The 2018 State of Origin Series might have been decided in Sydney last month but there’s still plenty to play for this Wednesday at Suncorp Stadium.
Pride is big for both teams and the Queenslanders will be looking to avoid a rare 3-0 defeat at the hands of the New South Wales Blues.
We have expert tips for Game 3 this Wednesday which includes head-to-head tips and first try scorer bets.
State of Origin Game 3 head-to-head tip
Injuries have torn through the Queensland camp and adding Kayln Ponga to the list after Game 2 might have been the proverbial nail in the coffin for the Maroons but ruling them out here would be a big mistake.
Queenslanders thrive on being on the underdogs and losing at Suncorp is a rare occurrence, might like losing a series 3-0 to the Blues. Not since 2000 have the Blues swept the Maroons but this will require some effort from the home side.
New South Wales are extremely confident after coming from behind to win Game 2 and although the Maroons covered the spread, it was NSW bettors than went home happy that night.
Seeing Queensland as the $2.25 outsiders at home in a State of Origin game should make punters feel excited as there is great value on offer for the home side. Despite the notable injuries, the Maroons still have the likes of Valentine Holmes, Billy Slater and Dane Gagai, who are all capable of winning a game by themselves.
The worry is with the forward pack with Jai Arrow and Tim Glasby being notable weak links. On the positive, Ben Hunt has been relegated to the bench for the Maroons after another dismal performance in the Queensland colours.
Nothing changes for the Blues, who again boast an exciting and action-packed line up. Josh Addo-Carr brings the speed in the back line and the Panthers pairing James Maloney and Nathan Cleary have done a good job at controlling the game, especially Maloney who could win player of the series.
Whether or not the Blues win depends on their attitude. Will they come out knowing they already have the series wrapped up or will they be desperately seeking a whitewash? It should be the latter and that’s going to make it awfully tough for the Queenslanders.
Having said that, it’s essentially a dead-rubber game and Queensland is a proud team with plenty to prove this Wednesday.
Tip: Queensland to win ($2.25) at Sportsbet.com.au – BET NOW
State of Origin 3 first try-scorer tips
One player for the Maroons who will be wanting to impress is Corey Oates, who has been recalled into the team following the mass amount of injuries to the back line.
Oates is a second-rower in the making but he’s still a quality winger and has the power to cross for a four pointer on Wednesday. Although he’s often used as a battering ram through the middle of the field, Oates might be camped out on the wing to do what he does best, score tries.
Bookmakers have Oates on the second line of betting at $11 and that’s good value for the rangy Brisbane Broncos winger – BET NOW
For the Blues, expect something a little different in the way they attack. They have been going through the middle of the Maroons’ suspect ruck defence and it has been working wonders, but we think they might try target the outside defence of Will Chambers.
That should leave Tom Trbojevic with plenty of try scoring opportunities and the Blues makeshift winger is due a massive game for New South Wales.
The Sea Eagles full back is also on the second line of betting at $11, behind teammate and noted try scorer Josh Addo-Carr, who also looms as a major chance at $9.50 – BET NOW