Moana Pasifika vs. Reds Predictions - Super Rugby Week 15 2026

We have Moana Pasifika vs. Reds predictions for Super Rugby Week 15 on Saturday, May 23 at 2:35pm at North Harbour Stadium in Auckland.

The Reds are short favourites to hand Moana Pasifika another loss, and the visitors should make light work of it.

Best Bet

Reds –17.5 @ $1.90

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Covering a –17.5 spread on the road isn’t easy, but Moana Pasifika is looking for a hole to crawl in after some shocking losses in 2026.

It’s their final year in Super Rugby, which is probably for the best, and looking to hand them another one-sided loss are the Reds, who would love a win at this stage of the season.

The Reds suffered a 19-14 loss to the Force last week, which did their playoff hopes plenty of damage, but playing Moana Pasifika is considered an easy win, and they should have no problem putting up a big score in Auckland.

Pride is the only thing the hosts are playing for, but with the franchise in deep water, they’re showing that they would rather be somewhere else than on a rugby field.

Same Game Multi

Reds –17.5, Tim Ryan Anytime Try Scorer, Filipo Daugunu Anytime Try Scorer, Over 64.5 Points @ $8.00

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Tim Ryan has been the best attacking threat for the Reds, having scored in four of his last five games. He is enjoying plenty of success, and although the $1.58 odds are on the shorter side of value, he’s a worthwhile Super Rugby SGM inclusion.

Filipo Daugunu has two tries from his last five games. He hasn’t scored in his last three games, but he showed good power when scoring earlier in the year. There will be many tries in his game, so include him at $1.91.

The Reds will be eyeing around 50 points, so we’re confident enough to include over 64.5 points in multis.

Best Value Bet

Tim Ryan First Try Scorer @ $8.75

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Most of the money has come for Ryan to score the first try, and he could cap off a good backline move for the Reds.

Given his recent scoring history, Ryan should go close to scoring the opening try of the game, and he has been backed into $8.75.

Include him in Super Rugby bets as a value pick.

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Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.

Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports.

Daryl's tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.