NBL Round 11 Expert Tips & Predictions

The NBL tips off this week with Round 11 action, kicking off with the Breakers vs. Kings on Wednesday night.

We have NBL betting tips for every game in 2025/26, including this week’s featured games between the Hawks vs. Phoenix, Wildcats vs. United, and 36ers vs. Bullets.

NBL Round 11 Predictions

Wednesday 3/12/25

5:30pm Breakers vs. Kings @ Claudelands Arena

Betting Tip: Kings –3.5 @ $1.90

The Kings won four consecutive games before losing their most recent game, but a bounce back is on the cards to kick off Round 11.

They play the Breakers on the road, and although beating the Breakers in New Zealand isn’t easy, the Kings should have too much scoring prowess.

Look for them to win by around 5-6 points.

Kings by 6

Thursday 4/12/25

7:30pm Hawks vs. Phoenix @ WIN Entertainment Centre

Betting Tip: Phoenix –2.5 @ $1.90

We expect money to come for the Phoenix to cover the –2.5 spread. They have been the more consistent team and defending champions Hawks haven’t impressed us.

The Hawks are riding a losing streak despite having JaVale McGee dominating the paint. They haven’t had enough production from their guards, and they could struggle to get going against a good Phoenix defence.

Take the –2.5 line before it moves to –3.5.

Phoenix by 7

9:30pm Wildcats vs. United @ RAC Arena

Betting Tip: United –3.5 @ $1.90

We believe United is the best team in the NBL this season, so we’re backing them to cover the –3.5 spread against the Wildcats.

After posting four consecutive wins, United is back to its best, and the Wildcats would need to improve to keep up. We can’t see their scorers matching the likes of Milton Doyle and Chris Goulding, so backing United is the way to go.

The –3.5 line is generous for the better team.

United by 8

Friday 5/12/25

7:30pm 36ers vs. Bullets @ Adelaide Entertainment Centre

Betting Tip: 36ers –9.5 @ $1.90

It’s rare to see a –9.5 line in the NBL, but the 36ers are playing much better than the Bullets, and Brisbane has been hit with the injury bug.

There is too much depth with the 36ers, who are headlined by Bryce Cotton, who is playing at an MVP level.

Take the line and expect a dominant victory.

36ers by 15

Saturday 6/12/25

5:30pm Breakers vs. JackJumpers @ Spark Arena

Betting Tip: Breakers @ $1.80

The Breakers have a much better chance of beating the JackJumpers at Spark Arena than beating the Kings on Wednesday night.

They play much better in Auckland, and with the JackJumpers owning just one win from their last five games, they haven’t inspired much confidence.

We’re backing the home team to put a crucial win on the board.

Breakers by 6

7:30pm Hawks vs. Taipans @ WIN Entertainment Centre

Betting Tip: Hawks –4.5 @ $1.90

The Hawks won’t get a better chance to put a win on the board than against the struggling Taipans. It has been another poor showing from the Taipans, who have only one win from their last five.

That should allow the Hawks to dominate the game, and it’s an important week for the home side, which plays two games.

The –4.5 line is generous for a team with more talent on the floor.

Hawks by 9

Sunday 7/12/25

2:30pm Phoenix vs. United @ John Cain Arena

Betting Tip: United -2.5 @ $1.90

The battle for Melbourne supremacy is always exciting to watch, and we’re in favour of United.

They are at the top of the NBL ladder, and we expect them to stay there. The Phoenix is a good team, but United has more scoring threats and better defence.

That should be enough to see them retain their spot at the top.

United by 6

4:30pm Wildcats vs. 36ers @ RAC Arena

Betting Tip: Adelaide @ $1.70

It’s another big game to end Round 11 as the Wildcats host another home game, this time welcoming the red hot 36ers.

The Wildcats have done well to get this far, but we predict a tough run to the finals. They could slip down the ladder, and playing the 36ers doesn’t help.

We have Adelaide winning on the road and keeping in touch with United.

36ers by 6

Daryl Curnow

About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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