The NBL 2021/22 season starts on Friday and we look at the best bets for NBL winner and season MVP.
Attracting most of the attention are the Sydney Kings and Perth Wildcats, who have been the best-backed teams in the competition.
We have our best value bets for both markets in what is one of the most exciting basketball competitions in the world.
2021/22 NBL Season Predictions
NBL Outright Winner – Perth Wildcats
Sydney has been the best backed to win, but we’re going with the Perth Wildcats to win another title.
They are the most successful team in NBL history and they have an excellent team on paper, led by MVP favourite Bryce Cotton.
The Wildcats played well last year when losing to Melbourne United in the finals, but despite the defeat, there was plenty of upside. They played a lot of games without Cotton, but still managed to make a deep run.
That’s the mark of a good team and with the likes of Vic Law, Michael Frazier and Todd Blanchfield in the team, punters can’t go wrong backing the Wildcats.
Bookmakers have them at $4.20 to win, which is a value price. They always make the playoffs, so the $4.20 in a few months’ time will have likely firmed considerably after the regular season is completed.
Bet: Perth Wildcats @ $4.20 – Bet @ Sportsbet
NBL Best Value – Brisbane Bullets
The Brisbane Bullets aren’t getting much respect with bookmakers. They are paying an incredible $23 to win the NBL Championship, which is outrageous.
They haven’t been performing at their best over the last few years, but that could all change. The roster includes Nathan Sobey, Lamar Patterson and new recruit Isaiah Moss.
If Patterson is fit and anywhere near his best, he can dominate the league. We think new coach James Duncan could provide them with a fresh look and give them some confidence in the early stages.
There is no reason why the Bullets are paying $23, so we’re not going to turn down the value.
Bet: Brisbane Bullets @ $23 – Bet @ Sportsbet
NBL Best Roughie – New Zealand Breakers
It hasn’t been an ideal preseason for the New Zealand Breakers with numerous players and coaches contracting COVID. However, they have performed well through adversity in the past.
New Zealand has had to play most of their recent fixtures in Australia and it’s happening again. Despite everything going against them, they performed well enough last season to be considered at $17.
Losing Tai Webster wasn’t ideal, but they pick up Peyton Siva and Ousmane Dieng, so the young talent is there.
Finn Delany leads the team and we think if the Breakers can make a push for the playoffs, they’ll be hard to beat over the final month.
Bet: New Zealand Breakers @ $17 – Bet @ Sportsbet
NBL MVP Picks
Betting on the NBL MVP race is always fun, so let’s take a look at which players will be making a run for the Most Valuable Player award.
Bryce Cotton @ $6.00 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Shooting for his fourth MVP title is Bryce Cotton. Last season’s winner is again the $6 favourite after paying $6 to win last season.
The Perth Wildcat superstar, who is now an Australian citizen, is the best player in the NBL. He dominates for the Wildcats, and because he’s their primary scorer, he gets most of the votes.
There is no slowing down Cotton, so take the value odds.
Tyler Harvey @ $8.50 – Bet @ Sportsbet
It was a mixed bag for Tyler Harvey last season, but the American has a bright future.
He made shooting the ball look easy for the Illawarra Hawks and we expect more of the same, providing he stays healthy.
Knockdown shooters can go through rough patches, but if Harvey stays consistent and makes smart plays, he will be tough to beat in MVP voting.
Punters get value odds at the $8.50.
Nathan Sobey @ $23 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Nathan Sobey doesn’t get the credit he deserves, but the Brisbane Bullet is a premier playmaker in the NBL.
Not only can he shoot the outside shot, but he’s also one of the most dynamic dunkers. Sobey is a guy every team wants on their team, so his MVP chances are high.
The $23 is an amazing price and we would add him to your selections.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.