The Olympic women’s basketball competition continues on Wednesday and the Australians have their backs against the wall.
The Opals face Team USA, who haven’t lost at the Olympic Games for 52 consecutive games. However, Australia recently defeated the United States in a recent exhibition game.
We look at the best bets for Australia vs United States and where punters can find value in exotic betting markets.
Women’s Basketball Australia vs USA Predictions
Australia vs United States Game Prediction
Not having Liz Cambage is catching up with Australia, but the Opals are a fighting chance of pulling off an all-time upset on Wednesday.
It hasn’t been the best Olympic campaign for the Opals, who lost to Belgium 85-70 in the opening game before losing to China 76-74 in a thrilling affair.
Needing a win against Puerto Rico, the Opals produced the goods and scored a 27-point victory. The level of opposition wasn’t overly impressive, but it should give them some confidence heading into the do-or-die quarterfinals.
Team USA is 3-0, but they haven’t been playing up to their usual level. They defeated Nigeria 81-72 in the first-round match before dispatching Japan by 17 points. However, in years gone by the United States would have put 30-40 points on the Japanese.
Despite having a wealth of WNBA talent, they snuck past France 93-82 to qualify top of their group. It wasn’t a convincing win, but the increased level of offence was good to see. Team USA had scored totals of 81 and 86 points in their first two games, so scoring 93 was an offensive boost.
Going in Australia’s favour is its recent exhibition win over the USA. The 70-67 win was Australia’s first win over the United States and it might have rocked the confidence levels of the defending Olympic Games champions.
Bookmakers have Australia as $8.50 underdogs, so they’re not expected to win. There isn’t much value backing Team USA at a shortening quote of $1.04, but there will be much more interest in points spread betting markets.
The line is currently set at 15.5 points, which is tough to cover in a quarterfinal. However, we think this will be a statement game for the United States and they could flex their muscles against a weakened Opals outfit.
Most of the money has come for Australia at that line, so it could shift to around 14.5 points, but we’re confident late money will come for Team USA on game day.
Bet: United States –15.5 @ $1.90 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Australia vs United States Exotic Bets
The total points line is set at 160 points and we think the total goes under. The United States should score around 85 points and we don’t think the Opals are going to score over 75 points.
Punters get $1.83 for both options, but we’re confident the Under 160 will cash and we’ll see a low-scoring contest.
We also think the United States will come out firing and first quarter markets is where punters can find quick value. Team USA is currently the –4.5 favourite in the first quarter and we think they can establish a healthy lead from the start. $1.90 is well worth taking and it only takes 10 minutes for punters to cash.
There is also a favourable halftime line of 7.5. Team USA has the ability to pile on the points quickly and we don’t see Australia sticking with them at the half.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.