We can’t wait for State of Origin Game 1 at Accor Stadium on Wednesday.
The New South Wales Blues host the Queensland Maroons in a pivotal opening clash, where the winner will have a massive advantage.
Queensland is the $1.80 favourite to win in what’s expected to be a close contest for State of Origin Game 1.
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State of Origin Game 1 Tips
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New South Wales Blues vs Queensland Maroons Game Winner
This could be the toughest game for the Maroons, who typically struggle to win in Sydney. However, it’s tough to look past this team.
They are stacked from top to bottom, and when the likes of Ezra Mam and Selwyn Cobbo couldn’t make the starting side, it shows how deep they are.
There are very little injury concerns with the Maroons, except for Reece Walsh suffering a niggle. However, he played well enough last week to suggest he’ll be fit and ready to fire as Queensland’s most dynamic player.
They have the likes of Xavier Coates, Murray Taulagi, and Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow in the backline, who are three of the quickest players in the NRL.
The Blues don’t have the speed to match, which is the big concern. It’s another stale-looking New South Wales side, with the likes of Hudson Young, Jake Trbojevic, and Cameron McInnes.
We aren’t impressed with their backs, and having the halves pairing of Nicho Hynes and Jarome Luai isn’t going to work. They are both running halves, and that hasn’t been a recipe for success, especially for the Blues.
They will desperately miss the composure of Nathan Cleary, especially Luai. He has been playing well recently, but once he comes up against a team with superstars at every position, he will likely struggle.
We love the $1.80 odds for Queensland. Winning in Sydney isn’t easy, but we can’t overlook the class they have at every position. That could be too much for the home side to overcome.
Betting tip: Queensland Maroons @ $1.80
Queensland by 8
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Anytime try scorer markets provide punters with great value, and we’re backing Xavier Coates to cross the line.
He is paying $2.30 to score at any time throughout the game, and that’s excellent value for the three-time State of Origin try scorer.
We expect Daly Cherry-Evans to use his exceptional kicking game to find Coates on the wing, and he’ll let his height and athleticism do the rest.
He’s also a $10.00 to score the first try in the game, and those odds are too good to pass up.
The speed of Tabuai-Fidow could be too much for the Blues to handle. He has been in good form for the Dolphins at NRL level, and he has been coming in-field for more work.
If he’s anywhere near the play-of-the-ball, expect the Fijian flyer to score a four pointer. He pays $2.80, and those odds are well worth snapping up.
It’s not all about Queensland, so we’re happy to include a Blues player to score. We fancy Stephen Crichton at $3.10.
The rangy back is a powerhouse, and he often leaves his best rugby league for the big stage. The Panthers stand out player can often put the team on his back, so we’re happy to back him to score.
Punters also get value odds for Valentine Holmes to score 8+ points. He’s the Maroons’ goal kicker, so we expect him to land at least three conversions, and we believe he’ll score a try of his own.
The odds of $2.12 are much better than we thought, considering 6+ points pays $1.47. Therefore, grab that value before it firms.
Betting tip: Xavier Coates first tryscorer @ $10.00
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