Crusaders vs. Waratahs Predictions – Super Rugby Week 11 2026

We have Crusaders vs. Waratahs predictions for Super Rugby Week 11 on Friday, April 24 at 5:35pm at One New Zealand Stadium.

Super Rugby odds have the Crusaders at short odds, but the Waratahs could make a game of it.

Best Bet

Waratahs +17.5 @ $1.90

The Crusaders are going through a rough patch with injuries, and although it’s a big occasion on Friday night, we’re taking the Waratahs to keep it close.

The ‘Tahs come off a solid win over Moana Pasifika, and although it wasn’t as dominant as expected, it’s a better form guide than losing to the Force, which is what happened to the Crusaders last week. That was a disappointing loss for the NZ franchise, and bouncing back could be tough.

Given how many weeks are left in the season, we expect games to be tightening up. The Waratahs are good enough to keep it close, and getting a +17.5 line is sizable. We have the Crusaders winning by 10-13 points in a tight battle in Christchurch.

Same Game Multi

Waratahs +17.5, Sevu Reece Anytime Try Scorer, Max Jorgensen Anytime Try Scorer, Under 61.5 Points @ $8.50

Sevu Reece has three tries from his last five games, and the All Blacks’ winger should score at $1.62 odds. He is likely to finish off a quality backline move from the home side.

We also like Max Jorgensen to score for the Waratahs. They need him to be firing on all cylinders, as he was earlier in the year. He is going through a rough patch, but he’s a classy player at his best, and punters get $2.05 to score.

The total points line is set high at 61.5 points. Conditions are ideal, but defence should show up given the desperate circumstances, so include the under in Super Rugby SGM picks.

Best Value Bet

Crusaders 1-12 @ $3.75

There is good value with betting on the Crusaders 1-12. They come off a loss to the Force, and we don’t think they’re 13 points better than the Waratahs.

The opening of a new stadium should give them an initial boost, but it shouldn’t make too much of a difference on the field.

If the Waratahs turn up with their best, they should push the Crusaders close to the brink, so take the $3.75 odds.

Daryl Curnow
Editor In Chief

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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