The 2021 Australian Open starts on February 8, and we have betting predictions for the men’s draw.
This season is going to be unlike any other, which should make for interesting viewing. It also makes for an interesting betting market, which sees Novak Djokovic listed as favourite.
Some players have had limited practice time, so how will that affect the Australian Open? It should create upsets, so let’s look at the value players to bet on over the next two weeks.
2021 Men’s Australian Open Preview
2021 Australian Open Mens Winner – Dominic Thiem
A strong mental game will be needed to win the Australian Open this year, and Dominic Thiem is our man for the job.
He hasn’t acted like a princess in the lead-up (sorry Novak), which shows how strong his mental game is. It doesn’t hurt that he’s also a top-quality tennis player, as he showed in 2020.
Thiem won the US Open when beating Alex Zverev in a classic five-set thriller. The win propelled Thiem to the top of world tennis, and he also added a finals appearance at the ATP World Tour Finals.
His form since arriving in Australia this year featured a loss to Matteo Berrettini, but punters should look too much into that defeat. He was just finding his feet, and the 27-year-old should be ready to fire at Melbourne Tennis Park.
Punters get value odds for Dominic Thiem, and he will give you a good sight throughout the two weeks.
Bet: Dominic Thiem @ $6 – Bet @ Sportsbet
2021 Australian Open Mens Value Pick – Stefanos Tsitsipas
It’s an ideal situation for fans of Stefanos Tsitsipas. He’s not only playing impressive tennis in the lead-up ATP Cup, but he’s paying double-figure odds to win.
The Australian Open is a tournament that has created upset results in the past, and there is no way Tsitsipas should be paying $13 to win.
The Greek is one of the best players in the world, and although yet to fully realise his talent, 2021 could be his year.
He dispatched Australian Alex De Minaur in straight sets at Rod Laver Arena on Wednesday, and he did it relatively easy. It’s performances like that which puts him above many other players this season.
Take the value on offer, because the further he progresses in the tournament, the shorter those odds become.
Bet: Stefanos Tsitsipas @ $13 – Bet @ Sportsbet
2021 Australian Open Mens Longshot – Nick Kyrgios
If Naughty Nick is ever going to win the Australian Open, it will be this year. He has had a better preparation than most, and although his tennis is below the best, he could fire up.
There is no doubting his ability on the tennis court, but his attention span is limited. He has been a liability for punters, but the value odds make it a worthwhile play.
Kyrgios is paying $21 to get the job done in Melbourne, and those odds could firm throughout the tournament.
He isn’t the easiest player to bet on, but he’s the most entertaining player in the field.
Bet: Nick Kyrgios @ $21 – Bet @ Sportsbet
Players to watch at the Australian Open
We don’t think Jannik Sinner will win the Australian Open, but he is a player worth backing in the opening rounds.
The Italian made the second round at the 2020 Australian Open, but he’s better than that. He made the quarterfinals at the French Open, and his confidence is growing.
He won the Sofia Open in Italy in November, where he defeated the likes of De Minaur, Pospisill, and Mannerino. There is nothing wrong with that form, so he is a player worth betting on to make the third round.
Sinner is paying $41 to win the tournament, and we fancy his chances to make a deep run.
The final player worth betting on is Stan Wawrinka. He was in good form towards the end of last season, and he has won Grand Slams in the past, so he can handle the pressure.
He’s not the same player he used to be, but he’s the best Swiss player in the tournament this year. Wawrinka doesn’t let much get to him, so if he faces a young star, he could get the better of them.
He is paying $41 with bookmakers, which shouldn’t be overlooked.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, Rugby, NFL, and US college sports. Daryl’s tips have been featured on various websites around the world before joining the GoBet team. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.