Moana Pasifika vs. Chiefs Predictions - Super Rugby Week 9 2026

We have Moana Pasifika vs. Chiefs predictions for Super Rugby Week 9 on Saturday, April 11 at 12:05pm at Go Media Stadium in Auckland.

A one-sided game is expected to kick off a big Saturday card of games, with the Chiefs being –31.5 favourites.

Best Bet

Chiefs –31.5 @ $1.90

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It wasn’t the strongest start to the season for the Chiefs, but after posting three wins from their last four games, things are looking up for the pre-season favourites.

They always pose a threat of putting up a big score, as they did last time out against the Waratahs. The 42-14 win was their best performance of the week, and although Moana Pasifika had a bye last week, rest won’t do their chances any good.

They have been a big disappointment in 2026, but it was expected. They gutted most of their best players from the team during the offseason, and now they’re paying the price. Therefore, the Chiefs should cruise to another big victory in Auckland.

We have them covering the –31.5 spread with a first-half blitz, which could see them leading by around 20 points at halftime.

Same Game Multi

Chiefs -31.5, Cortez Ratima Anytime Try Scorer, Quinn Tupaea Anytime Try Scorer, Over 68.5 Points @ $9.00

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Cortez Ratima isn’t a known try scorer, but the All Blacks halfback should fancy his chances. He’s great at setting up tries, but he has scored this season, and he should be tough to stop close to the line when Moana Pasifika’s defence is tired.

Punters get $1.95 for Quinn Tupaea to score, having scored a double against the Waratahs. He might be a forward, but he has four tries from his last five games, so take the value available and include him in Super Rugby same game multis.

The Chiefs could score 68 points alone, so include the over in picks.

Best Value Bet

Leroy Carter First Try Scorer @ $7.00

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Leroy Carter is paying $1.38 to score a try, but punters get better value for the Chiefs star to score the opening try.

Carter has gone his last three games without a try, which is hard to believe, but he should get ample opportunity to score early against Moana Pasifika.

Take the $7 odds as a value bet this week.

Editor In Chief

Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.