As per usual in the NBL, it’s a congested leaderboard after 10 rounds and Round 11 could see the positions on the ladder change significantly.
Every team except Cairns Taipans (one win from 14 games) are in the playoff hunt and it could be a big week for Adelaide and Brisbane, who play twice.
We have expert betting tips for all five NBL Round 11 games, which starts on Boxing Day and ends of New Year’s Eve.
7:50pm Melbourne United vs. Adelaide 36ers @ Melbourne Arena
United are the current premiership favourites after downing the Sydney Kings 75-70 on Sunday night and their momentum will likely continue here.
They face Adelaide 36ers, which looked good in beating the Taipans on Saturday night but the Taipans have offered little resistance this season so it’s tough to line up that form. A positive for the 36ers is that they play twice in Round 11, but the negative is that there’s no easy games.
Beating Melbourne at their home venue won’t be easy and with star players such as Caspar Ware and Josh Boone, United are going to be tough to hold out here and bookmakers are offering solid odds for the home side.
Betting tip: United –4.5 @ $1.90 – BET NOW
United by 8
2:50pm Sydney Kings vs. Brisbane Bullets @ Qudos Bank Arena
Despite a slow start and a last-game loss to Melbourne United, there’s plenty of positives coming out of the Kings camp and they’ll be looking to hold off a red-hot Bullets team.
The Bullets also looked horrible to start the 2018/2019 season but they have stormed into a top-four position with a win over the Perth Wildcats last week. The 93-86 win proved to their fans that they can compete against the top echelon teams in the NBL and they face another one on Saturday.
The Kings might have lost to United in Round 10 but they only let in 75 points in what was a good defensive performance. Former NBA No.1 pick Andrew Bogut has been tearing through the league since joining this season and he could dominate a smaller Bullets team in the paint.
In terms of match ups, the Kings should be too powerful for the Bullets here but it should be an exciting contest.
Betting tip: Kings to win @ $1.56 – BET NOW
Kings by 5
2:50pm Adelaide 36ers vs. New Zealand Breakers @ Titanium Security Arena
This is going to be an important game for both the 36ers and the Breakers, with the loser being in trouble of falling away from the playoff spots.
The 36ers currently sit in fifth with seven wins from 15 games and the Breakers are on six wins from 14 games. Both teams are only a win or two outside of the top four and the winner here will take a huge heap in the season.
Bookmakers are siding with the 36ers, who play United on Wednesday and will have the benefit of some recent court time under their belts, but the Breakers are coming off a 96-79 thrashing of the Hawks in Hamilton and this is the time when the Breakers typically start making their move.
Shaun Long is showing why he’s highly touted and with support play from the likes of Thomas Abercrombie and Agent 97 Jarrad Weeks, the Breakers are starting to hit top gear.
Travelling from New Zealand to Adelaide won’t be ideal but they have plenty of rest under their belts and should make a good game of it.
Betting tip: Breakers +3.5 @ $1.90 – BET NOW
Breakers by 2
5:30pm Illawarra Hawks vs. Brisbane Bullets @ WIN Entertainment Centre
The Hawks got touched up by the Breakers last week and that’s not a good sign for the team that has ballooned out to an incredible $150 to win the competition.
Despite being only one win behind Brisbane ($8), the competition odds tell punters all they need to know for this game and it’s why the Bullets are the firm favourites to win at $1.65.
This is an important game for the Bullets, especially if they come up short against the Kings earlier in the week. They will need to keep pace with Adelaide, who also play twice this round and a win over the Hawks is a must.
On any given day the Hawks are capable but their recent form is poor and the Bullets should take advantage.
Betting tip: Bullets to win @ $1.65 – BET NOW
Bullets by 7
7:50pm Cairns Taipans vs. Perth Wildcats @ Cairns Convention Centre
Cairns are $501 to win the competition this season and rightfully so after losing 13 of their 14 games to date. Things didn’t look so bad early on but they have been awful since and are quickly becoming the easy-beats of the NBL.
Typically, a tough team to beat at home, the Taipans have yet to give their fans anything to cheer about and facing a hurting Perth team isn’t what they want. Perth suffered a loss to the Hawks on Sunday night and they will be looking to bounce back in fine style.
The Wildcats don’t often lose two games on the bounce and with Bryce Cotton scoring an average of 23.3 points per game, we’re struggling to see where the Taipans will gather enough offensive production to keep up.
Taking away teams to win isn’t easy in the NBL but Perth should have this one covered.
Betting tip: Wildcats to win @ $1.48 – BET NOW
Wildcats by 10