The Lions Tour concludes on Sunday morning and it’s all tied up at 1-1, so the winner of this game will be crowned the series champion.
South Africa squared the series last week with a comprehensive second-half performance. The Lions are good enough to bounce back and steal victory, so it should be a classic rugby contest.
We look at the best value betting options for South Africa vs Lions Game 3.
South Africa vs British & Irish Lions Game 3 Rugby Predictions
South Africa vs Lions Game 3 Betting Tips
South Africa started the game slowly last Sunday, but they warmed to the task and applied the ultimate pressure to the Lions.
The 27-9 victory was helped with second-half tries to Makazole Mapimpi and Lukhanyo Am, which thwarted any attack the Lions offered, which wasn’t much.
A lack of scoring tries is hurting the Lions and kicking penalties only works some of the time. If the Lions want to win the series, they will need to play attacking rugby and force the Springboks to play catch up.
The Springboks are the World Cup champions for a reason and we loved what we saw last week. With their backs against the wall at halftime, they rolled up the sleeves and didn’t leave anything to chance. It’s the same spirit we saw in 2019 when they won the cup, and we expect more of the same on Sunday.
The Lions are more than capable of bouncing back. Dan Biggar and Duhan van der Merwe are good enough to turn the game on its head and there is plenty of attacking flair in the Lions if they allow themselves to play open rugby.
South Africa and the Lions are tactical kicking teams, so the game doesn’t flow as well. We’re hoping nerves don’t play a part in Game 3, otherwise punters could watch a slow penalty-ridden affair.
Bookmakers have taken most of the money for South Africa. It has firmed into $1.59, which is a short line. Even if they have the momentum heading in the final game, those odds are short and we don’t see much value.
There is better value with the Lions, who are paying $2.38. That’s a lovely price for a team packed with superstars and the points spread line of +3.5 is getting some action. The Lions are $1.84 to cover the spread, but we prefer taking the head-to-head line.
We expect the lines to tighten up late Saturday night, so punters should lock in the value with the Lions before the odds drop. They are a proud team and coach Warren Gatland should have an excellent game plan to slow down the Springboks.
Bet: Lions @ $2.38 – Bet @ Sportsbet
South Africa vs Lions Game 3 Exotic Bets
The boot of Dan Biggar will play a big part in this test and there is a betting option that tickles our fancy.
Punters can lock in $1.83 for Biggar to score 12 or more points in Game 3. That is a generous line for a player that will get plenty of opportunities to kick penalty goals. South Africa are an ill-disciplined team and he should have at least five attempts at kicking the three points.
We also like the Lions to score one or more tries in each half. They didn’t score tries last week, but with everything on the line, we expect them to play attacking rugby. The option pays $2.63, which is well worth taking.
The Over 41.5 is another option where punters can lock in value. There should be more points scored in this game and we see it being a 28-32-type game, which would see the total soar over.
If you’re taking the Lions at $2.38, add the Lions halftime-fulltime at $3.60. It can be a risky bet, but the odds are worth taking and it provides some excitement for the first 40 minutes.
Our last South Africa vs Lions exotic bet is Duhan van der Merwe to score the first try. He is crying out for a big game and he’s paying $10 with bookmakers, so add him to your selections.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.