Australian international rugby concludes on Saturday night as the Wallabies take on France in Game 3 at Suncorp Stadium.
The French scored their first win against the Wallabies in Australia for 31 years on Tuesday. The 23-21 victory was an incredible result and France really should have won the series 2-0.
However, the decider plays on Saturday and the market is closer than it has been all series. Bookmakers have France as only 4.5-point underdogs, so a close contest is expected.
We look at the best bets for Australia vs France at Suncorp Stadium in Queensland.
Australia vs. France Game 3 Rugby Predictions
Australia vs France Game 3 Betting Tips
It’s all or nothing as Australia and France battle it out for bragging rights. Australia kicked off the series with a lucky win in Game 1, before losing in the final minute to France in Game 2.
Both games have been incredibly close and we’re expecting more of the same this time around. There has been little between them, but the edge has gone to France, which has been more explosive with ball in hand.
Australia’s young back line is getting caught out and there seems to be a lack of cohesion, which was expected with France, who left out many of their top-level players. It’s not a good sign for Australian rugby going forward, but they’re still a chance of salvaging a win.
Bookmakers have Australia at $1.54, which is the biggest price throughout the series. They were 9.5-point favourites in the first two games, but failed to cover the spread on both occasions.
Punters backing France get only 4.5 points to work with this time around, which makes for a much harder decision. France have been good, but questions about their ability to win back-to-back games is a concern.
They lifted to win Game 2 and that energy might have taken the sting out of their attack, so we expect Australia to be the fresher team. They are better than what they have been showing we expect much better games from the likes of Tom Banks, who has been quiet so far.
Australia has made some chances, including bringing Filipo Daugunu and Reece Hodge into the squad. It injects some explosiveness and it should serve Australia well.
France has also made some changes, but the talented Damian Penaud remains in the team after scoring the first try earlier this week.
Most of the early money has come for France to cover the spread. However, despite being impressed with the French, we’re changing tack and going with Australia. The Wallabies are desperate for success at home and it’s a favourable line at –4.5.
Winning by a converted try shouldn’t be hard and $1.97 is available, so punters are getting the best odds possible.
Bet: Australia –4.5 @ $1.97 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Australia vs France Game 3 Exotic Bets
Marika Koroibete backers will furious with his try being called back on Tuesday, which was a harsh blow for those that took the $9.
He crossed the line for the game’s first try, only for it to be called back after a knock-on 70 metres back. It was a cruel blow, but punters can get their money back by backing the Fijian flyer on Saturday.
Koroibete is paying $9 to score first and given his try-scoring form, he should be on your ticket.
Another player we like to score a try is Damian Penaud. He is in scintillating form and the French back is paying incredible odds to score. Bookmakers have Penaud at $3.50 to score at any time during the game, which is generous.
We think Australia will come out humming and we believe it will lead at halftime and fulltime. HTFT bets are popular in rugby as punters get value odds. Australia is $1.54 to win the game outright, but $2.10 to lead at halftime and win the game.
We’re prepared to take the risk for the better odds.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.