2022 State of Origin Game 1 Expert Tips & Predictions

All odds are with Neds

We have expert betting tips for State of Origin Game 1 between the Queensland Maroons and New South Wales Blues.

Punters have been waiting patiently for Origin to return and we can’t wait to see the NRL’s best players clash at Accor Stadium in Sydney.

The team lineups are some of the most exciting in recent history and it’s going to be an incredible game on Wednesday, June 8th, 2022.

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State of Origin Game 1 Tips

Queensland Maroons vs. New South Wales Blues Game 1 Betting Predictions

The New South Wales Blues enter the 2022 State of Origin with momentum having won last year, but they’re by no means comfortable.

The Queensland Maroons have picked an exciting team, especially the stellar backline, which is good enough to compete against the physical backline of the Blues.

With the likes of Selwyn Cobbo, Xavier Coates, and Kalyn Ponga, there is enough firepower for the Maroons to counter the likes of Brian To’o, Danien Tupou, and Kotoni Staggs.

We give the experience edge to the Maroons, who have Daly Cherry-Evans, Valentine Holmes and Cameron Munster. The Blues also have experienced players but there could be more big game experience with the Queenslanders.

Playing at home is a big assist for the Blues, who are the current $1.60 favourites. However, there is trepidation in betting markets and there could be more holding for the Maroons closer to game time.

We expect the $2.35 for the Maroons to firm into around $2.15 come Wednesday night. The Maroons love being underdogs and it could be the worst thing for the Blues.

Physicality in the forwards often decides who wins, so we like the addition of Tino Fa’asuamaleaui and Kurt Capewell for the Maroons. It’s a more mobile pack and it has strengthened up from last season.

We’re picking the Maroons to produce the slight upset. We love the team Billy Slater has chosen and it has a fresh look but is packed with experienced players at key positions.

There appears to be more enthusiasm with the Maroons and the $2.35 is worth locking in before it shortens.

Bet: Queensland Maroons @ $2.35 Bet @ Neds

State of Origin Game 1 teams and first try scorer predictions

Below are the confirmed teams for State of Origin Game 1.

Queensland Maroons:

  1. Kayln Ponga
  2. Selwyn Cobba
  3. Valentine Holmes
  4. Dane Gagai
  5. Xavier Coates
  6. Cameron Munster
  7. Daly Cherry-Evans
  8. Tino Fa’asuameleaui
  9. Ben Hunt
  10. Josh Papalii
  11. Kurt Capewell
  12. Felise Kaufusi
  13. Reuben Cotter
  14. Harry Grant
  15. Lindsay Collins
  16. Patrick Carrigan
  17. Jeremiah Nanai

New South Wales Blues:

  1. James Tedesco
  2. Brian To’o
  3. Kotoni Staggs
  4. Jack Wighton
  5. Daniel Tupou
  6. Jarome Luai
  7. Nathan Cleary
  8. Payne Haas
  9. Damien Cook
  10. Junior Paulo
  11. Cameron Murray
  12. Tariq Sims
  13. Isaah Yeo
  14. Stephen Crichton
  15. Liam Martin
  16. Regan-Campbell Gillard
  17. Ryan Matterson

Current favouritism in first try-scorer betting markets belongs to Brian To’o and Daniel Tupou, but bookmakers could be missing a trick.

To’o hasn’t been in excellent scoring form for the Penrith Panthers and Tupou doesn’t have much experience fielding high bombs from Nathan Cleary, so we’re looking at the Maroons to make the first impression.

Selwyn Cobbo is an exciting talent and we like the $11 for his chances to score first. He showed his speed when scoring for the Brisbane Broncos and he has 10 tries for the season, which ranks him in fifth.

We also like the chances of Dane Gagai, who always shows up in Origin. His play for the Newcastle Knights hasn’t been stellar but he finds plenty in representative play.

Gagai is a $17 chance to score first and $3.60 to score at any time, which is great value and it’s worth snapping up.

Punters should also take Cobbo to score at $2.35. Origin debutantes often score and he’s a good pick.

Bet: Selwyn Cobbo @ $11 Bet @ Neds


Once again, all odds are with Neds – our No. 1 rated bookmaker. You can join Neds by clicking HERE.

Daryl Curnow
About the Author: Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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