NSW vs. QLD: State of Origin Game 3 Tips & Predictions

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State of Origin Game 3 kicks off on Wednesday, and it all comes down to the winner between the Queensland Maroons and New South Wales Blues.

The Maroons took Game 1 in Sydney before the Blues bounced back with a massive win in Game 2 in Melbourne.

Suncorp Stadium hosts State of Origin Game 3, where Queensland is the $1.79 favourite.

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State of Origin Game 3 Tips

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New South Wales Blues vs Queensland Maroons Game 3 Winner

There is no doubt that the Blues were the best team on the park in Game 2. However, nothing went right for Queensland, and we think that changes on Wednesday night.

Trepidation is in betting markets at $1.79, but since when do the Maroons lose at Suncorp Stadium? They are awfully tough to beat in front of a home crowd, and they’re also tough to beat with their backs against the wall.

Many believe the Blues will win Game 3, despite being $2.04 underdogs. However, they were underdogs to win Game 2 until a late flurry of money came for them, and the same could happen again.

With the changes made for Queensland, including bringing in Kalyn Ponga to the bench, we think it has the edge.

The Maroons were outstanding in the opening game, and although blown off the park in Melbourne, it was a series of events which led to the terrible outcome.

They need to improve defensively. The likes of Reece Walsh and Tom Deardon were terrible in defence, so for punters to cash the odds, they need to show up.

With the State of Origin title on the line, we expect the home side to show up. Dane Gagai also returns, so Queensland has its Origin stars back in the fray.

We’re also happy to back them at –1.5, which pays slightly better at $1.82. It comes with more risk, but the Maroons should win by at least two points.

The best pick is the Maroons head-to-head, and they should win another series.

Betting tip: Queensland Maroons @ $1.79

Queensland by 10

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State of Origin Game 3 Exotic Tips

There is always good value with anytime try scorer markets, and we have one player from each team tipped to score.

Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow is a $2.03 chance to score for Queensland, and although embattled by injury lately, he’s a try scoring freak.

His record is outstanding, and we expect plenty of tries on Wednesday night, so we would be shocked if he didn’t cross the line with his extreme pace.

He’s also a $10.00 chance to score first, so those odds are worth snapping up for extra value.

For the Blues, we’re backing Brian To’o to score. The winger played brilliantly in Game 2, and that form should continue to Game 3.

The $1.99 odds are short, but he’s worth including in rugby league multis, and the odds are good for a same-game multi.

Punters can also bet on Player of the Match, and if Queensland win, it’s likely to be Daly Cherry-Evans. He tried his best in Game 2 following the honour in the opening game, and he controls things for the Maroons.

Getting $7.50 is tough to ignore for a player of his class, and he could leave his mark on the series.

Betting tip: Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow first tryscorer @ $10.00

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