The Super Bowl is the biggest sporting event in America and it all goes down this Monday in Minnesota.
In the 52nd edition of the Super Bowl it will be the New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles and it promises to be one of the most exciting editions in recent history.
Tom Brady is searching for his sixth title, which is an incredible feat considering the marginal talent he’s had to throw to but standing in his way is the unlikely hero of Nick Foles.
Foles came in to replace injured quarterback Carson Wentz and has done a terrific job so far, which included a near perfect performance over the Vikings to get into the Super Bowl.
We have done the form for both sides to find our best Super Bowl LII pick for Monday’s game and we’ve also looked at the best exotic markets, including Super Bowl MVP.
New England Patriots form
It was another classic Tom Brady fourth quarter comeback in the Conference Championship against Jacksonville, but we’ve come to expect that from Brady.
He’s out of this world when it comes to handling pressure and that comeback was made even more special by the concussion of top receiver Rob Gronkowski.
Gronk was knocked out earlier in the game and Brady only had the likes of Danny Amendola and James White to throw to for most of the game.
That win set up the Patriots with another chance at Super Bowl success, having won in 2002, 2004, 2005, 2015 and 2017.
There is no lead the Patriots can’t chase down and that makes them extremely tough to beat. Not only have they pulled out improbable wins this season, but they came from 28-3 down against the Falcons in the 2017 Super Bowl to win.
Experience in the big games is key and that’s what the Patriots have in spades. Brady, Gronkowski and coach Bill Belichick have all been there numerous times and putting a stop to the Patriots dynasty is going to be easier said than done.
Bookmakers opened the Patriots at around $1.42, but most of the early money came for the Eagles.
Sportsbet is now offering $1.50 (BET NOW) for the Patriots to win on Monday.
Philadelphia Eagles form
Critics were quick to write off the Philadelphia Eagles when MVP candidate Carson Wentz suffered a season-ending injury, but they have battled with distinction.
Former Eagles starting quarterback Nick Foles has found himself back in the head role and he played like an all-star QB against the Vikings.
The 38-7 was an offensive masterclass from Foles and he reignited this offence, which had its troubles against Atlanta and Dallas heading into the Conference Championship game.
The Eagles had scored only 15 points in those two games, but Foles stood in the pocket against the Vikings and shredded them to bits.
Despite Foles being a key to the Eagles’ success, the running game will need to be established if they’re going to beat the Patriots.
Jay Ajayi is more than capable of taking over the running game and he will need to run for at least 100 yards to give Foles time in the pocket.
Perhaps the most important aspect for the Eagles is the defence. Limited the Patriots to under 24 points could be key because if Brady gets hot early, it’s all over.
The Eagles will be looking to head into the fourth quarter and rely on their defence to stop the inevitable Patriots comeback.
Sportsbet has the Eagles at $2.70 (BET NOW) in the head-to-head market, but punters should expect that price to firm in the closing stages.
Patriots vs. Eagles Super Bowl LII tip
It’s tough to go against the Patriots in a Super Bowl, but there’s something lacking this season for the New England franchise.
We’re not sure if Gronkowski is going to be a factor, especially coming off a concussion and that leaves Tom Brady with little options.
You can only rely on one player for so long and we think Brady’s time might be up. He’s going to face one of the best defensive teams in the NFL and they could make life tough for Brady.
This game probably won’t be about whether Nick Foles can handle the pressure, but more how the running game and defence of the Eagles plays.
Establishing the ground game early will see the Eagles trend in the right direction and they’re the better value play at the $2.70 odds (BET NOW).
Super Bowl LII MVP tip
Tom Brady is the current favourite at $1.62 and if the Patriots win, he’ll likely receive the title, but we’re fancying the chances of a few Eagles’ players.
Jay Ajayi could be the most important player for the Eagles on Monday and if he has a big game and the Eagles win, expect his name to be considered for MVP.
He was limited to 73 yards on 18 carries against the Vikings, but he likes to pop up when he needs to and it comes as no surprise that he’s the second pick at $17 (BET NOW) for the Eagles.
That’s some great value for the London-born player and he could attract some interest as the game gets closer.
We love a feel-good story and how great would it be to see a defensive player awarded the MVP. It rarely happens, but safety Malcolm Jenkins fits the bill for the upset.
Jenkins is an influential player off the field for the Eagles, but he’s had two intercepts this season and containing the Patriots’ receivers could earn him the nod.
He’s currently paying $201 at Sportsbet (BET NOW) to be MVP and we could think of worse things to bet on.
Sportsbet’s BYO Super Bowl markets
Sportsbet gave its followers a chance to suggest bets throughout the week and we’ve picked out the best of the bunch.
One of the more interesting markets is for Tom Brady to have a left-handed pass completion. This would only happen if it was a play close to the line and the Patriots opted for some trick plays, but his injured right hand could come in to play.
Brady has a sore right hand and seeing as the odds are currently $7 for Brady to complete a left-handed pass, it’s worth a shot (BET NOW).
We love seeing a defensive lineman scoring a touchdown and that option pays $10 with Sportsbet (BET NOW). We could see one of the Eagles’ big men forcing Brady into a fumble close to their own line.
It’s quite common for these types of plays to happen in the Super Bowl and punters can take advantage.
Our last exotic tip is for any player who is not a quarterback to complete a pass. This isn’t as uncommon as you would think and we can see both teams trying a few trick shots.
That pays $2.25 which is a fair price (BET NOW).
Super Bowl novelty markets
Sportsbet has eight novelty markets on offer for punters and some of them are truly outrageous.
At $2 is for neither coach to be covered in Gatorade on the ESPN Australia broadcast. We know Bill Belichick doesn’t like to be covered in the sticky sports drink, so punters have been quick to get involved with this option.
$4 is on offer for a random South Sydney Rabbitohs fan to be shown in the stadium at any time during the broadcast. We know the Bunnies’ fans love to get on camera in the U.S. and we wouldn’t put it past the Rabbitohs’ faithful.
Two of the more stupid betting options involve Tom Brady. Punters can get $251 if Brady wins MVP, Patriots win and Brady wears a GOAT mask when accepting the Lombardi Trophy.
Seem ridiculous? Then getting $501 for Brady to climb a light post outside of the stadium after the Patriots win is even more unlikely, especially given the outside temperatures and his sizable insurance cover.
If you’re placing a novelty bet, we’d suggest sticking with the first two options.