Chiefs vs. Reds Predictions - Super Rugby Finals Week 1 2026

We have Chiefs vs. Reds predictions for Super Rugby Finals Week 1 on Saturday, June 6 at 5:05pm at FMG Stadium in Hamilton.

It’s another New Zealand team hosting a finals game, as the Chiefs look to justify their short odds at home.

Best Bet

Reds +15.5 @ $1.90

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The Reds will need to play their best to keep it close against the Chiefs in Hamilton, but we’re giving the Australians a chance.

Their form over the last few weeks has been good at times, and although they go through a 20-minute spell of playing poorly, their attack is good enough to keep them in the game. Their defence will need to improve to hold out the Chiefs, but they should be prepared for this game.

There is a sizable class difference between the Kiwi and Australian teams, but the Reds should give fans something to cheer. They just need to start well, which could make the Chiefs panic, and a +15.5-point start is significant.

We have the Chiefs winning, but it could be less than two converted tries.

Same Game Multi

Reds +8.5, Samisoni Taukei’aho Anytime Try Scorer, Tim Ryan Anytime Try Scorer, Under 57.5 Points @ $9.80

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Samisoni Taukei’aho might be a forward, but he loves scoring tries. He always finds a way to score close to the line, and that’s why he’s the $1.83 second favourite.

Punters get better value with Tim Ryan, and the Reds could do with him scoring a try. They need to keep up with the Chiefs, but given the way he has played this season, he should be confident of crossing the line at $2.40.

Under 57.5 points is one of our better Super Rugby prop bets this week. Conditions will be soggy in Hamilton, with a stack of rain coming this week, and it could make conditions tough to score tries.

Best Value Bet

Chiefs 1-12 @ $3.25

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We’re hoping for one close game this week, and it would be a shame to see the Reds get blown out after their solid season.

The Chiefs haven’t always played to a high level, and although they have a wealth of finals experience, the Reds are on the improve.

The $3.25 odds for a Chiefs 1-12 win is a good price.

Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.