It has been a long road to the final but the Crusaders and Lions meet in the Super Rugby Final this Saturday for the second consecutive year.
The Crusaders got the better of the Lions in South Africa last season and will have the benefit of home ground advantage at AMI Stadium on Saturday night in Christchurch.
Bookmakers are predicting a one-sided affair but this is a final and both teams should be respected. We have form and free tips for the Crusaders vs. Lions final.
5:35pm Crusaders vs. Lions Super Rugby Final tips
The Crusaders are the hottest team on earth at the moment and their lengthy winning streak has been quite impressive.
They haven’t lost since the early stages of the 2018 Super Rugby season and many punters are expecting that roll to continue on Saturday night.
Led by an impressive lineup complete with All Black talent, the Crusaders sweep past the Hurricanes 30-12 last week to book a home final and although they could win at any ground around the world, playing at home has its advantages, especially against a South African unit.
The Lions have had to travel 16 hours to get to the South Island in New Zealand and acclimatising to the conditions is going to be tough.
Teams often struggle at the back-end of games after making a trip to or from South Africa and that’s a worrying sign for Lions punters.
They did, however, look good last week when dispatching the Waratahs 44-26 but we questioned their defensive skills last week and we weren’t overly impressed with the effort. Giving up 26 points to a Waratahs team that has struggled to score all year is concerning and they will need to improve ten-fold against the relentless Crusaders.
We’re giving the clear edge to the Crusaders in this match-up, for various reasons including talent, form and travel, but bookmakers aren’t making it easy on punters with their lines. Bookmakers have the Crusaders at –18.5, which is easily the biggest line you will see for a Super Rugby Final.
There’s a distinct lack of respect for the Lions, but with conditions meant to be a touch soggy underfoot, the Lions will only need a penalty here and there to keep this close.
We don’t think the Lions can come within ear shot of winning and we tipped the Crusaders as winners a long time ago, but 18.5 is a hefty margin.
Based on that, we’re tipping the Lions +18.5 as we think they can keep this game close for at least 60 minutes until the Crusaders pull away late.
The Crusaders will be happy to score a comfortable 12-point victory and punters backing the Lions with the points should be happy come Sunday.
In the try-scoring markets, Jack Goodhue (Crusaders) and Ruan Combrinck (Lions) look like good try-scoring chances. Goodhue is currently $2.20 to score (BET NOW) during the 80 minutes and Combrinck is a value chance at $2.75 (BET NOW).
Betting tip: Lions -18.5 @ $1.91 (BET NOW)
Crusaders by 12