Moana Pasifika vs. Blues Predictions - Super Rugby Week 12 2026

We have Moana Pasifika vs. Blues predictions for Super Rugby Week 12 on Saturday, May 2 at 5:05pm at Go Media Stadium in Auckland.

The biggest line of the week is the Blues –28.5, as they look to pressure the top teams on the Super Rugby ladder.

Best Bet

Blues –28.5 @ $1.90

Bet Now

If the Blues want to make a statement this week, they need to produce a big game against the struggling Moana Pasifika.

After narrowly beating the Reds 36-33 last week in Super Round, the Blues should appreciate facing a much easier team. Their last two wins have come by less than seven points, and it has been their defence that has struggled.

The Blues have no problem scoring tries, and they should put plenty on the board on Saturday. Moana Pasifika’s defence is non-existent at times, and although they fought well against the Highlanders this week, fatigue could set in after chasing the Blues around the park.

Take the –28.5 line before it moves on game day.

Same Game Multi

Blues -28.5, Caleb Clarke Anytime Try Scorer, Stephen Perofeta Anytime Try Scorer, Over 62.5 Points @ $8.00

Bet Now

Scoring tries shouldn’t be hard for the Blues, which is why many of their players are at short odds to score. However, punters get $1.44 for Caleb Clarke, who is worth including to boost payouts. He has five tries from his last five games, so the stats read well.

We’ve taken the value for Stephen Perofeta to score at $2.25. The forward has only one try from his last five games, but he could score from close range.

The 62.5-point line is high, but we have the Blues scoring close to 50 points by themselves. It should be enough for the over to cash.

Best Value Bet

Penalty Try (Blues) @ $4.40

Bet Now

Punters get $4.40 for a penalty try to be awarded to the Blues. It might seem unlikely, but the Blues forward pack will put a lot of pressure on Moana Pasifika close to the line, which could see their scrum falter.

If the referee gives Moana Pasifika a warning for bringing down the scrum, he could award a penalty try, and we have seen a few of them this season.

It’s a fun prop bet to include in Super Rugby picks this week.

Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.