We have expert betting tips for NRL Finals Week Two which features two high-quality rugby league games.
On the cards this week are the Manly Sea Eagles vs Sydney Roosters on Friday, and the Penrith Panthers vs Parramatta Eels on Saturday.
The winner goes through to play Melbourne and South Sydney in the preliminary finals, so it’s all-or-nothing.
We preview the games to find the best betting value for punters.
NRL Semi Finals Tips
7:50pm Manly Sea Eagles vs Sydney Roosters @ BB Print Stadium
Manly couldn’t have played much worse when losing to the Melbourne Storm last Friday night. The Storm are the best team in the competition, but it was a dour effort from a top four team.
Players that didn’t step up for the Sea Eagles were the senior players, including Tom Trebojevic and Daly Cherry-Evans. They tried hard, but it was a disappointing performance from a team that had promised so much over the last 10 weeks.
They must now rebound against the Sydney Roosters, who escaped to beat the Gold Coast Titans on Saturday. It was a game the Roosters should have won easily, but costly errors almost cost them the game.
Had Titans back Patrick Herbert passed the ball, the Roosters would have been sent packing. It’s not a good sign for the Roosters, who are gripping on with everything they have.
We think Manly is the better team, but bookmakers have a double-digit line. The Sea Eagles are the –10.5 favourites, which could be too much for them to cover. We didn’t see enough from them last week to warrant taking that line.
Sydney should be able to keep it close, and potentially steal a win late.
Betting tip: Sydney Roosters +10.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Sea Eagles by 4
7:50pm Penrith Panthers vs Parramatta Eels @ BB Print Stadium
We’re not sure what happened to the Penrith Panthers last week, but it was the worst they have looked all season.
The South Sydney Rabbitohs were all over them, and we barely saw the likes of Nathan Clearly and Brian To’o have an impact. If the Panthers want to avoid crashing out of the playoffs in dramatic fashion, they will need to play much better.
Penrith has been one of, if not the best, team throughout the regular season. It looked set to return to the Grand Final but beating the Parramatta Eels won’t be a walk in the park.
Parramatta got past the Newcastle Knights on Sunday afternoon thanks to a late penalty try. It was a nervous affair, but what we saw from Mitchell Moses and Blake Ferguson was good enough.
Bookmakers have once again posted a double-digit line, but this time we think the favourite turns up and gets the job done. Panthers coach Ivan Cleary would have lit a fire underneath the Panthers last weekend, which should spur them on.
Penrith is by far the better team when it plays well, so we expect its best form to return. The Panthers should target the Eels up the middle before spreading the ball wide. They are a better defensive side than Newcastle, so Parramatta won’t be able to spread the ball as easily.
11.5 points is a sizable margin, but the Panthers should be looking to make a statement before the preliminary finals next week.
Betting tip: Penrith Panthers –11.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Panthers by 18
🤑 Who should you bet with for the NRL Semi Finals?
💰 What is the best bet for the NRL Semi Finals ?
To find out our best bets for the NRL Semi Finals, read our full NRL Semi Finals preview and betting tips!
📺 How can I watch the NRL Semi Finals?
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🏉 What is the fixture for the NRL Semi Finals?
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After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.