We have Argentina vs. New Zealand predictions for the Rugby Championship game on Sunday August 17 at 7:10am.
The All Blacks are only -8.5 favourites on the road, but we believe they are one of the best bets of the week.
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Argentina vs. New Zealand Predictions
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Best Bet
The All Blacks have dominated Argentina over the last 10 years, and we weren’t overly impressed with Argentina’s recent series against England.
They failed to beat England, which had several players missing due to the Lions Tour, so that doesn’t give us confidence in backing the home side. We see them being dominated by New Zealand, who typically see this as an easy target.
We are concerned that bookmakers have the line at –8.5, as they expect a close game, but if New Zealand is anywhere near its best, it should beat Argentina by double digits with ease. They have exceptional attacking players and a much better forward, and Argentina’s forward pack was giving up a penalty on almost every scrum against England.
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Same Game Multi
Tries should come easily for New Zealand, who have a potent backline, including Sevu Reece and the awesome Will Jordan.
Reece is likely to cap off a good backline move with a try on the wing, which is why he’s the $1.64 favourite to score a try. His record is exceptional, and he could even grab a double against Argentina.
We also like Jordan, who is one of the more prolific try scorers in the world. His record speaks for itself, and he likes to insert himself in the midfield. A classy finisher, Jordan should score, and getting $1.73 is a good price from bookmakers.
Over 56.5 points is worth including in what should be an open and free-running game. Conditions should be ideal, so expect a score around 39-21.
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Best Value Bet
We predict an easy win for New Zealand, so we’re looking to cash in with the 13+ line.
Getting $2.35 for an All Blacks 13+ win is good shopping, and we expect money to come for them throughout the week. We would have been happy with $2.10, so it’s a value bet for the Rugby Championship game.