Adelaide vs. Carlton Predictions – AFL Round 8 2025

We have Adelaide vs. Carlton predictions for Saturday May 3 game at 4:15 at Adelaide Oval. AFL odds have Adelaide at $1.50 to continue their impressive winning run against Carlton, having won the last three meetings.

Adelaide vs. Carlton Predictions

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Best Bet

Adelaide -12.5 @ $1.90

We’re backing Adelaide to continue their advantage over Carlton, and playing at Adelaide Oval only adds to our confidence levels. The Crows haven’t been the most consistent team in 2025, including three losses from their last five games. However, they showed good defence when holding GWS to 34 points two weeks ago, and they kicked poorly when losing to Fremantle on the road last week. Returning to Adelaide should help, and although it’s a tough game against a Carlton team coming off three straight wins over West Coast, North Melbourne, and Geelong, history is a good form guide for this meeting. Adelaide is good enough to cover the –12.5 spread, and it only needs to contain Charlie Curnow and Harry McKay to stifle the Blues offence.

Same Game Multi

Adelaide H2H, Riley Thilthorpe 2+ Goals, Adam Saad 20+ Disposals, Total Match Points Under 173.5 @ $7.25

The last two meetings between Adelaide and Carlton have been high scoring, but based on Adelaide’s defence in 2025, we’re backing under 173.5 points. The Crows have allowed totals of 34 and 85 over the last two weeks, and Carlton often struggles to put points on good teams. It played well last week against Geelong, but it scored only 75 and 63 points when losing to Western Bulldogs and Collingwood earlier this year. When Carlton loses, it doesn’t score, so look for Adelaide to win and the game to go under 173.5 points. Riley Thilthorpe has featured in our picks a lot, and he didn’t let us down last week with three goals. We’re backing him to have 2+ goals at $1.52, which is worth including in same gam multis. We also like Carlton’s Adam Saad to have 20+ disposals at $1.74, with Saad posting over 20 disposals in three of his last four games.

Best Value Bet

Adelaide Wire-to-Wire @ $2.35

We enjoy backing Adelaide to win wire-to-wire at home, and it could run Carlton off the park early in the contest. If the Carlton forwards don’t get good service in the opening quarter, Adelaide could counterattack and put points on the board. That’s the risk when backing Carlton, and Adelaide should look to capitalise and take a first quarter lead. From there, we can’t see the Crows giving up the lead, in what is a crucial AFL Round 8 game.