NRL Round 1 Expert Tips & Predictions

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NRL Round 1 Expert Tips & Predictions

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The NRL kicks off this Thursday with the Eels vs Storm and we have our best NRL tips for every game this season.

Penrith looks to achieve the three-peat, but it won’t be easy. There are a host of teams looking to end the dynasty.

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NRL Round 1 Tips

Thursday 2/3/23

7:50pm Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm @ CommBank Stadium

There is hype around the Parramatta Eels, and although the Melbourne Storm will eventually be the better team, the Eels usually start well.

They typically lead the competition after eight or so weeks, so we’re happy to pick the Eels to start their year with a win at value odds.

Punters get $2.20 odds with betr, which is a lovely price.

Betting tip: Parramatta Eels @ $2.20

Eels by 4


Eels vs. Storm – betr Same Game Multi

We’ve teamed up with betr to provide the GoBet Multi for the first game of every round of the 2023 NRL season.

For round 1, we love the value with the Eels in head-to-head betting markets, so take the Eels to score an upset win at home.

We don’t see the Eels winning by more than 12 points and it should be a low-scoring contest. Our prediction sees the final score 18-14 in favour of the Eels and we’ll also like the chances of prolific try scorer, Xavier Coates, to score a try for the Storm.

Featuring in our same-game multi is Parramatta 1-12, under 39.5 total match points, and Xavier Coates to score a try at any time for combined odds of $13 (at time of publication).

View our betr SGM here!

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Friday 3/3/23

6:00pm New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights @ Sky Stadium

The Warriors haven’t enjoyed much success over the last few years, but luckily for them, the Knights have enjoyed even less.

Winning doesn’t come naturally to either team, but given the Warriors have home advantage, we’re picking them to win.

The –5.5 line is fair and the Warriors should give their fans something to cheer about.

Betting tip: New Zealand Warriors –5.5 @ $1.79

Warriors by 8

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8:05pm Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos @ BlueBet Stadium

Beating the Penrith Panthers at home first-up is a hard ask for the Broncos, but we think they’re good enough to keep it close.

Our expectations for the Broncos are high. They have the players needed to make a run at the title, so pushing Penrith in Week 1 would be great.

If the Panthers are ever going to struggle, it’s coming off a tough World Club Challenge loss, so they’re there to be beaten.

Betting tip: Brisbane Broncos +13.5 @ $1.94

Panthers by 4

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Saturday 4/3/23

3:00pm Manly Sea Eagles vs Canterbury Bulldogs @ 4 Pines Park

It could be another long year for the Bulldogs, so we expect the Sea Eagles to hit the ground running on Saturday.

There isn’t much confidence in betting markets for the Sea Eagles, who are $1.69 to win. We priced them around $1.40, so there is some trepidation.

However, playing at home helps and bet on the Bulldogs at your own peril.

Betting tip: Manly Sea Eagles @ $1.69

Sea Eagles by 6

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5:30pm North Queensland Cowboys vs Canberra Raiders @ Country Bank Stadium

We have big aspirations for the North Queensland Cowboys, who could contest for the NRL Premiership later this year.

They have a team packed full of quality players and we can’t see the Canberra Raiders keeping up on the road in the opening week.

The Cowboys will have to cover a 7.5 spread, but they should run away double-digit winners and send a message in the opening week.

Betting tip: North Queensland Cowboys –7.5 @ $1.91

Cowboys by 12

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7:35pm Cronulla Sharks vs South Sydney Rabbitohs @ PointsBet Stadium

It’s a tough game to call with two evenly matched sides, but we’re picking the Rabbitohs to win on the road.

They have a formidable team that has played together for years, so that should count for a lot in 2023.

Cronulla is a tough side with top four aspirations, but it can need a few weeks to hit top gear. Therefore, take the Rabbitohs to win in a close contest.

Betting tip: South Sydney Rabbitohs @ $1.68

Rabbitohs by 4

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Sunday 5/3/23

4:05pm Dolphins vs Sydney Roosters @ Suncorp Stadium

The Dolphins are the new kids on the block but they could get an unhappy welcome to the NRL courtesy of the Roosters.

Expectations are low that the Dolphins will win many games in their inaugural year, and kicking off against the Roosters is a tough introduction.

Bookmakers have the margin at 16.5, and although that’s high, we must take the Roosters to win and cover.

Betting tip: Sydney Roosters –16.5 @ $1.91

Roosters by 24

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6:15pm Wests Tigers vs Gold Coast Titans @ Leichhardt Oval

Punters should expect a close contest to close out Round 1 between the Tigers and Titans.

We don’t expect much from either side, but the Titans have more quality and representative players, so they should come out ahead.

Getting $2.15 for the Titans is a fair price and we’re happy to include them.

Betting tip: Gold Coast Titans @ $2.15

Titans by 6

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🤑 Who should you bet with for NRL Round 1?

💰 What is the best bet for NRL Round 1?

📺 How can I watch Round 1 of the NRL season?

🏉 What is the fixture for NRL Round 1?

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.