and we do the form to find the best teams to back.
It couldn’t get off to a better start with the New Zealand/Melbourne rivalry. It sets up a big week of NBL action.
NBL Round 11 Predictions
New Zealand Breakers vs Melbourne United @ Bendigo Basketball Stadium
The Breakers desperately need to produce some results, otherwise they will challenge Cairns for the worst record in the NBL.
After three consecutive losses, the Breakers are massively underperforming, but not having one American import hasn’t helped their chances.
Losing Lamar Patterson came at the wrong time for the Breakers, but he wasn’t offering much with the team anyway. He has gone back to Brisbane as the Breakers wait for another prospect.
United was also in trouble after losing four consecutive games. They got back on track when beating Illawarra last Sunday and we’re expecting that form to carry over on Thursday night.
Bet: Melbourne United -7.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Perth Wildcats vs Illawarra Hawks @ RAC Arena
Perth has made its way to the top of the NBL leaderboard after a lengthy winning streak.
The Wildcats are now favourites to win the competition, despite being unwanted in preseason betting markets.
Any team with Bryce Cotton deserves respect and punters will get a good guide into the title hopes of Perth when they face Illawarra on Friday.
The Hawks need to rebound after losing to United, but they’re capable. It hasn’t been all smooth sailing for Illawarra, but at 9-7, they demand attention.
A close game is expected but with the game being in Perth, the edge is with the Wildcats.
Bet: Perth Wildcats to win @ $1.50 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Brisbane Bullets vs New Zealand Breakers @ Nissan Arena
The Breakers play their second game in three days and they could be going 0-2 this week.
Facing Brisbane isn’t easy as the Bullets have won four of their last five games. They are a team that is capable of winning the premiership this season, so the Breakers don’t get any easy games in Round 11.
Victor Law and Nathan Sobey are on fire for the Bullets and we’re not surprised to see bookmakers favouring the home side.
Brisbane is the $1.30 favourite to win and they should get Super Saturday off to a winning start for punters.
Bet: Brisbane Bullets –7.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
S.E. Melbourne Phoenix vs Melbourne United @ John Cain Arena
Melbourne plays its second game in three days and the all-Melbourne derby is always worth watching.
The Phoenix have won four on the bounce and they pulled off an incredible win last week when beating Adelaide 96-89.
It came without superstar Mitch Creek, who won’t be seen for the rest of the season. It’s often harder to win once the news has settled in, so the Phoenix could be in trouble.
Bookmakers have United at $1.72, which is a value NBL price. United is the better team and they have most of their superstars on the court.
We expect the head-to-head line to move throughout the week.
Bet: Melbourne United to win @ $1.72 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Sydney Kings vs Perth Wildcats @ Qudos Bank Arena
Sydney plays its first game of Round 11 after notching three consecutive victories over the last two weeks.
Improved play from Caspar Ware has led to the winning streak for Sydney, which faces a tough ask against the best team in the NBL.
Perth owns 11 wins from 15 games and this will be a good test for its ability. Bookmakers have them as favourites at $1.72, but we give the edge to Sydney at home.
The Kings are playing well enough to score the minor upset and being at Qudos Bank Arena is a bonus.
Bet: Sydney Kings to win @ $2.13 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Cairns Taipans vs Adelaide 36ers @ Cairns Pop Up Arena
Cairns is the worst team in the NBL and there are no doubts about it. However, they take on a tough Adelaide outfit that has lost Josh Giddey.
The potential NBA draft pick went down last week, which won’t do Adelaide’s chances any good. They won’t be stretching him to get back on the court, so Adelaide will be doing it tough from now on.
The Taipans couldn’t make a bucket if it was the ocean. They have lost 14 games this season and are currently riding a lengthy losing streak.
This is their best chance to win, so keep the faith for one more week.
Bet: Cairns Taipans to win @ $1.72 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Illawarra Hawks vs Brisbane Bullets @ WIN Entertainment Centre
We respect both teams coming into this round and it should be one of the games of Round 11.
The Hawks look to bounce back after a loss to Melbourne United, but they have incredible scoring talent on the roster.
Brisbane is another team with great scorers, led by Nathan Sobey. The point guard is having an excellent season and he’s lifting the Brisbane Bullets to a playoff position.
It’s a tough call, but we give the slight edge to Illawarra at home.
Bet: Illawarra Hawks to win @ $1.72 – Bet @ Sportsbet
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.