We have expert betting tips for State of Origin Game 3 between the Queensland Maroons and New South Wales Blues.
With the series tied at 1-1, it’s all on the line at Suncorp Stadium on Wednesday. The Maroons have a great record at home, but they will need to bounce back after the trouncing on Wednesday night.
We look at which team has the edge in the decider, and where punters can find the best State of Origin Game 3 value.
State of Origin Game 3 Tips
Queensland Maroons vs. New South Wales Blues Game 3 Betting Predictions
It doesn’t get much better than a tied State of Origin series, and it’s all on the line at Suncorp Stadium.
The Queensland Maroons have a tremendous record at Suncorp and they don’t often lose deciders on their home turf. However, there are some concerns in the camp.
The health of Cameron Munster was the big talking point from Game 2. The inspirational half was concussed early in the game and he will need to pass a cognitive test next week to be cleared.
If Munster plays, Queensland will get a significant boost from the team that suffered a poor defeat in Game 2. They missed Munster’s creativity on offense and nuggety defense.
A lot of the blame was put on the shoulders of Ben Hunt, but he wasn’t expecting to be introduced into the game so early, so we’ll give him a pass mark for his performance.
The Maroons will need to completely change their defensive tactics, which were disastrous. They played a three-man defense against four NSW players, which was exposed on more than one occasion.
We can’t say what coach Wayne Bennett was thinking, but we hope the Maroons match-up better in Game 3, otherwise the same result looms.
New South Wales finally showed why they are the series favourites. It was a comprehensive display and they were clicking on all cylinders.
Being able to get quick play from the dummy-half was key, which allowed the likes of Tupou and Addo-Carr to stretch their legs.
Bookmakers have the Blues as $1.50 favourites, with Queensland paying $2.68. They are expecting a close game with the line at 6 points, which could favour the home side.
They aren’t as talented on paper, but Queensland knows how to produce the goods with their back against the wall. Playing at Suncorp is another positive factor, so we’re confident in picking the Maroons to keep it close.
Getting off to a good start defensively will help, and we want to see some passion shown. It was sorely lacking in Game 2, but we expect Queensland to be mentally prepared for this contest.
Overall, New South Wales has the advantage, but the Maroons should make it a thrilling contest.
Tip: Queensland Maroons +6 ($1.90) @ Sportsbet.com.au – Bet @ Sportsbet
State of Origin Game 3 teams and first try scorer predictions
Below are the confirmed teams for State of Origin Game 3, as well as their prices to score the first try of the game in Brisbane.
- Valentine Holmes ($15)
- Xavier Coates ($11)
- Ben Hunt ($23)
- Dane Gagai ($15)
- Phillip Sami ($14)
- Cameron Munster ($23)
- Daly Cherry-Evans ($26)
- Lindsay Collins ($71)
- Jake Friend ($51)
- Josh Papalii ($36)
- Felise Kaufusi ($41)
- Jai Arrow ($36)
- Tino Fa’asuamaleaui ($34)
New South Wales Blues:
- James Tedesco ($12)
- Daniel Tupou ($8.50)
- Clint Gutherson ($17)
- Jack Wighton ($13)
- Josh Addo-Carr ($8)
- Cody Walker ($17)
- Nathan Cleary ($21)
- Daniel Saifiti ($56)
- Damien Cook ($23)
- Junior Polo ($56)
- Boyd Cordner ($26)
- Tyson Frizell ($26)
- Jake Trbojevic ($41)
It was Xavier Coates who scored the first try in Game 2 for Queensland. He made an acrobatic move to score in the corner, and we’re backing him in again.
The Greg Inglis 2.0 has been a fan-favourite throughout the series and you can see his confidence growing with every game.
He got a little tired in the second half last Wednesday, but he starts well and he could get the game off to a flying start. Coates is paying $11 to cross the line for the game’s first four-pointer.
Our pick for New South Wales is Nathan Cleary. He looked to attack the line in Game 2 and he almost broke through for the try.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.